RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.4× league · TAB -0.2
-0.2TAB — talent above budget15th/30
-2.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars12th/30
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
56%dead money %25th/30
0.519win %12th/30
38.2roster fWAR11th/30
-50surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/30
$170Mpayroll $M4th/30

Roster

CFÁngel Pagán 124GGrégor Blanco 44GJuan Carlos Perez 5G
LFNorichika Aoki 86GAlejandro De Aza 69GGrégor Blanco 38G
RFJustin Maxwell 58GHunter Pence 51GMarlon Byrd 41G
SSBrandon Crawford 140GEhire Adrianza 20GJoaquin Arias 8G
2BJoe Panik 99GKelby Tomlinson 50GEhire Adrianza 20G
3BMatt Duffy 134GJoaquin Arias 8GEhire Adrianza 1G
1BBrandon Belt 120GBuster Posey 42GKevin Frandsen 4G
STARTERSMadison Bumgarner 6.1WARJake Peavy 1.5WARChris Heston 1.5WARTim Lincecum 0.4WARTim Hudson 0.4WAR
CBuster Posey 106GAndrew Susac 40GHéctor Sánchez 16G
DHBuster Posey 3GMarlon Byrd 2GMac Williamson 2G
BULLPEN★ Santiago Casilla 38svSergio Romo 34hJavier López 20hHunter Strickland 20hGeorge Kontos 14hJosh Osich 11hJeremy Affeldt 9hYusmeiro Petit 0h
CBuster Posey 106 · Andrew Susac 40 · Héctor Sánchez 16
1BBrandon Belt 120 · Buster Posey 42 · Kevin Frandsen 4
2BJoe Panik 99 · Kelby Tomlinson 50 · Ehire Adrianza 20
3BMatt Duffy 134 · Joaquin Arias 8 · Ehire Adrianza 1
SSBrandon Crawford 140 · Ehire Adrianza 20 · Joaquin Arias 8
LFNorichika Aoki 86 · Alejandro De Aza 69 · Grégor Blanco 38
CFÁngel Pagán 124 · Grégor Blanco 44 · Juan Carlos Perez 5
RFJustin Maxwell 58 · Hunter Pence 51 · Marlon Byrd 41
DHBuster Posey 3 · Marlon Byrd 2 · Mac Williamson 2
SPMadison Bumgarner 6.1 · Jake Peavy 1.5 · Chris Heston 1.5 · Tim Lincecum 0.4 · Tim Hudson 0.4
BP★ Santiago Casilla 38 · Sergio Romo 34 · Javier López 20 · Hunter Strickland 20 · George Kontos 14 · Josh Osich 11 · Jeremy Affeldt 9 · Yusmeiro Petit 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Buster Posey 28 FA-elig 1506.8 16.5 +4.9
Madison Bumgarner 25 FA-elig 366.1 6.8 +12.5
Matt Duffy 24 pre-arb 1494.4 0.5 +13.4
Brandon Crawford 28 arb 1434.3 3.2 +10.2
Brandon Belt 27 arb 1373.9 3.6 +8.8
Joe Panik 24 pre-arb 1003.8 0.5 +11.5
Grégor Blanco 31 FA-elig 1152.0 3.6 +2.7
Sergio Romo 32 FA-elig 701.8 6.0 -0.4
Jake Peavy 34 FA-elig 191.5 9.0 -4.2
Chris Heston 27 pre-arb 311.5 0.5 +4.3
Hunter Pence 32 FA-elig 521.3 18.5 -14.5
Norichika Aoki 33 arb 931.2 4.0 -0.1
Kelby Tomlinson 25 – 541.1 0.2 +3.4
Jarrett Parker 26 pre-arb 210.9 0.1 +2.6
Hunter Strickland 26 pre-arb 550.7 0.4 +1.9
Marlon Byrd↔ CIN 37 FA-elig 390.6 2.3 -0.3
Tim Lincecum 31 FA-elig 160.4 18.0 -16.7
Tim Hudson 39 FA-elig 240.4 12.0 -10.8
Javier López 37 FA-elig 770.2 4.0 -3.3
Ehire Adrianza 25 pre-arb 520.2 0.3 +0.2
Alejandro De Aza↔ BAL 31 FA-elig 240.1 1.1 -0.6
Andrew Susac 25 pre-arb 520.1 0.5 -0.0
Santiago Casilla 34 FA-elig 670.1 5.0 -4.6
Jackson Williams 29 pre-arb 70.1 0.1 +0.3
Cory Gearrin 29 pre-arb 70.1 0.1 +0.3
Ryan Vogelsong 37 FA-elig 330.1 4.0 -3.8
Brett Bochy 27 pre-arb 40.0 0.1 -0.0
Mike Broadway 28 pre-arb 21-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Juan Carlos Perez 28 – 22-0.1 – –
Kevin Frandsen 33 arb 7-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Josh Osich 26 – 35-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Cody Hall 27 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Mike Leake↔ CIN 27 arb 12-0.1 3.2 -3.4
Travis Ishikawa↔ PIT 31 FA-elig 6-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Ryan Lollis 28 – 5-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Justin Maxwell 31 FA-elig 100-0.2 1.0 -1.5
Ángel Pagán 33 FA-elig 133-0.2 10.2 -10.7
Nick Noonan 26 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Yusmeiro Petit 30 FA-elig 42-0.2 2.1 -2.8
George Kontos 30 arb 73-0.2 0.5 -1.3
Jean Machi↔ BOS 33 arb 33-0.3 0.3 -1.1
Mac Williamson 24 – 10-0.3 0.0 -1.1
Héctor Sánchez 25 arb 28-0.3 0.8 -1.9
Trevor Brown 23 pre-arb 13-0.4 0.0 -1.2
Joaquin Arias 30 FA-elig 40-0.4 1.4 -2.8
Matt Cain 30 FA-elig 13-0.7 21.0 -23.3
Casey McGehee↔ MIA 32 FA-elig 49-0.8 2.2 -4.7
Jeremy Affeldt 36 FA-elig 52-0.9 6.0 -8.8

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Norichika Aoki1.2
Kelby Tomlinson1.1
Jarrett Parker0.9
Marlon Byrd0.6
Alejandro De Aza0.1
Jackson Williams0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Pablo Sandoval3.3
Michael Morse1.6
Brandon Hicks0.4
Gary Brown0.2
Tyler Colvin0.1
Erik Cordier0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$170.2M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Matt Cain3011.038$21.0MFREE AGENT
Hunter Pence327.156$18.5MFREE AGENT
Tim Lincecum317.148$18.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Hudson3915.119$12.0MFREE AGENT
Ángel Pagán338.144$10.2MFREE AGENT
Jake Peavy3412.101$9.0MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Affeldt3613.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Sergio Romo326.097$6.0MFREE AGENT
Santiago Casilla347.148$5.0MFREE AGENT
Javier López3710.167$4.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Vogelsong378.020$4.0MFREE AGENT
Marlon Byrd3710.115$2.3MFREE AGENT
Alejandro De Aza318.000$1.1MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Buster Posey284.161$16.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Madison Bumgarner254.127$6.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Norichika Aoki333.000$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Belt273.128$3.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grégor Blanco314.164$3.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Crawford283.094$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Leake275.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Casey McGehee325.028$2.2MFREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit304.016$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joaquin Arias305.071$1.4MFREE AGENT
Justin Maxwell313.140$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Ishikawa314.006$150kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen335.151$31kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Héctor Sánchez252.166$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Panik240.100$522kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Kontos301.171$518kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Duffy240.059$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heston271.140$485kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Susac250.065$469kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Strickland260.028$374kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jean Machi332.154$295kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ehire Adrianza251.026$287kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Osich260.000$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelby Tomlinson250.000$172kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Broadway280.060$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Noonan260.151$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Hall270.034$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarrett Parker260.002$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Williams290.065$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Bochy270.055$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Gearrin292.109$72kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mac Williamson240.000$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Brown231.019$42kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Lollis28–$8k
Juan Carlos Perez282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.