RRosternomics
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Rays TBR

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GM: Chuck Lamar

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.3× league · TAB +1.2
+1.2TAB — talent above budget15th/30
-3.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-7.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
44%dead money %25th/30
0.389win %29th/30
20.7roster fWAR26th/30
+14surplus $M (value vs cost)3rd/30
$21Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFRocco Baldelli 154GCarl Crawford 13GJason Tyner 2G
LFCarl Crawford 137GAdam Piatt 33GJason Tyner 9G
RFAubrey Huff 102GDamian Rolls 33GJason Tyner 23G
SSJulio Lugo 139GRey Ordonez 34GFelix Escalona 8G
2BMarlon Anderson 134GAntonio Perez 31GTerry Shumpert 14G
3BDamian Rolls 73GJared Sandberg 50GDamion Easley 23G
1BTravis Lee 142GAubrey Huff 22GAl Martin 1G
STARTERSGeremi Gonzalez 1.6WARVictor Zambrano 0.8WARJorge Sosa 0.8WARDoug Waechter 0.6WARJoe Kennedy 0.6WAR
CToby Hall 130GJavier Valentin 42GPete Laforest 4G
DHAl Martin 48GBen Grieve 36GAubrey Huff 33G
BULLPEN★ Lance Carter 26svTravis Harper 15hJesus Colome 11hMark Malaska 7hBrandon Backe 5hMike Venafro 4hChad Gaudin 0hBobby Seay 0h
CToby Hall 130 · Javier Valentin 42 · Pete Laforest 4
1BTravis Lee 142 · Aubrey Huff 22 · Al Martin 1
2BMarlon Anderson 134 · Antonio Perez 31 · Terry Shumpert 14
3BDamian Rolls 73 · Jared Sandberg 50 · Damion Easley 23
SSJulio Lugo 139 · Rey Ordonez 34 · Felix Escalona 8
LFCarl Crawford 137 · Adam Piatt 33 · Jason Tyner 9
CFRocco Baldelli 154 · Carl Crawford 13 · Jason Tyner 2
RFAubrey Huff 102 · Damian Rolls 33 · Jason Tyner 23
DHAl Martin 48 · Ben Grieve 36 · Aubrey Huff 33
SPGeremi Gonzalez 1.6 · Victor Zambrano 0.8 · Jorge Sosa 0.8 · Doug Waechter 0.6 · Joe Kennedy 0.6
BP★ Lance Carter 26 · Travis Harper 15 · Jesus Colome 11 · Mark Malaska 7 · Brandon Backe 5 · Mike Venafro 4 · Chad Gaudin 0 · Bobby Seay 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2003 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Travis Lee 28 arb 1453.4 0.5 +5.6
Julio Lugo↔ HOU 27 arb 1173.2 1.3 +4.4
Aubrey Huff 26 arb 1623.1 0.3 +5.2
Marlon Anderson 29 arb 1452.2 0.6 +3.2
Carl Crawford 21 pre-arb 1511.9 0.3 +3.1
Damian Rolls 25 arb 1071.9 0.3 +3.1
Rocco Baldelli 21 pre-arb 1561.8 0.3 +2.9
Geremi Gonzalez 28 – 251.6 – –
Toby Hall 27 arb 1301.3 0.3 +1.9
Jared Sandberg 25 – 550.8 – –
Victor Zambrano 27 pre-arb 340.8 0.3 +1.2
Antonio Perez 23 – 480.8 – –
Jorge Sosa 25 pre-arb 290.8 0.3 +1.0
Travis Harper 27 arb 610.7 0.3 +0.9
Rey Ordonez 32 FA-elig 340.6 6.5 -5.3
Joe Kennedy 24 pre-arb 320.6 0.3 +0.8
Doug Waechter 22 – 60.6 – –
Chris Truby 29 – 130.4 – –
Mark Malaska 25 – 220.4 – –
Jason Tyner 26 – 460.3 – –
Chad Gaudin 20 – 150.2 – –
Mike Venafro 29 arb 240.2 0.3 +0.0
Lance Carter 28 arb 620.2 0.3 +0.0
Bobby Seay 25 pre-arb 120.1 0.3 -0.2
Rob Bell 26 – 190.1 – –
Jeff Liefer↔ WSN 28 arb 90.0 0.1 -0.0
Felix Escalona 24 – 10-0.0 – –
Ben Grieve 27 FA-elig 55-0.0 5.5 -5.5
Jesus Colome 25 pre-arb 54-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Jason Smith 25 – 1-0.1 – –
Adam Piatt↔ OAK 27 arb 14-0.1 0.1 -0.2
John Rocker 28 – 2-0.1 – –
Matt Diaz 25 – 4-0.1 – –
Brandon Backe 25 – 29-0.1 – –
Brent Abernathy↔ KCR 25 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Jason Standridge 24 – 8-0.1 – –
Al Levine↔ KCR 35 – 36-0.2 – –
Jonny Gomes 22 – 8-0.2 – –
Jon Switzer 23 – 5-0.2 – –
Jim Parque 28 arb 5-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Javier Valentin 27 FA-elig 49-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Dewon Brazelton 23 – 10-0.2 – –
Seth McClung 22 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.3 -0.7
George Lombard 27 – 13-0.3 – –
Terry Shumpert 36 FA-elig 59-0.3 0.3 -0.8
Carlos Reyes 34 – 10-0.3 – –
Steve Parris 35 FA-elig 10-0.6 0.4 -1.4
Pete Laforest 25 – 19-0.7 – –
Al Martin 35 FA-elig 100-0.7 0.3 -1.5
Nick Bierbrodt↔ CLE 25 pre-arb 13-0.9 0.2 -1.8
Damion Easley 33 – 36-1.3 – –

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Travis Lee3.4
Julio Lugo3.2
Marlon Anderson2.2
Rocco Baldelli1.8
Geremi Gonzalez1.6
Antonio Perez0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Randy Winn4.6
Chris Gomez1.5
Tanyon Sturtze1.3
Paul Wilson1.1
Ryan Rupe1.1
Jason Conti1.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$20.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Rey Ordonez327.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Ben Grieve276.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Steve Parris358.000$400kFREE AGENT
Javier Valentin276.000$305kFREE AGENT
Al Martin3511.000$300kFREE AGENT
Terry Shumpert3613.000$300kFREE AGENT
Damion Easley3311.000—FREE AGENT
Geremi Gonzalez286.000—$1.7MFREE AGENT
Al Levine357.000—FREE AGENT
Carlos Reyes349.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Julio Lugo273.000$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marlon Anderson295.000$600kFREE AGENT
Travis Lee285.000$500kFREE AGENT
Jim Parque285.000$400kFREE AGENT
Aubrey Huff263.000$325kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Toby Hall273.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Harper273.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance Carter284.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Venafro294.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Damian Rolls253.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Piatt273.000$74kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Liefer284.000$65kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Rocker285.000—FREE AGENT
Chris Truby293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Bell263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Tyner263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Bobby Seay252.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Zambrano272.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Kennedy242.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Colome252.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Sosa251.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rocco Baldelli210.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Crawford211.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth McClung220.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Bierbrodt252.000$217kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Abernathy252.000$50kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Lombard27–—
Jared Sandberg25–—
Jason Standridge242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Smith252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dewon Brazelton231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Perez230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Backe251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felix Escalona241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Switzer230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Laforest25–—
Doug Waechter220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Malaska25–—
Matt Diaz250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Gaudin200.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Gomes220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rays 2003; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.