Rosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: AJ Preller (since 2015)

2021 roster — every player, value & surplus

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-7.3
WAB — wins above budget
-2.7
TAB — roster Talent above budget
79–83 (0.488)
record
-61M
surplus $M (value/$)
35.6
roster fWAR
$176.4M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Fernando Tatis Jr. 22 pre-arb 130 6.8 1.7 +20.4
Manny Machado 28 FA-elig 153 4.5 32.0 -17.5
Jake Cronenworth 27 pre-arb 152 3.8 0.6 +11.6
Yu Darvish 34 FA-elig 30 2.7 22.0 -13.1
Joe Musgrove 28 arb 40 2.7 4.5 +4.2
Trent Grisham 24 pre-arb 132 2.6 0.6 +7.7
Wil Myers 30 FA-elig 146 2.2 22.5 -15.4
Blake Snell 28 arb 27 2.1 11.1 -4.4
Chris Paddack 25 pre-arb 24 1.6 0.6 +4.4
Austin Nola 31 pre-arb 56 1.2 0.6 +3.3
Mark Melancon 36 FA-elig 64 1.1 2.0 +1.4
Tommy Pham 33 FA-elig 155 1.1 8.9 -5.5
Eric Hosmer 31 FA-elig 151 0.9 21.0 -18.2
Pierce Johnson 30 arb 63 0.8 2.0 +0.7
Craig Stammen 37 FA-elig 67 0.8 4.0 -1.5
Dinelson Lamet 28 arb 22 0.6 4.2 -2.2
Adam Frazier↔ PIT 29 arb 57 0.6 1.6 +0.4
Drew Pomeranz 32 FA-elig 27 0.5 8.0 -6.5
Ha-Seong Kim 25 – 117 0.4 7.0 -5.8
Webster Rivas 30 – 24 0.3 0.2 +0.9
Austin Adams 30 pre-arb 65 0.2 0.6 +0.2
Matt Strahm 29 arb 6 0.1 2.0 -1.6
Jorge Mateo↔ BAL 26 – 57 0.1 0.2 +0.2
Shaun Anderson↔ BAL 26 pre-arb 5 0.1 0.0 +0.2
Patrick Kivlehan 31 pre-arb 5 0.1 0.0 +0.2
Javy Guerra 25 pre-arb 5 0.1 0.6 -0.4
Nabil Crismatt 26 pre-arb 45 0.1 0.5 -0.3
James Norwood 27 pre-arb 5 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Mason Thompson↔ WSN 23 – 4 0.1 0.0 +0.2
Daniel Hudson↔ WSN 34 FA-elig 23 0.1 2.6 -2.4
Taylor Williams↔ MIA 29 – 5 0.0 0.2 -0.1
Daniel Camarena 28 pre-arb 6 0.0 0.1 +0.1
Ivan Castillo 26 – 3 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Victor Caratini 27 arb 116 0.0 1.3 -1.2
Nick Ramirez 31 pre-arb 13 0.0 0.2 -0.1
Ryan Weathers 21 pre-arb 32 0.0 0.5 -0.5
Brian O'Grady 29 pre-arb 32 0.0 0.7 -0.6
John Andreoli 31 pre-arb 7 0.0 0.0 +0.0
Jake Marisnick↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 34 -0.0 0.3 -0.4
Tucupita Marcano 21 – 25 -0.0 0.1 -0.2
Pedro Avila 24 pre-arb 1 -0.0 0.0 -0.2
Jake Arrieta↔ CHC 35 FA-elig 4 -0.0 1.0 -1.1
Dan Altavilla 28 arb 2 -0.1 0.8 -1.1
Keone Kela 28 FA-elig 12 -0.1 1.2 -1.5
Reiss Knehr 24 – 12 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Miguel Díaz 26 pre-arb 25 -0.1 0.3 -0.7
Aaron Northcraft 31 – 5 -0.1 0.0 -0.4
Adrian Morejon 22 pre-arb 2 -0.2 0.6 -1.1
Vince Velasquez↔ PHI 29 FA-elig 4 -0.2 0.6 -1.3
Tim Hill 31 pre-arb 78 -0.2 0.6 -1.3
Ross Detwiler↔ MIA 35 FA-elig 7 -0.3 0.1 -1.0
Jurickson Profar 28 FA-elig 137 -0.3 4.5 -5.4
Luis Campusano 22 pre-arb 11 -0.4 0.1 -1.3
Emilio Pagán 30 arb 67 -0.4 1.6 -2.9

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for SDP
Fernando Tatís201627.7
Trevor Hoffman199324.3
Andy Ashby199317.7
Ken Caminiti199417.4
Phil Nevin199917.3
Brian Giles200317.1
Ryan Klesko199916.6
Jake Cronenworth201914.8
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Ozzie Smith198148.0
Corey Kluber201034.6
Anthony Rizzo201231.1
Yasmani Grandal201420.6
Roberto Alomar199020.4
Max Fried201420.1
Trea Turner201519.4
John Kruk198918.4
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.