Rosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Michael Rizzo (since 2010)

2016 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+10.9
WAB — wins above budget
+9.0
TAB — roster Talent above budget
95–67 (0.586)
record · made playoffs
-1M
surplus $M (value/$)
45.2
roster fWAR
$147.7M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Max Scherzer 31 FA-elig 34 5.8 22.1 -3.3
Daniel Murphy 31 FA-elig 142 4.7 8.0 +7.1
Stephen Strasburg 27 FA-elig 24 4.2 10.4 +3.2
Wilson Ramos 28 FA-elig 131 4.1 5.3 +7.9
Trea Turner 23 pre-arb 73 4.0 0.2 +12.7
Anthony Rendon 26 arb 156 3.3 2.8 +7.9
Tanner Roark 29 arb 34 3.3 0.5 +10.1
Gio Gonzalez 30 FA-elig 32 2.7 12.0 -3.2
Joe Ross 23 pre-arb 23 2.5 0.5 +7.6
Bryce Harper 23 arb 147 1.9 5.0 +1.3
Jayson Werth 37 FA-elig 143 1.1 21.0 -17.3
Shawn Kelley 32 FA-elig 67 1.1 4.0 -0.5
Danny Espinosa 29 FA-elig 157 1.0 2.9 +0.3
Mark Melancon↔ PIT 31 FA-elig 30 1.0 3.9 -0.8
Stephen Drew 33 FA-elig 70 0.8 3.0 -0.6
Sammy Solís 27 pre-arb 37 0.7 0.4 +1.9
Jose Lobatón 31 FA-elig 39 0.7 1.4 +0.8
Felipe Vázquez↔ PIT 24 pre-arb 47 0.7 0.3 +1.8
Matt Belisle 36 FA-elig 40 0.7 1.2 +0.9
Blake Treinen 28 pre-arb 73 0.5 0.5 +1.0
Pedro Severino 22 pre-arb 16 0.5 0.2 +1.4
Reynaldo López 22 – 11 0.5 0.1 +1.4
Michael A. Taylor 25 pre-arb 76 0.4 0.5 +0.9
Jonathan Papelbon 35 FA-elig 37 0.3 11.0 -9.9
Wilmer Difo 24 pre-arb 31 0.3 0.2 +0.9
Oliver Pérez 34 FA-elig 64 0.3 3.0 -2.0
Chris Heisey 31 FA-elig 83 0.2 1.2 -0.4
Mat Latos↔ CHW 28 FA-elig 6 0.2 1.1 -0.3
A.J. Cole 24 pre-arb 8 0.2 0.1 +0.6
Marc Rzepczynski↔ OAK 30 FA-elig 14 0.1 0.6 -0.1
Brian Goodwin 25 – 22 0.1 0.1 +0.3
Matt Grace 27 pre-arb 5 0.1 0.1 +0.3
Trevor Gott 23 pre-arb 9 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Rafael Martín 32 pre-arb 8 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Matthew den Dekker 28 – 19 0.1 – –
Spencer Kieboom 25 pre-arb 1 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Sean Burnett 33 FA-elig 10 -0.0 0.1 -0.2
Koda Glover 23 – 19 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Yusmeiro Petit 31 FA-elig 36 -0.2 2.5 -3.0
Clint Robinson 31 arb 104 -0.6 0.5 -2.3
Lucas Giolito 21 – 6 -0.6 0.1 -2.0
Ben Revere 28 FA-elig 103 -0.8 6.2 -9.0
Ryan Zimmerman 31 FA-elig 115 -0.9 14.0 -16.8

43 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 42 of them (98%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for WSN
Dennis Martínez198622.5
Gio Gonzalez201120.8
Trea Turner201519.4
Liván Hernández200317.2
Bryn Smith197716.4
Moisés Alou199013.8
Tanner Roark201012.8
Mike Lansing199112.0
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Grady Sizemore200230.3
Cliff Lee200214.7
Tim Raines199014.5
Lucas Giolito201613.5
Cliff Floyd199713.2
Gary Carter198412.8
Maicer Izturis200412.2
Carl Pavano20028.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.