Rosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Michael Rizzo (since 2010)

2018 roster — every player, value & surplus

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-4.1
WAB — wins above budget
+2.7
TAB — roster Talent above budget
82–80 (0.506)
record
-40M
surplus $M (value/$)
40.8
roster fWAR
$179.4M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Max Scherzer 33 FA-elig 35 8.2 22.1 +5.8
Anthony Rendon 28 arb 136 5.5 12.3 +6.4
Trea Turner 25 arb 162 5.1 0.6 +16.9
Juan Soto 19 – 116 3.7 0.4 +12.1
Bryce Harper 25 FA-elig 159 3.2 21.6 -10.7
Tanner Roark 31 arb 31 2.5 6.5 +2.1
Stephen Strasburg 29 FA-elig 22 2.3 18.3 -10.4
Sean Doolittle 31 FA-elig 43 1.9 4.4 +2.1
Adam Eaton 29 FA-elig 95 1.6 6.0 -0.5
Ryan Zimmerman 33 FA-elig 85 1.5 14.0 -9.0
Gio Gonzalez↔ MIL 32 FA-elig 27 1.4 10.1 -5.3
Jeremy Hellickson 31 FA-elig 19 1.1 0.1 +3.6
Matt Adams↔ STL 29 FA-elig 94 1.0 3.1 +0.4
Michael A. Taylor 27 arb 134 1.0 2.5 +0.9
Howie Kendrick 34 FA-elig 40 0.9 3.0 +0.2
Matt Grace 29 arb 56 0.6 0.6 +1.6
Victor Robles 21 pre-arb 21 0.6 0.1 +2.1
Brandon Kintzler↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 45 0.5 3.2 -1.5
Matt Wieters 32 FA-elig 76 0.5 10.5 -8.9
Wander Suero 26 – 40 0.5 0.4 +1.2
Greg Holland↔ STL 32 FA-elig 24 0.4 6.0 -4.7
Mark Reynolds 34 FA-elig 86 0.3 0.8 +0.3
Daniel Murphy↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 56 0.3 10.8 -9.7
Wilmer Difo 26 arb 148 0.3 0.6 +0.4
Tommy Milone 31 arb 5 0.2 0.3 +0.5
Erick Fedde 25 pre-arb 11 0.2 0.3 +0.3
Spencer Kieboom 27 pre-arb 52 0.1 0.4 -0.1
Ryan Madson↔ LAD 37 FA-elig 49 0.0 6.5 -6.4
Adrián Sanchez 27 pre-arb 28 0.0 0.2 -0.1
Shawn Kelley↔ OAK 34 FA-elig 35 -0.0 3.6 -3.6
Koda Glover 25 pre-arb 22 -0.0 0.6 -0.6
Justin Miller 31 pre-arb 51 -0.0 0.4 -0.5
Austin Voth 26 – 4 -0.0 0.1 -0.3
Brian Goodwin↔ KCR 27 pre-arb 48 -0.1 0.4 -0.5
Kyle McGowin 26 – 5 -0.1 0.1 -0.3
Enny Romero↔ KCR 27 arb 2 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Matt Reynolds 27 pre-arb 12 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Rafael Bautista 25 pre-arb 9 -0.1 0.5 -1.0
Joe Ross 25 arb 3 -0.1 0.6 -1.0
Austin Adams 27 pre-arb 2 -0.1 0.0 -0.5
Carlos Torres 35 arb 10 -0.2 0.1 -0.7
Andrew Stevenson 24 pre-arb 57 -0.2 0.3 -0.8
Sammy Solís 29 arb 56 -0.2 0.6 -1.2
Miguel Montero 34 FA-elig 4 -0.2 1.3 -2.0
Jimmy Cordero 26 – 22 -0.2 0.2 -0.9
A.J. Cole↔ NYY 26 arb 4 -0.3 0.1 -0.9
Kelvin Herrera↔ KCR 28 FA-elig 21 -0.3 3.5 -4.4
Trevor Gott 25 arb 20 -0.3 0.6 -1.7
Jefry Rodriguez 24 – 14 -0.3 0.2 -1.3
Tim Collins 28 arb 38 -0.3 0.3 -1.4
Austen Williams 25 – 10 -0.4 0.1 -1.4
Moisés Sierra 29 pre-arb 27 -0.5 0.1 -1.9
Pedro Severino 24 pre-arb 70 -0.5 0.4 -2.2

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for WSN
Dennis Martínez198622.5
Gio Gonzalez201120.8
Trea Turner201519.4
Liván Hernández200317.2
Bryn Smith197716.4
Moisés Alou199013.8
Tanner Roark201012.8
Mike Lansing199112.0
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Grady Sizemore200230.3
Cliff Lee200214.7
Tim Raines199014.5
Lucas Giolito201613.5
Cliff Floyd199713.2
Gary Carter198412.8
Maicer Izturis200412.2
Carl Pavano20028.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.