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Nationals WSN

201695–67 (0.586)Made Playoffs
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2016, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$148M
Surplus $M
-1
Win %
0.586
TAB
+9.0
WAB
+11.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
45.2
Dead money %
29%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-3.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2016 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RWilson Ramos128
BJose Lobatón38
RPedro Severino15
RSpencer Kieboom1

1B

RRyan Zimmerman114
LClint Robinson46
LDaniel Murphy21

2B

LDaniel Murphy117
RTrea Turner30
LStephen Drew21
BWilmer Difo9

3B

RAnthony Rendon155
LStephen Drew12
BWilmer Difo3
LDaniel Murphy1

SS

BDanny Espinosa157
LStephen Drew12
BWilmer Difo5
RTrea Turner2

LF

RJayson Werth131
RChris Heisey25
LBen Revere25
LBrian Goodwin5
LClint Robinson3
LMatthew den Dekker3
RMichael A. Taylor1

CF

LBen Revere74
RMichael A. Taylor64
RTrea Turner45
LMatthew den Dekker6
RChris Heisey3
LBrian Goodwin1

RF

LBryce Harper143
RChris Heisey16
LBrian Goodwin8
RMichael A. Taylor5
LMatthew den Dekker4
RJayson Werth2

DH

RJayson Werth6
RChris Heisey1
LClint Robinson1
LDaniel Murphy1
RRyan Zimmerman1
LStephen Drew1

Starters

RMax Scherzer5.8 WAR
RStephen Strasburg4.2 WAR
RTanner Roark3.3 WAR
LGio Gonzalez2.7 WAR
RJoe Ross2.5 WAR
RReynaldo Lopez0.5 WAR
RA.J. Cole0.2 WAR
RMat Latos⇄0.2 WAR
RYusmeiro Petit-0.2 WAR
RLucas Giolito-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

★ RMark Melancon⇄47 sv
RBlake Treinen22 h
LOliver Perez15 h
RShawn Kelley13 h
LSammy Solis9 h
RMatt Belisle4 h
RJonathan Papelbon1 h
LFelipe Vazquez⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Daniel Murphy4.7
Shawn Kelley1.1
Mark Melancon1.0
Stephen Drew0.8
Matt Belisle0.7
Reynaldo López0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Jordan Zimmermann3.1
Denard Span1.6
Ian Desmond1.4
Doug Fister0.5
Matt Thornton0.4
Taylor Jordan0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2016; everyone else is shown as a 2016 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Max Scherzer 2016 +5.8 +116.2 22.1 +94.1 $3.8M 2.50× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Stephen Strasburg 2016 +4.2 +73.3 10.4 +62.9 $2.5M 2.19× –
Trea Turner 2016 +4.0 +57.4 0.2 +57.2 $0.1M 1.79× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $27.3M AAV
Tanner Roark 2016 +3.3 +51.4 0.5 +50.8 $0.2M 1.96× –
Daniel Murphy 2016 +4.7 +45.0 8.0 +37.0 $1.7M 1.20× –
Wilson Ramos 2016 +4.1 +36.6 5.3 +31.3 $1.3M 1.12× –
Gio Gonzalez 2016 +2.7 +42.5 12.0 +30.5 $4.4M 1.96× –
Joe Ross 2016 +2.5 +29.6 0.5 +29.1 $0.2M 1.49× –
Anthony Rendon 2016 +3.3 +29.5 2.8 +26.7 $0.8M 1.12× Free Agent · 2020–2025 · $35.0M AAV
Bryce Harper 2016 +1.9 +18.9 5.0 +13.9 $2.6M 1.22× Free Agent · 2019–2031 · $25.4M AAV
Shawn Kelley 2016 +1.1 +11.6 4.0 +7.6 $3.7M 1.34× –
Mark Melancon↔ 2016 +1.0 +10.2 3.9 +6.4 $4.0M 1.34× –
Reynaldo López 2016 +0.5 +3.7 0.1 +3.6 $0.3M 1.02× Extension · 2025–2027 · $10.0M AAV
Sammy Solís 2016 +0.7 +3.8 0.4 +3.4 $0.6M 0.67× –
Felipe Vázquez↔ 2016 +0.7 +3.5 0.3 +3.2 $0.5M 0.67× –
Michael A. Taylor 2016 +0.4 +2.9 0.5 +2.4 $1.2M 0.83× –
Matt Belisle 2016 +0.7 +3.5 1.2 +2.2 $1.9M 0.67× –
Blake Treinen 2016 +0.5 +2.6 0.5 +2.1 $1.1M 0.67× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $11.0M AAV
Danny Espinosa 2016 +1.0 +4.8 2.9 +1.9 $2.9M 0.61× –
Pedro Severino 2016 +0.5 +2.0 0.2 +1.8 $0.3M 0.52× –
A.J. Cole 2016 +0.2 +1.8 0.1 +1.7 $0.5M 1.02× –
Jose Lobatón 2016 +0.7 +2.8 1.4 +1.4 $2.1M 0.52× –
Wilmer Difo 2016 +0.3 +1.5 0.2 +1.3 $0.5M 0.56× –
Brian Goodwin 2016 +0.1 +0.9 0.1 +0.8 $0.9M 0.83× –
Matt Grace 2016 +0.1 +0.6 0.1 +0.5 $0.8M 0.67× –
Chris Heisey 2016 +0.2 +1.7 1.2 +0.4 $5.0M 0.83× –
Rafael Martín 2016 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.4 $1.1M 0.67× –
Stephen Drew 2016 +0.8 +3.4 3.0 +0.4 $4.0M 0.56× –
Trevor Gott 2016 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $0.9M 0.67× –
Marc Rzepczynski↔ 2016 +0.1 +0.8 0.6 +0.2 $3.9M 0.67× –
Mat Latos↔ 2016 +0.2 +1.3 1.1 +0.2 $4.4M 0.67× –
Spencer Kieboom 2016 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $0.5M 0.52× –
Sean Burnett 2016 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Koda Glover 2016 -0.1 -0.4 0.1 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Oliver Pérez 2016 +0.3 +1.6 3.0 -1.4 $10.0M 0.67× –
Clint Robinson 2016 -0.6 -2.5 0.5 -3.0 – 0.56× –
Yusmeiro Petit 2016 -0.2 -0.8 2.5 -3.3 – 0.67× –
Lucas Giolito 2016 -0.6 -4.6 0.1 -4.7 – 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $3.0M AAV
Jonathan Papelbon 2016 +0.3 +3.7 11.0 -7.3 $31.9M 1.34× –
Ben Revere 2016 -0.8 -5.6 6.2 -11.9 – 0.83× –
Jayson Werth 2016 +1.1 +7.5 21.0 -13.5 $18.5M 0.83× –
Ryan Zimmerman 2016 -0.9 -3.9 14.0 -17.9 – 0.56× –
Matthew den Dekker 2016 +0.1 +0.4 – – – 0.83× –
Total—+45.1+559.9147.3+412.1—

Trades

Every graded 2016 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

2016 · CHW / WSN
CHW · Kenny Williams +$192.0M
Lucas Giolito, Reynaldo López, Dane Dunning
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$192.0M
Adam Eaton
CHW came out ahead by $192.0M
2016 · TOR / WSN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$8.8M
Drew Storen
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$8.8M
Ben Revere
TOR came out ahead by $8.8M
2016 · SDP / WSN
SDP · AJ Preller +$3.2M
Pedro Avila
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$3.2M
Derek Norris
SDP came out ahead by $3.2M
2016 · PHI / WSN
PHI · Matt Klentak +$0.8M
Mario Sanchez
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$0.8M
Jimmy Cordero
PHI came out ahead by $0.8M
2016 · WSN / ATL
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Nate Freiman
ATL · John Hart +$0.0M
Tyler Moore
Even trade
2016 · WSN / ANA
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$3.2M
Austin Adams, Kyle McGowin
ANA · Billy Eppler −$3.2M
Danny Espinosa
WSN came out ahead by $3.2M
2016 · WSN / PIT
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.8M
Taylor Gushue
PIT · Neal Huntington −$0.8M
Christopher Bostick
WSN came out ahead by $0.8M
2016 · WSN / ANA
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
ANA · Billy Eppler −$0.8M
Brendan Ryan
WSN came out ahead by $0.8M
2016 · WSN / OAK
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Marc Rzepczynski
OAK · Billy Beane +$0.0M
Max Schrock
Even trade
2016 · PIT / WSN
PIT · Neal Huntington +$37.6M
Felipe Vázquez, Taylor Hearn
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$37.6M
Mark Melancon
PIT came out ahead by $37.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$147.7M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Max Scherzer317.079$22.1MFREE AGENT
Jayson Werth3712.102$21.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Zimmerman3110.032$14.0MFREE AGENT
Gio Gonzalez306.162$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon3511.000$11.0MFREE AGENT
Daniel Murphy316.109$8.0MFREE AGENT
Shawn Kelley326.128$4.0MFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez3411.058$3.0MFREE AGENT
Stephen Drew339.038$3.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Belisle3610.019$1.2MFREE AGENT
Mat Latos286.079$1.1MFREE AGENT
Sean Burnett338.085$86kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Stephen Strasburg275.118$10.4MFREE AGENT
Ben Revere284.149$6.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos285.047$5.3MFREE AGENT
Bryce Harper233.159$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Melancon315.098$3.9MFREE AGENT
Danny Espinosa294.113$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit315.016$2.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Lobatón314.138$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heisey315.042$1.2MFREE AGENT
Marc Rzepczynski305.132$590kFREE AGENT
Matthew den Dekker283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Anthony Rendon262.130$2.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Roark292.055$543kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Robinson312.028$535kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Treinen281.065$525kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael A. Taylor252.000$525kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ross230.094$514kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sammy Solís270.097$441kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Vázquez240.162$323kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trea Turner230.045$250kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilmer Difo240.051$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Severino220.034$161kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Koda Glover230.000$141kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Cole240.047$122kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Goodwin250.000$119kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reynaldo López220.000$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Giolito210.000$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Martín320.080$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Gott230.114$87kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Grace270.074$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Kieboom250.149$17kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2016 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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