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Nationals WSN

201882–80 (0.506)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2018, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$179M
Surplus $M
-40
Win %
0.506
TAB
+2.8
WAB
-4.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
40.8
Dead money %
28%
Depth Players
7.0
Dead WAR
-4.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2018 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BMatt Wieters73
RPedro Severino67
RSpencer Kieboom49
LMiguel Montero4

1B

RRyan Zimmerman73
RMark Reynolds45
LDaniel Murphy⇄14
RSpencer Kieboom3
RHowie Kendrick2
LBryce Harper1
RMichael A. Taylor1

2B

BWilmer Difo112
RHowie Kendrick33
RAdrián Sanchez13
RMark Reynolds1

3B

RAnthony Rendon136
BWilmer Difo20
RMark Reynolds10
RAdrián Sanchez7
RMatt Reynolds4
RSpencer Kieboom1

SS

RTrea Turner159
BWilmer Difo9

LF

LJuan Soto114
LAndrew Stevenson16
LMatt Adams⇄15
RMoisés Sierra14
LAdam Eaton10
RHowie Kendrick6
RRafael Bautista4
RVictor Robles2

CF

RMichael A. Taylor113
LBryce Harper63
RVictor Robles14
RRafael Bautista3
LAndrew Stevenson3
RMark Reynolds1
BWilmer Difo1

RF

LBryce Harper116
LAdam Eaton67
LBrian Goodwin⇄10
RMoisés Sierra3
RVictor Robles2
RMark Reynolds1
LAndrew Stevenson1
LMatt Adams⇄1
RRafael Bautista1

DH

LAdam Eaton3
LMatt Adams⇄3
LBryce Harper1
RMichael A. Taylor1

Starters

RMax Scherzer8.2 WAR
RTanner Roark2.5 WAR
RStephen Strasburg2.3 WAR
LGio Gonzalez⇄1.4 WAR
RJeremy Hellickson1.1 WAR
RErick Fedde0.2 WAR
LTommy Milone0.2 WAR
RAustin Voth-0.0 WAR
RKyle McGowin-0.1 WAR
RJoe Ross-0.1 WAR
RJefry Rodriguez-0.3 WAR
RA.J. Cole⇄-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

★ LSean Doolittle25 sv
LSammy Solis13 h
RJustin Miller11 h
LMatt Grace8 h
LTim Collins4 h
RWander Suero2 h
RBrandon Kintzler⇄0 h
RRyan Madson⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Soto3.7
Jeremy Hellickson1.1
Matt Adams1.0
Wander Suero0.5
Greg Holland0.4
Mark Reynolds0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Matt Albers1.0
Oliver Pérez0.4
Blake Treinen0.4
Ryan Raburn-0.0
Stephen Drew-0.1
Grant Green-0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2018; everyone else is shown as a 2018 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Max Scherzer 2018 +8.2 +164.3 22.1 +142.1 $2.7M 2.50× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Trea Turner 2018 +5.1 +61.9 0.6 +61.3 $0.1M 1.51× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $27.3M AAV
Juan Soto 2018 +3.7 +52.4 0.4 +52.1 $0.1M 1.79× Free Agent · 2026–2039 · $51.0M AAV
Anthony Rendon 2018 +5.5 +62.6 12.3 +50.3 $2.2M 1.43× Free Agent · 2020–2025 · $35.0M AAV
Tanner Roark 2018 +2.5 +39.4 6.5 +32.9 $2.6M 1.96× –
Sean Doolittle 2018 +1.9 +29.8 4.4 +25.4 $2.3M 1.95× –
Bryce Harper 2018 +3.2 +40.9 21.6 +19.3 $6.8M 1.60× Free Agent · 2019–2031 · $25.4M AAV
Adam Eaton 2018 +1.6 +15.7 6.0 +9.7 $3.7M 1.22× –
Stephen Strasburg 2018 +2.3 +27.8 18.3 +9.5 $7.8M 1.49× –
Jeremy Hellickson 2018 +1.1 +8.8 0.1 +8.7 $0.1M 1.02× –
Michael A. Taylor 2018 +1.0 +6.7 2.5 +4.2 $2.5M 0.83× –
Victor Robles 2018 +0.6 +4.3 0.1 +4.2 $0.1M 0.83× Extension · 2025–2027 · $4.9M AAV
Matt Adams↔ 2018 +1.0 +6.9 3.1 +3.8 $3.0M 0.83× –
Matt Grace 2018 +0.6 +3.4 0.6 +2.9 $0.9M 0.67× –
Wander Suero 2018 +0.5 +2.4 0.4 +2.1 $0.8M 0.67× –
Gio Gonzalez↔ 2018 +1.4 +11.6 10.1 +1.5 $7.1M 1.02× –
Tommy Milone 2018 +0.2 +1.8 0.3 +1.5 $1.2M 1.02× –
Erick Fedde 2018 +0.2 +1.6 0.3 +1.3 $1.7M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Howie Kendrick 2018 +0.9 +4.2 3.0 +1.2 $3.2M 0.56× –
Wilmer Difo 2018 +0.3 +1.3 0.6 +0.8 $1.9M 0.56× –
Mark Reynolds 2018 +0.3 +1.4 0.8 +0.6 $2.4M 0.56× –
Adrián Sanchez 2018 +0.0 +0.1 0.2 -0.1 $11.5M 0.56× –
Kyle McGowin 2018 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Austin Voth 2018 -0.0 -0.4 0.1 -0.5 – 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Brandon Kintzler↔ 2018 +0.5 +2.7 3.2 -0.5 $6.3M 0.67× –
Enny Romero↔ 2018 -0.1 -0.4 0.1 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Justin Miller 2018 -0.0 -0.2 0.4 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Koda Glover 2018 -0.0 -0.0 0.6 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Matt Reynolds 2018 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.58× –
Brian Goodwin↔ 2018 -0.1 -0.4 0.4 -0.7 – 0.83× –
Austin Adams 2018 -0.1 -0.8 0.0 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Carlos Torres 2018 -0.2 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Jimmy Cordero 2018 -0.2 -1.1 0.2 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Andrew Stevenson 2018 -0.2 -1.1 0.3 -1.4 – 0.83× –
Rafael Bautista 2018 -0.1 -0.9 0.5 -1.4 – 0.83× –
Sammy Solís 2018 -0.2 -1.0 0.6 -1.6 – 0.67× –
Joe Ross 2018 -0.1 -1.1 0.6 -1.7 – 1.02× –
Greg Holland↔ 2018 +0.4 +4.0 6.0 -2.0 $16.0M 1.34× –
Tim Collins 2018 -0.3 -1.8 0.3 -2.1 – 0.67× –
A.J. Cole↔ 2018 -0.3 -2.1 0.1 -2.2 – 1.02× –
Austen Williams 2018 -0.4 -2.1 0.1 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Miguel Montero 2018 -0.2 -0.9 1.3 -2.2 – 0.52× –
Trevor Gott 2018 -0.3 -1.7 0.6 -2.3 – 0.67× –
Pedro Severino 2018 -0.5 -2.2 0.4 -2.6 – 0.52× –
Jefry Rodriguez 2018 -0.3 -2.7 0.2 -2.9 – 1.02× –
Shawn Kelley↔ 2018 -0.0 -0.0 3.6 -3.6 – 0.67× –
Moisés Sierra 2018 -0.5 -3.6 0.1 -3.7 – 0.83× –
Kelvin Herrera↔ 2018 -0.3 -2.9 3.5 -6.3 – 1.34× –
Ryan Madson↔ 2018 +0.0 +0.2 6.5 -6.3 $188.5M 0.67× –
Ryan Zimmerman 2018 +1.5 +6.6 14.0 -7.4 $9.5M 0.56× –
Matt Wieters 2018 +0.5 +1.9 10.5 -8.6 $22.4M 0.52× –
Daniel Murphy↔ 2018 +0.3 +1.4 10.8 -9.4 $34.5M 0.56× –
Spencer Kieboom 2018 +0.1 +0.4 0.4 -0.0 $4.6M 0.52× –
Total—+40.8+537.4180.0+357.8—

Trades

Every graded 2018 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

2018 · WSN / LAD
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$4.8M
Andrew Istler
LAD · Andrew Friedman −$4.8M
Ryan Madson
WSN came out ahead by $4.8M
2018 · WSN / CLE
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$1.6M
Yan Gomes
CLE · Chris Antonetti −$1.6M
Jefry Rodríguez, Daniel Johnson, Andruw Monasterio
WSN came out ahead by $1.6M
2018 · WSN / OAK
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
OAK · Billy Beane −$0.8M
Shawn Kelley
WSN came out ahead by $0.8M
2018 · MIA / WSN
MIA · Michael Hill +$4.0M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$4.0M
Kyle Barraclough
MIA came out ahead by $4.0M
2018 · KCR / WSN
KCR · Dayton Moore +$1.6M
Blake Perkins, Kelvin Gutiérrez, Yohanse Morel
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$1.6M
Kelvin Herrera
KCR came out ahead by $1.6M
2018 · WSN / CHC
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$1.6M
Jhon Romero
CHC · Theo Epstein −$1.6M
Brandon Kintzler
WSN came out ahead by $1.6M
2018 · WSN / CHC
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$11.2M
Andruw Monasterio
CHC · Theo Epstein −$11.2M
Daniel Murphy
WSN came out ahead by $11.2M
2018 · KCR / WSN
KCR · Dayton Moore +$2.4M
Brian Goodwin
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$2.4M
Jacob Condra-Bogan
KCR came out ahead by $2.4M
2018 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Dick Williams +$26.4M
Tanner Roark
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$26.4M
Tanner Rainey
CIN came out ahead by $26.4M
2018 · MIL / WSN
MIL · David Stearns +$3.2M
Gio Gonzalez
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$3.2M
K.J. Harrison, Gilbert Lara
MIL came out ahead by $3.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$179.4M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Max Scherzer339.079$22.1MFREE AGENT
Stephen Strasburg297.118$18.3MFREE AGENT
Ryan Zimmerman3312.032$14.0MFREE AGENT
Daniel Murphy338.109$10.8MFREE AGENT
Matt Wieters328.129$10.5MFREE AGENT
Gio Gonzalez3210.000$10.1MFREE AGENT
Ryan Madson3712.155$6.5MFREE AGENT
Greg Holland326.028$6.0MFREE AGENT
Shawn Kelley348.128$3.6MFREE AGENT
Brandon Kintzler336.003$3.2MFREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick3411.091$3.0MFREE AGENT
Miguel Montero3412.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds3410.138$763kFREE AGENT
Jeremy Hellickson317.045$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Bryce Harper255.159$21.6MFREE AGENT
Anthony Rendon284.130$12.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Roark314.055$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Eaton295.030$6.0MFREE AGENT
Sean Doolittle315.122$4.4MFREE AGENT
Kelvin Herrera285.157$3.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Adams295.033$3.1MFREE AGENT
Michael A. Taylor274.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Collins285.097$267kFREE AGENT
Tommy Milone315.113$252kFREE AGENT
Enny Romero275.000$141kFREE AGENT
Carlos Torres355.114$97kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Trea Turner251.135$577kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ross252.094$568kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sammy Solís292.077$560kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilmer Difo261.110$558kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Grace291.065$557kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Gott250.153$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Koda Glover251.051$552kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Bautista250.037$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Kieboom270.149$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Soto190.000$393kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Miller311.171$378kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Severino240.142$375kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wander Suero260.000$360kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Goodwin271.019$354kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Fedde250.039$325kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Stevenson240.062$252kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrián Sanchez270.085$185kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jefry Rodriguez240.000$173kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Cordero260.000$152kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Moisés Sierra291.105$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Voth260.000$103kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austen Williams250.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle McGowin260.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Robles210.025$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Cole260.152$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Reynolds271.048$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Adams270.035$21kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2018 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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