RRosternomics
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Blue Jays TOR

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GM: Pat Gillick

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.2× league · TAB -8.6
-8.6TAB — talent above budget21st/28
-4.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/28
-5.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/28
33%dead money %17th/28
0.478win %12th/28
19.8roster fWAR14th/28
-16surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/28
$38Mpayroll $M8th/28

Roster

CFDevon White 98GMike Huff 20GRob Butler 12G
LFMike Huff 56GCarlos Delgado 41GDarnell Coles 24G
RFJoe Carter 110GMike Huff 8GShawn Green 5G
SSDick Schofield 95GAlex Gonzalez 15GDomingo Cedeño 8G
2BRoberto Alomar 106GDomingo Cedeño 28G
3BEd Sprague Jr. 107GDarnell Coles 7GDomingo Cedeño 6G
1BJohn Olerud 104GDarnell Coles 10GPaul Molitor 5G
STARTERSPat Hentgen 3.5WARAl Leiter 2.5WARTodd Stottlemyre 2.0WARJuan Guzmán 1.8WARDave Stewart 0.8WAR
CPat Borders 85GRandy Knorr 40GCarlos Delgado 1G
DHPaul Molitor 110GJohn Olerud 3GDarnell Coles 1G
BULLPEN★ Darren Hall 17svTony Castillo 0hWoody Williams 0hMike Timlin 0hDave Righetti 0hScott Brow 0hDanny Cox 0hBrad Cornett 0h
CPat Borders 85 · Randy Knorr 40 · Carlos Delgado 1
1BJohn Olerud 104 · Darnell Coles 10 · Paul Molitor 5
2BRoberto Alomar 106 · Domingo Cedeño 28
3BEd Sprague Jr. 107 · Darnell Coles 7 · Domingo Cedeño 6
SSDick Schofield 95 · Alex Gonzalez 15 · Domingo Cedeño 8
LFMike Huff 56 · Carlos Delgado 41 · Darnell Coles 24
CFDevon White 98 · Mike Huff 20 · Rob Butler 12
RFJoe Carter 110 · Mike Huff 8 · Shawn Green 5
DHPaul Molitor 110 · John Olerud 3 · Darnell Coles 1
SPPat Hentgen 3.5 · Al Leiter 2.5 · Todd Stottlemyre 2.0 · Juan Guzmán 1.8 · Dave Stewart 0.8
BP★ Darren Hall 17 · Tony Castillo 0 · Woody Williams 0 · Mike Timlin 0 · Dave Righetti 0 · Scott Brow 0 · Danny Cox 0 · Brad Cornett 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pat Hentgen 25 arb 243.5 0.6 +3.5
Paul Molitor 37 FA-elig 1153.4 4.0 -0.1
John Olerud 25 arb 1083.1 3.8 -0.2
Al Leiter 28 FA-elig 202.5 0.6 +2.4
Devon White 31 FA-elig 1002.1 3.1 -0.7
Todd Stottlemyre 29 FA-elig 262.0 2.4 -0.1
Roberto Alomar 26 FA-elig 1072.0 5.4 -3.1
Juan Guzman 27 arb 251.8 1.0 +1.1
Mike Huff 30 arb 801.4 0.2 +1.4
Dave Stewart 37 FA-elig 220.8 4.2 -3.4
Brad Cornett 25 – 90.6 – –
Woody Williams 27 pre-arb 380.5 0.1 +0.5
Darren Hall 29 – 300.5 – –
Danny Cox 34 FA-elig 100.5 0.8 -0.3
Tony Castillo 31 FA-elig 410.4 0.4 +0.0
Joe Carter 34 FA-elig 1110.4 5.5 -5.1
Mike Timlin 28 arb 340.2 0.5 -0.3
Alex Gonzalez 21 pre-arb 150.0 0.1 -0.1
Randy St. Claire 33 – 20.0 – –
Randy Knorr 25 arb 40-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Aaron Small 22 – 1-0.1 – –
Dave Righetti↔ OAK 35 FA-elig 13-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Robert Perez 25 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Dick Schofield 31 FA-elig 95-0.2 0.6 -0.8
Pat Borders 31 FA-elig 85-0.2 2.5 -2.7
Darnell Coles 32 FA-elig 48-0.2 0.5 -0.8
Scott Brow 25 pre-arb 18-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Greg Cadaret↔ DET 32 FA-elig 21-0.3 0.3 -0.7
Paul Spoljaric 23 pre-arb 2-0.4 0.1 -0.6
Carlos Delgado 22 pre-arb 43-0.5 0.1 -0.7
Shawn Green 21 pre-arb 14-0.7 0.1 -1.0
Ed Sprague Jr. 26 arb 109-0.8 0.5 -1.4
Rob Butler 24 – 41-0.9 – –
Domingo Cedeno 25 pre-arb 47-1.0 0.1 -1.3

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Huff1.4
Brad Cornett0.6
Darren Hall0.5
Alex Gonzalez0.0
Randy St. Claire0.0
Aaron Small-0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Tony Fernandez2.8
Duane Ward2.6
Jack Morris1.7
Mark Eichhorn1.0
Rickey Henderson0.4
Domingo Martinez0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$38.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Joe Carter3411.000$5.5M$7.5M$6.5M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Roberto Alomar266.000$5.4M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Dave Stewart3716.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Paul Molitor3716.000$4.0M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Devon White319.000$3.1M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Borders316.000$2.5MFREE AGENT$135k
Todd Stottlemyre296.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Danny Cox3411.000$800k$700kFREE AGENT
Dick Schofield3111.000$640kFREE AGENT
Al Leiter287.000$565k$795kFREE AGENT
Darnell Coles3211.000$500kFREE AGENT
Tony Castillo316.000$438k$610k$480kFREE AGENT
Greg Cadaret327.000$304kFREE AGENT
Dave Righetti3515.000$71kFREE AGENT
Randy St. Claire3310.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
John Olerud255.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Juan Guzman273.000$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Hentgen253.000$550kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Timlin283.000$510kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Sprague Jr.263.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Huff305.000$222kFREE AGENT
Randy Knorr253.000$170kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Woody Williams271.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Cedeno251.000$122kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Brow251.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Delgado221.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Gonzalez210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Green211.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Perez250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Spoljaric230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Butler241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Cornett25–—
Darren Hall290.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Small220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Blue Jays 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.