RRosternomics
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Pirates PIT

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GM: Brian Graham

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.54× league · TAB -3.2
-3.2TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-5.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-6.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
43%dead money %25th/30
0.420win %29th/30
23.4roster fWAR28th/30
+7surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/30
$44Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFChris Duffy 68GNate McLouth 66GNyjer Morgan 28G
LFJason Bay 142GNate McLouth 24GMatt Kata 12G
RFXavier Nady 94GRyan Doumit 38GSteve Pearce 18G
SSJack Wilson 131GCésar Izturis 90GMatt Kata 9G
2BFreddy Sanchez 146GJose Castillo 20GMatt Kata 12G
3BJosé Bautista 126GJose Castillo 34GMatt Kata 17G
1BAdam LaRoche 151GJosh Phelps 51GBrad Eldred 4G
STARTERSIan Snell 3.1WARTom Gorzelanny 2.6WARPaul Maholm 1.8WARMatt Morris 0.9WARZach Duke 0.8WAR
CRonny Paulino 129GRyan Doumit 28GCarlos Maldonado 13G
DHJosh Phelps 5GXavier Nady 4GRyan Doumit 1G
BULLPEN★ Matt Capps 18svDamaso Marte 15hShawn Chacon 12hJohn Grabow 8hSalomon Torres 5hJonah Bayliss 4hFranquelis Osoria 4hMasumi Kuwata 3h
CRonny Paulino 129 · Ryan Doumit 28 · Carlos Maldonado 13
1BAdam LaRoche 151 · Josh Phelps 51 · Brad Eldred 4
2BFreddy Sanchez 146 · Jose Castillo 20 · Matt Kata 12
3BJosé Bautista 126 · Jose Castillo 34 · Matt Kata 17
SSJack Wilson 131 · César Izturis 90 · Matt Kata 9
LFJason Bay 142 · Nate McLouth 24 · Matt Kata 12
CFChris Duffy 68 · Nate McLouth 66 · Nyjer Morgan 28
RFXavier Nady 94 · Ryan Doumit 38 · Steve Pearce 18
DHJosh Phelps 5 · Xavier Nady 4 · Ryan Doumit 1
SPIan Snell 3.1 · Tom Gorzelanny 2.6 · Paul Maholm 1.8 · Matt Morris 0.9 · Zach Duke 0.8
BP★ Matt Capps 18 · Damaso Marte 15 · Shawn Chacon 12 · John Grabow 8 · Salomon Torres 5 · Jonah Bayliss 4 · Franquelis Osoria 4 · Masumi Kuwata 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ian Snell 25 arb 353.1 0.4 +6.2
Freddy Sanchez 29 arb 1472.9 2.8 +3.6
Tom Gorzelanny 24 pre-arb 322.6 0.4 +5.2
Jack Wilson 29 FA-elig 1352.5 5.4 +0.1
Ryan Doumit 26 pre-arb 832.1 0.4 +4.1
Adam LaRoche 27 arb 1521.9 3.2 +0.8
Matt Capps 23 pre-arb 761.9 0.4 +3.6
Paul Maholm 25 pre-arb 291.8 0.4 +3.5
Nate McLouth 25 pre-arb 1371.5 0.4 +2.9
Josh Phelps↔ NYY 29 FA-elig 581.4 0.4 +2.7
Ronny Paulino 26 pre-arb 1331.1 0.4 +2.0
Nyjer Morgan 26 – 281.1 – –
Damaso Marte 32 FA-elig 650.9 2.6 -0.6
Matt Morris↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 110.9 3.5 -1.4
Zach Duke 24 pre-arb 210.8 0.4 +1.4
José Bautista 26 arb 1420.7 0.4 +1.1
Shawn Chacon 29 FA-elig 640.6 3.8 -2.6
Xavier Nady 28 FA-elig 1250.5 2.1 -1.1
Shane Youman 27 – 160.3 – –
Steve Pearce 24 – 230.3 – –
John Grabow 28 arb 630.2 0.8 -0.3
Salomon Torres 35 FA-elig 560.1 2.7 -2.5
John Wasdin 34 FA-elig 120.1 0.6 -0.4
Carlos Maldonado 28 – 130.1 – –
Cesar Izturis↔ CHC 27 FA-elig 450.1 1.7 -1.6
Humberto Cota 28 FA-elig 50.0 0.5 -0.4
Bryan Bullington 26 – 5-0.0 – –
Chris Duffy 27 pre-arb 70-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Romulo Sanchez 23 – 16-0.1 – –
Dan Kolb 32 – 3-0.1 – –
Rajai Davis↔ SFG 26 – 24-0.1 0.1 -0.3
David Davidson 23 – 2-0.1 – –
Juan Pablo Perez 28 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.4 -0.6
John Van Benschoten 27 – 11-0.1 – –
Tony Armas 29 FA-elig 31-0.1 3.0 -3.3
Franquelis Osoria 25 – 25-0.2 – –
Brian Rogers 24 – 3-0.2 – –
Don Kelly 27 pre-arb 25-0.3 0.4 -1.0
Josh Sharpless 26 – 6-0.3 – –
Jonah Bayliss 26 pre-arb 39-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Marty McLeary 32 – 4-0.4 – –
Matt Kata↔ TEX 29 arb 47-0.5 0.3 -1.3
Brad Eldred 26 pre-arb 19-0.5 0.4 -1.5
Masumi Kuwata 39 – 19-0.8 – –
Jose Castillo 26 arb 87-0.9 1.9 -3.9
Jason Bay 28 arb 145-1.0 3.5 -5.7

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Adam LaRoche1.9
Josh Phelps1.4
Nyjer Morgan1.1
Matt Morris0.9
Steve Pearce0.3
John Wasdin0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Michael Gonzalez1.3
Victor Santos0.9
Ryan Vogelsong0.3
José Hernández0.1
Craig Wilson0.1
Roberto Hernandez0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$44.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Jack Wilson296.000$5.4M$6.7M$5.2MFREE AGENT
Shawn Chacon296.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Matt Morris3210.000$3.5M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Tony Armas298.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Salomon Torres3514.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Damaso Marte328.000$2.6M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Xavier Nady287.000$2.1M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Cesar Izturis276.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
John Wasdin3412.000$600kFREE AGENT
Humberto Cota286.000$538kFREE AGENT
Josh Phelps297.000$370kFREE AGENT
Dan Kolb328.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Jason Bay284.000$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam LaRoche273.000$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Sanchez295.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Castillo263.000$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Grabow284.000$832kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Snell253.000$408kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Bautista263.000$398kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Kata294.000$250kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Zach Duke242.000$410kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Maholm252.000$403kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Capps232.000$401kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronny Paulino262.000$401kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Duffy272.000$395kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate McLouth252.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Doumit262.000$390kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Gorzelanny242.000$386kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Bayliss262.000$384kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Eldred262.000$382kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Don Kelly270.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Pablo Perez281.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rajai Davis261.000$122kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marty McLeary32–—
Bryan Bullington26–—
John Van Benschoten27–—
Carlos Maldonado28–—
Franquelis Osoria252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Rogers24–—
David Davidson23–—
Romulo Sanchez23–—
Shane Youman27–—
Steve Pearce240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Sharpless26–—
Nyjer Morgan260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Masumi Kuwata39–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.