Rosternomics
DW

Dick Wagner

Oct 19, 1927 (Central City, NE) – Oct 5, 2006 · died at 78

General manager for the Reds and Astros (1979–1987).

Across the full 2-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for playoff leverage per acquired WAR (100th percentile), cost per win (97th percentile), and avoidance of negative WAR (87th percentile). The clearest contrast is drafted-player surplus (14th percentile): drafted players have created less surplus value than for most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

2 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 1 playoff appearance · 172–152 (0.531)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
8.0
Dead WAR
-4.0
Dead money %
35%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$2M
Drafted surplus
$1M
Traded-for surplus
$1M
Int'l surplus
$0M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+0.3
TAB
+5.0
WAB
+8.0
$ / WAR
$0.3M
Net WAR/trade
-0.26

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Astros GM 1986 96–66 $10 92 +3 +9.0 26% +3 +2 +2 +0 $0.2M 43.3 8.0 -2.6 +1.0 +2.3 +1.14 -4.8 +0.0 6.94 0.47 +15.1 +10.1 0.593
Astros GM 1987 76–86 $12 109 -2 -7.9 44% +1 +0 +1 +0 $0.3M 30.2 8.0 -5.3 +77.0 -0.1 -0.03 -7.9 +0.0 1.59 0.16 -7.0 -5.1 0.469
Career total (1985+ data) $22 101 +0 +1.1 35% +2 +1 +1 +0 $0.3M 73.6 8.0 -4.0 +199.7 -7.0 -0.26 -18.4 +0.1 6.92 0.47 +8.0 +5.0 0.531 1

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+199.7
Trade-7.0
Free agency-18.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.1
Sourcing mix: 90% draft · 2% FA · 8% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Players acquired — 50 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Craig Biggio 2B HOU Draft 1987 19 +65.8 +3.5
Eric Davis OF CIN Draft 1980 8 +28.2 +3.5
Chris Sabo 3B CIN Draft 1983 7 +17.9 +2.6
Tom Browning P CIN Draft 1982 9 +16.8 +1.9
Paul O'Neill OF CIN Draft 1981 7 +14.2 +2.0
Rob Dibble P CIN Draft 1983 5 +13.7 +2.7
Darryl Kile P HOU Draft 1987 6 +13.3 +2.2
Kal Daniels OF CIN Draft 1982 4 +11.4 +2.8
Joe Oliver C CIN Draft 1983 6 +7.3 +1.2
Ron Robinson P CIN Draft 1980 6 +6.8 +1.1
John Franco P CIN Trade 1983 5 +6.3 +1.3
Larry Andersen P HOU Free agency 1986 5 +5.2 +1.0 2.3% 0.16%
Billy Hatcher OF HOU Trade 1986 4 +4.7 +1.2 8.4% 0.57%
Rob Murphy P CIN Draft 1981 3 +4.0 +1.3
Ted Power P CIN Trade 1982 4 +4.0 +1.0
Danny Darwin P HOU Trade 1986 5 +2.8 +0.6 8.3% 0.57%
Tracy Jones OF CIN Draft 1983 3 +2.5 +0.8
Andújar Cedeño SS HOU Intl FA 1986 3 +1.9 +0.6
Lenny Harris 3B CIN Draft 1983 5 +1.4 +0.3
Eric Anthony OF HOU Draft 1986 3 +1.4 +0.5
Wayne Krenchicki 3B CIN Trade 1982 1 +1.1 +1.1
Terry McGriff C CIN Draft 1981 2 +0.2 +0.1
Dean Hartgraves P HOU Draft 1987 1 +0.2 +0.2
Jeff Montgomery P CIN Draft 1983 1 +0.1 +0.1
Randy Hennis P HOU Draft 1987 1 +0.1 +0.1
Davey Lopes 2B HOU Trade 1986 2 +0.1 +0.1 3.9% 0.27%
Dan Driessen 1B HOU Trade 1986 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.8% 0.05%
Paul Householder OF HOU Free agency 1987 -0.0
Ty Waller 3B/OF HOU Trade 1987 -0.0
Rocky Childress P HOU Trade 1987 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Dann Bilardello C CIN Rule 5 1982 -0.1
Terry Lee 1B CIN Intl FA 1982 1 -0.1 -0.1
Mike Smith P CIN Intl FA 1981 1 -0.1 -0.1
Gary Cooper 3B HOU Draft 1986 -0.1
Dale Berra 3B/SS HOU Free agency 1986 -0.2
Lloyd McClendon OF CIN Trade 1982 -0.3
Leo García OF CIN Trade 1982 -0.4
Wade Rowdon 3B CIN Trade 1982 1 -0.4 -0.4
Scott Terry P CIN Draft 1980 -0.4
Juan Agosto P HOU Free agency 1987 2 -0.4 -0.2 0.0% 0.00%
Aurelio López P HOU Free agency 1986 -0.4
Ryan Bowen P HOU Draft 1986 1 -0.5 -0.5
Brian Meyer P HOU Draft 1986 -0.5
Andy Mota 2B HOU Draft 1987 -0.5
Karl Rhodes OF HOU Draft 1986 1 -0.5 -0.5
Bob Buchanan P CIN Draft 1979 -0.6
Dave Rohde 2B HOU Draft 1986 -0.6
Ronn Reynolds C HOU Trade 1987 -0.9
Kurt Stillwell SS CIN Draft 1983 -1.4
Al Osuna P HOU Draft 1987 -1.9

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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