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Nationals WSN

201583–79 (0.512)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2015, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$162M
Surplus $M
-36
Win %
0.512
TAB
+2.4
WAB
-2.6
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
40.1
Dead money %
35%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-2.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2015 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RWilson Ramos125
BJose Lobatón42
RPedro Severino2

1B

RRyan Zimmerman93
LClint Robinson44
RTyler Moore39
BDanny Espinosa5
RDan Uggla1

2B

BDanny Espinosa81
RAnthony Rendon59
RDan Uggla31
RTrea Turner12
BWilmer Difo2
BEmmanuel Burriss1

3B

RYunel Escobar134
RAnthony Rendon28
BDanny Espinosa16

SS

RIan Desmond155
BDanny Espinosa8
RTrea Turner6

LF

RJayson Werth76
RMichael A. Taylor38
LMatthew den Dekker27
LClint Robinson27
RTyler Moore20
BDanny Espinosa5
RReed Johnson3
RRyan Zimmerman1

CF

RMichael A. Taylor96
LDenard Span61
LBryce Harper13
LMatthew den Dekker2

RF

LBryce Harper140
RJayson Werth14
LClint Robinson11
LMatthew den Dekker10
RMichael A. Taylor3
RReed Johnson1
RTyler Moore1

DH

LClint Robinson3
RYunel Escobar3
LBryce Harper1
RDan Uggla1
RJayson Werth1
RJoe Ross1
RWilson Ramos1

Starters

RMax Scherzer6.9 WAR
LGio Gonzalez3.6 WAR
RStephen Strasburg3.4 WAR
RJordan Zimmermann3.1 WAR
RJoe Ross1.0 WAR
RDoug Fister0.5 WAR
RTaylor Jordan0.4 WAR
RA.J. Cole0.1 WAR
RTanner Roark-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ RDrew Storen29 sv
LMatt Thornton18 h
RCasey Janssen13 h
RBlake Treinen10 h
RAaron Barrett10 h
LFelipe Vazquez6 h
LMatt Grace4 h
RJonathan Papelbon⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Max Scherzer6.9
Yunel Escobar2.3
Joe Ross1.0
Felipe Vázquez0.9
Clint Robinson0.6
Matthew den Dekker0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Tyler Clippard1.5
Asdrúbal Cabrera1.0
Jerry Blevins0.8
Rafael Soriano0.8
Zach Walters0.2
Jeff Kobernus0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2015; everyone else is shown as a 2015 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Bryce Harper 2015 +9.3 +152.6 2.5 +150.1 $0.3M 2.05× Free Agent · 2019–2031 · $25.4M AAV
Max Scherzer 2015 +6.9 +137.5 17.1 +120.4 $2.5M 2.50× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Gio Gonzalez 2015 +3.6 +62.4 11.0 +51.4 $3.1M 2.19× –
Stephen Strasburg 2015 +3.4 +54.0 7.4 +46.6 $2.1M 1.96× –
Jordan Zimmermann 2015 +3.1 +47.7 16.5 +31.2 $5.4M 1.96× –
Yunel Escobar 2015 +2.3 +15.7 5.0 +10.7 $2.2M 0.85× –
Danny Espinosa 2015 +1.8 +11.7 1.8 +9.9 $1.0M 0.82× –
Joe Ross 2015 +1.0 +8.1 0.3 +7.8 $0.3M 1.02× –
Drew Storen 2015 +1.2 +12.7 5.7 +7.0 $4.8M 1.34× –
Denard Span 2015 +1.6 +15.3 9.0 +6.3 $5.7M 1.22× –
Aaron Barrett 2015 +0.9 +5.0 0.5 +4.5 $0.5M 0.67× –
Felipe Vázquez 2015 +0.9 +4.8 0.4 +4.4 $0.5M 0.67× –
Matthew den Dekker 2015 +0.4 +3.0 0.5 +2.5 $1.1M 0.83× –
Anthony Rendon 2015 +1.1 +4.7 2.5 +2.2 $2.4M 0.56× Free Agent · 2020–2025 · $35.0M AAV
Clint Robinson 2015 +0.6 +2.6 0.5 +2.1 $0.9M 0.56× –
Taylor Jordan 2015 +0.4 +2.0 0.1 +1.9 $0.3M 0.67× –
Blake Treinen 2015 +0.4 +2.0 0.5 +1.5 $1.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $11.0M AAV
Matt Grace 2015 +0.3 +1.5 0.2 +1.3 $0.7M 0.67× –
Sammy Solís 2015 +0.2 +1.0 0.1 +0.8 $0.8M 0.67× –
A.J. Cole 2015 +0.1 +0.6 0.1 +0.5 $1.1M 0.67× –
Emmanuel Burriss 2015 +0.1 +0.6 0.1 +0.5 $0.7M 0.56× –
Dan Uggla 2015 +0.1 +0.4 0.5 -0.1 $6.0M 0.56× –
Trea Turner 2015 +0.0 +0.0 0.1 -0.1 $25.0M 0.56× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $27.3M AAV
Abel De Los Santos 2015 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Taylor Hill 2015 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Wilmer Difo 2015 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 -0.5 – 0.56× –
David Carpenter↔ 2015 -0.1 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Rafael Martín 2015 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Tanner Roark 2015 -0.1 -0.3 0.5 -0.9 – 0.67× –
Xavier Cedeño↔ 2015 -0.2 -1.0 0.0 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Michael A. Taylor 2015 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 -1.1 – 0.83× –
Jose Lobatón 2015 -0.0 -0.1 1.2 -1.3 – 0.52× –
Matt Thornton 2015 +0.4 +2.0 3.5 -1.5 $9.2M 0.67× –
Craig Stammen 2015 +0.0 +0.2 2.2 -2.0 $57.4M 0.67× –
Reed Johnson 2015 -0.2 -1.2 1.0 -2.2 – 0.83× –
Casey Janssen 2015 +0.0 +0.2 3.5 -3.3 $108.6M 0.67× –
Ian Desmond 2015 +1.4 +6.9 11.0 -4.1 $7.8M 0.61× –
Tyler Moore 2015 -0.9 -4.0 0.5 -4.5 – 0.56× –
Wilson Ramos 2015 -0.5 -2.0 3.5 -5.6 – 0.52× –
Jonathan Papelbon↔ 2015 -0.2 -2.4 4.8 -7.2 – 1.34× –
Doug Fister 2015 +0.5 +3.9 11.4 -7.5 $23.8M 1.02× –
Ryan Zimmerman 2015 +0.8 +3.6 14.0 -10.4 $17.2M 0.56× –
Jayson Werth 2015 -0.1 -0.9 21.0 -21.9 – 0.83× –
Pedro Severino 2015 +0.0 +0.1 0.1 +0.0 $2.9M 0.52× –
Total—+40.0+548.3161.6+386.2—

Trades

Every graded 2015 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2015 · WSN / NYM
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$16.8M
Matt den Dekker
NYM · Sandy Alderson −$16.8M
Jerry Blevins
WSN came out ahead by $16.8M
2015 · PHI / WSN
PHI · Scott Proefrock +$38.4M
Nick Pivetta
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$38.4M
Jonathan Papelbon
PHI came out ahead by $38.4M
2015 · NYY / WSN
NYY · Brian Cashman +$1.6M
Tony Renda
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$1.6M
David Carpenter
NYY came out ahead by $1.6M
2015 · WSN / OAK
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$15.2M
Yunel Escobar
OAK · Billy Beane −$15.2M
Tyler Clippard
WSN came out ahead by $15.2M
2015 · WSN / BOS
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Dan Butler
BOS · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
Daniel Rosenbaum
Even trade
2015 · ANA / WSN
ANA · Bill Stoneman +$9.6M
Yunel Escobar
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$9.6M
Trevor Gott, Michael Brady
ANA came out ahead by $9.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$162.2M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Jayson Werth3611.102$21.0MFREE AGENT
Max Scherzer306.079$17.1MFREE AGENT
Ryan Zimmerman309.032$14.0MFREE AGENT
Denard Span316.111$9.0MFREE AGENT
Yunel Escobar327.121$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon349.064$4.8MFREE AGENT
Casey Janssen338.063$3.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Thornton3810.129$3.5MFREE AGENT
Reed Johnson3811.145$1.0MFREE AGENT
Dan Uggla358.125$507kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Jordan Zimmermann295.154$16.5MFREE AGENT
Doug Fister315.058$11.4MFREE AGENT
Gio Gonzalez295.162$11.0MFREE AGENT
Ian Desmond295.027$11.0MFREE AGENT
Stephen Strasburg264.118$7.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Storen274.140$5.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos274.047$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Stammen314.160$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Espinosa283.113$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Lobatón303.138$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Carpenter293.016$347kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sammy Solís264.061$147kARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Burriss303.131$89kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Anthony Rendon251.130$2.5MCLUBPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Harper222.159$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Roark281.055$530kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Robinson302.028$525kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Moore282.018$518kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Barrett270.144$514kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matthew den Dekker272.000$513kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Treinen270.065$513kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael A. Taylor241.000$509kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Vázquez230.000$422kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ross220.000$258kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Grace260.000$202kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilmer Difo230.000$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Martín310.080$128kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Cole230.000$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trea Turner220.000$122kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Jordan261.047$108kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Severino210.000$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Cedeño281.060$39kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Hill260.030$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abel De Los Santos22–$11k

Graphs

How each 2015 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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