RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.58× league · TAB -0.6
-0.6TAB — talent above budget18th/30
-3.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)23rd/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-5.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/30
37%dead money %16th/30
0.438win %25th/30
27.0roster fWAR23rd/30
+18surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$94Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFJacob Young 149GEddie Rosario 12GDylan Crews 4G
LFJames Wood 79GIldemaro Vargas 15GAlex Call 2G
RFDylan Crews 30GAlex Call 28GEddie Rosario 25G
SSCJ Abrams 136GNasim Nuñez 33GIldemaro Vargas 7G
2BLuis García Jr. 129GIldemaro Vargas 32GJosé Tena 8G
3BTrey Lipscomb 55GIldemaro Vargas 47GJosé Tena 37G
1BJoey Gallo 59GJoey Meneses 50GJuan Yepez 47G
STARTERSMacKenzie Gore 3.2WARMitchell Parker 2.4WARTrevor Williams 2.0WARJake Irvin 1.8WARDJ Herz 1.7WAR
CKeibert Ruiz 116GRiley Adams 40GDrew Millas 18G
DHHarold Ramírez 60GJoey Meneses 25GAndrés Chaparro 21G
BULLPEN★ Kyle Finnegan 38svDerek Law 17hRobert Garcia 13hJosé A. Ferrer 6hJordan Weems 5hEduardo Salazar 3hJacob Barnes 2hTanner Rainey 0h
CKeibert Ruiz 116 · Riley Adams 40 · Drew Millas 18
1BJoey Gallo 59 · Joey Meneses 50 · Juan Yepez 47
2BLuis García Jr. 129 · Ildemaro Vargas 32 · José Tena 8
3BTrey Lipscomb 55 · Ildemaro Vargas 47 · José Tena 37
SSCJ Abrams 136 · Nasim Nuñez 33 · Ildemaro Vargas 7
LFJames Wood 79 · Ildemaro Vargas 15 · Alex Call 2
CFJacob Young 149 · Eddie Rosario 12 · Dylan Crews 4
RFDylan Crews 30 · Alex Call 28 · Eddie Rosario 25
DHHarold Ramírez 60 · Joey Meneses 25 · Andrés Chaparro 21
SPMacKenzie Gore 3.2 · Mitchell Parker 2.4 · Trevor Williams 2.0 · Jake Irvin 1.8 · DJ Herz 1.7
BP★ Kyle Finnegan 38 · Derek Law 17 · Robert Garcia 13 · José A. Ferrer 6 · Jordan Weems 5 · Eduardo Salazar 3 · Jacob Barnes 2 · Tanner Rainey 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
MacKenzie Gore 25 pre-arb 323.2 0.7 +12.7
Luis García Jr. 24 arb 1403.0 1.9 +10.6
Jacob Young 24 pre-arb 1502.7 0.7 +10.5
Mitchell Parker 24 pre-arb 292.4 0.7 +9.4
Trevor Williams 32 FA-elig 132.0 7.0 +1.2
CJ Abrams 23 pre-arb 1381.8 0.8 +6.8
Jake Irvin 27 pre-arb 331.8 0.7 +6.8
Patrick Corbin 34 FA-elig 321.7 35.4 -28.2
DJ Herz 23 pre-arb 191.7 0.7 +6.2
Robert Garcia 28 pre-arb 721.5 0.7 +5.6
Jesse Winker↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 1011.3 1.4 +4.1
James Wood 21 – 791.3 0.4 +5.1
Alex Call 29 pre-arb 301.2 0.7 +4.1
Derek Law 33 FA-elig 751.1 1.5 +3.2
Dylan Floro↔ ARI 33 FA-elig 511.0 1.7 +2.5
Lane Thomas↔ CLE 28 arb 771.0 1.3 +2.8
Hunter Harvey↔ KCR 29 arb 430.9 2.1 +1.6
Jose A. Ferrer 24 pre-arb 310.6 0.7 +1.9
Dylan Crews 22 – 310.5 0.1 +1.8
Juan Yepez 26 pre-arb 620.4 0.3 +1.3
Nasim Nuñez 23 pre-arb 510.4 0.7 +0.7
Stone Garrett 28 pre-arb 20.3 0.8 +0.3
Drew Millas 26 pre-arb 200.3 0.7 +0.3
José Tena↔ CLE 23 pre-arb 410.2 0.7 +0.0
Darren Baker 25 – 90.2 0.1 +0.6
Eduardo Salazar↔ LAD 26 pre-arb 250.2 0.3 +0.4
Jackson Rutledge 25 pre-arb 30.1 0.7 -0.2
Matt Barnes 34 FA-elig 140.1 2.0 -1.4
Andrés Chaparro 25 – 330.1 0.2 +0.1
Jacob Barnes 34 arb 630.0 0.7 -0.6
Orlando Ribalta 26 – 40.0 0.1 +0.0
Nick Senzel↔ CHW 29 arb 640.0 1.7 -1.7
Kyle Finnegan 32 arb 65-0.0 5.1 -5.2
Josiah Gray 26 arb 2-0.0 0.8 -1.0
Ildemaro Vargas 32 FA-elig 97-0.1 1.1 -1.3
Amos Willingham 25 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Victor Robles↔ SEA 27 FA-elig 14-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Joan Adon 25 arb 8-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Zach Brzykcy 24 – 6-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Joe La Sorsa 26 – 16-0.1 0.2 -0.8
Joey Gallo 30 FA-elig 76-0.2 2.5 -3.3
Tanner Rainey 31 FA-elig 50-0.2 1.5 -2.3
Harold Ramírez↔ TBR 29 arb 25-0.2 1.3 -2.2
Riley Adams 28 arb 41-0.3 0.8 -1.9
Keibert Ruiz 25 arb 127-0.3 6.4 -7.7
Jordan Weems 31 arb 41-0.5 0.8 -2.8
Travis Blankenhorn 27 pre-arb 13-0.5 0.1 -2.1
Trey Lipscomb 24 pre-arb 61-0.9 0.7 -4.3
Joey Meneses 32 pre-arb 76-1.0 0.8 -4.9
Eddie Rosario↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 67-1.3 1.5 -7.0

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Mitchell Parker2.4
DJ Herz1.7
Jesse Winker1.3
James Wood1.3
Derek Law1.1
Dylan Floro1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Jeimer Candelario3.0
Carl Edwards Jr.0.4
Michael Chavis0.1
Jeter Downs0.1
Rico Garcia-0.0
Paolo Espino-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$94.0M
2025 guaranteed
$5.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Patrick Corbin3411.105$35.4MFREE AGENT
Trevor Williams327.027$7.0MFREE AGENT
Keibert Ruiz252.064$6.4M$5.4M$5.4M$5.4M$7.4M$9.4M$9.4M
Joey Gallo307.103$2.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Barnes3410.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Dylan Floro338.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Eddie Rosario328.120$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jesse Winker306.080$1.4MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Kyle Finnegan324.000$5.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey294.047$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García Jr.244.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Senzel294.150$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Rainey314.127$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Law334.081$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Lane Thomas284.014$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Harold Ramírez295.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Ildemaro Vargas324.007$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Barnes345.112$655kFREE AGENT
Victor Robles275.033$408kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (31)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Stone Garrett281.050$799kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Weems312.055$774kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josiah Gray262.075$757kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
CJ Abrams231.130$752kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Meneses321.065$752kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Adams282.050$751kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
MacKenzie Gore252.000$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Irvin270.152$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose A. Ferrer241.000$743kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Garcia280.073$743kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Lipscomb240.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Young240.037$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joan Adon250.137$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitchell Parker240.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Rutledge250.019$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Call291.082$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Amos Willingham250.070$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nasim Nuñez230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Herz230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Millas260.035$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Tena230.042$690kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Wood210.000$360kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Yepez261.018$342kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Salazar260.021$287kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Chaparro250.000$190kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe La Sorsa26–$171k
Dylan Crews220.000$138kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Brzykcy240.000$115kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Baker250.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Blankenhorn270.089$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Ribalta260.000$51kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.