Rosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Michael Rizzo (since 2010)

2015 roster — every player, value & surplus

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-2.7
WAB — wins above budget
+2.3
TAB — roster Talent above budget
83–79 (0.512)
record
-36M
surplus $M (value/$)
40.1
roster fWAR
$162.2M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bryce Harper 22 arb 153 9.3 2.5 +26.9
Max Scherzer 30 FA-elig 34 6.9 17.1 +4.5
Gio Gonzalez 29 FA-elig 31 3.6 11.0 +0.2
Stephen Strasburg 26 arb 23 3.4 7.4 +3.5
Jordan Zimmermann 29 FA-elig 33 3.1 16.5 -6.9
Yunel Escobar 32 FA-elig 139 2.3 5.0 +2.3
Danny Espinosa 28 arb 118 1.8 1.8 +3.8
Denard Span 31 FA-elig 61 1.6 9.0 -4.1
Ian Desmond 29 FA-elig 156 1.4 11.0 -6.6
Drew Storen 27 arb 58 1.2 5.7 -2.0
Anthony Rendon 25 pre-arb 80 1.1 2.5 +0.8
Joe Ross 22 – 17 1.0 0.3 +2.9
Aaron Barrett 27 pre-arb 40 0.9 0.5 +2.5
Felipe Vázquez 23 – 49 0.9 0.4 +2.4
Ryan Zimmerman 30 FA-elig 95 0.8 14.0 -11.4
Clint Robinson 30 arb 126 0.6 0.5 +1.3
Doug Fister 31 FA-elig 29 0.5 11.4 -9.9
Matthew den Dekker 27 pre-arb 55 0.4 0.5 +0.9
Matt Thornton 38 FA-elig 60 0.4 3.5 -2.3
Taylor Jordan 26 pre-arb 4 0.4 0.1 +1.1
Blake Treinen 27 pre-arb 60 0.4 0.5 +0.6
Matt Grace 26 – 26 0.3 0.2 +0.7
Sammy Solís 26 – 18 0.2 0.1 +0.4
Emmanuel Burriss 30 arb 5 0.1 0.1 +0.3
A.J. Cole 23 – 3 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Dan Uggla 35 FA-elig 67 0.1 0.5 -0.2
Craig Stammen 31 FA-elig 5 0.0 2.2 -2.1
Casey Janssen 33 FA-elig 48 0.0 3.5 -3.4
Pedro Severino 21 – 2 0.0 0.1 +0.0
Trea Turner 22 – 27 0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jose Lobatón 30 FA-elig 44 -0.0 1.2 -1.3
David Carpenter↔ NYY 29 arb 8 -0.1 0.3 -0.5
Abel De Los Santos 22 – 2 -0.1 – –
Tanner Roark 28 pre-arb 40 -0.1 0.5 -0.7
Wilmer Difo 23 – 15 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Michael A. Taylor 24 pre-arb 138 -0.1 0.5 -0.8
Taylor Hill 26 pre-arb 6 -0.1 0.0 -0.3
Rafael Martín 31 pre-arb 13 -0.1 0.1 -0.5
Jayson Werth 36 FA-elig 88 -0.1 21.0 -21.4
Reed Johnson 38 FA-elig 17 -0.2 1.0 -1.6
Xavier Cedeño↔ TBR 28 arb 5 -0.2 0.0 -0.6
Jonathan Papelbon↔ PHI 34 FA-elig 22 -0.2 4.8 -5.6
Wilson Ramos 27 arb 128 -0.5 3.5 -5.1
Tyler Moore 28 arb 97 -0.9 0.5 -3.4

44 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 43 of them (98%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for WSN
Dennis Martínez198622.5
Gio Gonzalez201120.8
Trea Turner201519.4
Liván Hernández200317.2
Bryn Smith197716.4
Moisés Alou199013.8
Tanner Roark201012.8
Mike Lansing199112.0
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Grady Sizemore200230.3
Cliff Lee200214.7
Tim Raines199014.5
Lucas Giolito201613.5
Cliff Floyd199713.2
Gary Carter198412.8
Maicer Izturis200412.2
Carl Pavano20028.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.