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Padres SDP

202179–83 (0.488)
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GM: AJ Preller

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2021, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$176M
Surplus $M
-61
Win %
0.488
TAB
-2.6
WAB
-7.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
35.6
Dead money %
21%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-2.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2021 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BVictor Caratini101
RAustin Nola48
RWebster Rivas24
RLuis Campusano9

1B

LEric Hosmer131
LJake Cronenworth24
BJurickson Profar20
BVictor Caratini5
LBrian O'Grady1
RAustin Nola1

2B

LJake Cronenworth94
LAdam Frazier⇄52
RHa-Seong Kim21
BJurickson Profar10
LTucupita Marcano8
RAustin Nola4
BIvan Castillo1

3B

RManny Machado144
RHa-Seong Kim23
BVictor Caratini2
BIvan Castillo1
LTucupita Marcano1

SS

RFernando Tatis Jr.102
LJake Cronenworth41
RHa-Seong Kim35

LF

RTommy Pham113
BJurickson Profar36
RWil Myers13
RJake Marisnick⇄9
LAdam Frazier⇄4
LBrian O'Grady4
LTucupita Marcano4
RJohn Andreoli3
RJoe Musgrove1

CF

LTrent Grisham127
RJake Marisnick⇄24
BJurickson Profar20
RJorge Mateo⇄11
RTommy Pham11
RFernando Tatis Jr.7
RJohn Andreoli2
LBrian O'Grady2

RF

RWil Myers118
BJurickson Profar29
RFernando Tatis Jr.20
LBrian O'Grady10
LTucupita Marcano4
RPatrick Kivlehan2
RJohn Andreoli2
RJake Marisnick⇄1
RTommy Pham1

DH

RManny Machado3
RTommy Pham3
LEric Hosmer2
RFernando Tatis Jr.1
RWil Myers1

Starters

RJoe Musgrove2.7 WAR
RYu Darvish2.7 WAR
LBlake Snell2.1 WAR
RChris Paddack1.6 WAR
RPierce Johnson0.8 WAR
RCraig Stammen0.8 WAR
RDinelson Lamet0.6 WAR
LMatt Strahm0.1 WAR
RPedro Avila-0.0 WAR
RJake Arrieta⇄-0.0 WAR
LRyan Weathers0.0 WAR
RMiguel Diaz-0.1 WAR
RReiss Knehr-0.1 WAR
LAdrian Morejon-0.2 WAR
RVince Velasquez⇄-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RMark Melancon39 sv
LTim Hill19 h
REmilio Pagan17 h
LDrew Pomeranz13 h
RPierce Johnson12 h
RAustin Adams11 h
RCraig Stammen7 h
RNabil Crismatt3 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Yu Darvish2.7
Joe Musgrove2.7
Blake Snell2.1
Mark Melancon1.1
Adam Frazier0.6
Ha-Seong Kim0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Zach Davies1.4
Garrett Richards0.7
Trevor Rosenthal0.6
Ty France0.3
Cal Quantrill0.2
Joey Lucchesi0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Padres. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2021; everyone else is shown as a 2021 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2021 +6.8 +82.3 1.7 +80.6 $0.3M 1.51× –
Joe Musgrove 2021 +2.7 +41.7 4.5 +37.3 $1.7M 1.96× Extension · 2023–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Jake Cronenworth 2021 +3.8 +36.3 0.6 +35.7 $0.2M 1.20× Arb extension · 2024–2030 · $11.4M AAV
Trent Grisham 2021 +2.6 +32.7 0.6 +32.1 $0.2M 1.60× Qualifying Offer · 2026–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Yu Darvish 2021 +2.7 +42.8 22.0 +20.8 $8.0M 1.96× Extension · 2023–2028 · $18.0M AAV
Chris Paddack 2021 +1.6 +18.4 0.6 +17.8 $0.4M 1.49× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Blake Snell 2021 +2.1 +24.4 11.1 +13.3 $5.4M 1.49× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $36.4M AAV
Manny Machado 2021 +4.5 +44.8 32.0 +12.8 $7.1M 1.25× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Mark Melancon 2021 +1.1 +11.4 2.0 +9.4 $1.9M 1.34× –
Austin Nola 2021 +1.2 +5.0 0.6 +4.5 $0.5M 0.52× –
Pierce Johnson 2021 +0.8 +4.4 2.0 +2.4 $2.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.5M AAV
Webster Rivas 2021 +0.3 +1.4 0.2 +1.2 $0.6M 0.52× –
Adam Frazier↔ 2021 +0.6 +2.7 1.6 +1.1 $2.6M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
Austin Adams 2021 +0.2 +1.3 0.6 +0.7 $2.4M 0.67× –
Jorge Mateo↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.8 0.2 +0.6 $2.0M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Patrick Kivlehan 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.4 $0.2M 0.83× –
Shaun Anderson↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.4 $0.4M 0.67× –
James Norwood 2021 +0.1 +0.3 0.1 +0.3 $0.8M 0.67× –
Mason Thompson↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.3 0.0 +0.3 $0.4M 0.67× –
Craig Stammen 2021 +0.8 +4.2 4.0 +0.2 $5.1M 0.67× –
Daniel Camarena 2021 +0.0 +0.2 0.1 +0.2 $1.2M 0.67× –
Ivan Castillo 2021 +0.0 +0.2 0.0 +0.2 $0.2M 0.56× –
Nabil Crismatt 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.5 -0.1 $7.2M 0.67× –
Javy Guerra 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.6 -0.2 $8.7M 0.67× –
Tucupita Marcano 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 – 0.56× –
Pedro Avila 2021 -0.0 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 1.02× –
Ryan Weathers 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.4 $51.6M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Jake Marisnick↔ 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.5 – 0.83× –
Brian O'Grady 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.7 -0.6 $68.9M 0.83× –
Reiss Knehr 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Aaron Northcraft 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Dinelson Lamet 2021 +0.6 +3.3 4.2 -0.9 $6.8M 0.67× –
Miguel Díaz 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.3 -0.9 – 0.67× –
Victor Caratini 2021 +0.0 +0.2 1.3 -1.1 $35.2M 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $7.0M AAV
Wil Myers 2021 +2.2 +21.4 22.5 -1.1 $10.2M 1.22× –
Dan Altavilla 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.8 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Matt Strahm 2021 +0.1 +0.7 2.0 -1.3 $15.4M 0.67× Extension · 2025–2026 · $7.5M AAV
Jake Arrieta↔ 2021 -0.0 -0.4 1.0 -1.4 – 1.02× –
Ross Detwiler↔ 2021 -0.3 -1.4 0.1 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Luis Campusano 2021 -0.4 -1.5 0.1 -1.6 – 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Keone Kela 2021 -0.1 -0.5 1.2 -1.7 – 0.67× –
Tommy Pham 2021 +1.1 +7.0 8.9 -1.9 $8.5M 0.83× –
Adrian Morejon 2021 -0.2 -1.4 0.6 -2.0 – 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.9M AAV
Daniel Hudson↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.3 2.6 -2.3 $50.7M 0.67× –
Vince Velasquez↔ 2021 -0.2 -1.7 0.6 -2.3 – 1.02× –
Tim Hill 2021 -0.2 -2.3 0.6 -2.9 – 1.34× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $2.9M AAV
Ha-Seong Kim 2021 +0.4 +1.8 7.0 -5.2 $18.9M 0.61× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $20.0M AAV
Drew Pomeranz 2021 +0.5 +2.4 8.0 -5.6 $17.5M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Emilio Pagán 2021 -0.4 -4.5 1.6 -6.1 – 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $10.0M AAV
Jurickson Profar 2021 -0.3 -1.8 4.5 -6.3 – 0.83× Free Agent · 2027–2027 · $14.0M AAV
Eric Hosmer 2021 +0.9 +3.8 21.0 -17.2 $24.3M 0.56× –
John Andreoli 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.0 $3.2M 0.83× –
Nick Ramirez 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.2 -0.0 $5.9M 0.67× –
Taylor Williams↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.3 0.2 +0.0 $4.6M 0.67× –
Total—+35.9+380.6176.6+204.1—

Trades

Every graded 2021 deal involving the Padres — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 7 total.

2021 · SDP / CHC
SDP · AJ Preller +$1.6M
Jake Marisnick
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$1.6M
Anderson Espinoza
SDP came out ahead by $1.6M
2021 · PIT / SDP
PIT · Ben Cherington +$5.6M
Tucupita Marcano, Michell Miliano, Jack Suwinski
SDP · AJ Preller −$5.6M
Adam Frazier
PIT came out ahead by $5.6M
2021 · SDP / NYM / PIT
SDP · AJ Preller +$36.8M
Joe Musgrove
NYM · Sandy Alderson +$2.4M
Joey Lucchesi
PIT · Ben Cherington −$39.2M
Hudson Head, Endy Rodríguez, Omar Cruz, David Bednar, Drake Fellows
SDP came out ahead by $36.8M 3-team
2021 · SDP / CHC
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.8M
James Norwood
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$0.8M
Dauris Valdez
SDP came out ahead by $0.8M
2021 · WSN / SDP
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$1.6M
Mason Thompson, Jordy Barley
SDP · AJ Preller −$1.6M
Daniel Hudson
WSN came out ahead by $1.6M
2021 · SEA / SDP
SEA · Jerry Dipoto +$0.0M
Adam Frazier
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
Corey Rosier, Ray Kerr
Even trade
2021 · NYY / SDP
NYY · Brian Cashman +$4.8M
Greg Allen
SDP · AJ Preller −$4.8M
James Reeves
NYY came out ahead by $4.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$176.4M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Manny Machado288.056$32.0MFREE AGENT
Wil Myers307.104$22.5MFREE AGENT
Yu Darvish349.000$22.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Hosmer319.146$21.0MFREE AGENT
Drew Pomeranz328.013$8.0MFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar286.165$4.5MFREE AGENT
Craig Stammen379.160$4.0MFREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson3410.106$2.6MFREE AGENT
Mark Melancon3610.098$2.0MFREE AGENT
Keone Kela286.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jake Arrieta359.145$960kFREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick308.000$343kFREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler358.011$112kFREE AGENT
Aaron Northcraft318.015$34kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Blake Snell284.072$11.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Pham335.107$8.9MFREE AGENT
Joe Musgrove284.063$4.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dinelson Lamet283.130$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Strahm294.064$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Frazier294.075$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Emilio Pagán303.091$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Caratini273.051$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Altavilla283.063$850kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vince Velasquez295.086$615kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Ha-Seong Kim250.000$7.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pierce Johnson301.137$2.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis Jr.222.000$1.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian O'Grady290.073$650kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Paddack252.000$611kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Hill312.112$596kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trent Grisham241.060$589kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Cronenworth271.000$585kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Adams302.015$580kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javy Guerra251.052$573kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrian Morejon221.013$573kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Nola311.106$572kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Weathers210.168$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nabil Crismatt260.050$472kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Díaz262.026$294kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Mateo261.000$246kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Williams292.034$220kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Webster Rivas30–$199k
Nick Ramirez311.021$163kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucupita Marcano210.000$104kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reiss Knehr240.000$95kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Campusano220.067$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Camarena280.001$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Norwood271.070$52kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shaun Anderson261.091$32kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Thompson230.000$26kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Andreoli310.052$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Kivlehan311.036$15kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ivan Castillo26–$9k
Pedro Avila240.002$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2021 acquisition stacked onto Padres's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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