RRosternomics
𝕏

Athletics OAK

‹ ›

GM: Billy Beane

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.5× league · TAB +12.5
+12.5TAB — talent above budget4th/30
+14.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/30
-2.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag7th/30
28%dead money %14th/30
0.537win %10th/30
38.2roster fWAR11th/30
+24surplus $M (value vs cost)1st/30
$24Mpayroll $M25th/30

Roster

CFRyan Christenson 104GJason McDonald 53GRich Becker 51G
LFBen Grieve 131GTim Raines Sr. 38GRich Becker 33G
RFMatt Stairs 139GRich Becker 25GTony Phillips 15G
SSMiguel Tejada 159GJorge Velandia 8GFrank Menechino 5G
2BRandy Velarde 156GTony Phillips 66GJorge Velandia 52G
3BEric Chavez 105GOlmedo Saenz 56GScott Spiezio 31G
1BJason Giambi 142GOlmedo Saenz 28GScott Spiezio 10G
STARTERSGil Heredia 4.1WARTim Hudson 3.9WARMike Oquist 1.4WARKevin Appier 0.9WARJimmy Haynes 0.9WAR
CMike Macfarlane 79GA.J. Hinch 73GRamon Hernandez 40G
DHJohn Jaha 121GJason Giambi 15GOlmedo Saenz 5G
BULLPEN★ Doug Jones 10svBuddy Groom 27hT.J. Mathews 16hGreg McMichael 7hTim Worrell 5hTim Kubinski 1hChad Harville 0hRon Mahay 0h
CMike Macfarlane 79 · A.J. Hinch 73 · Ramon Hernandez 40
1BJason Giambi 142 · Olmedo Saenz 28 · Scott Spiezio 10
2BRandy Velarde 156 · Tony Phillips 66 · Jorge Velandia 52
3BEric Chavez 105 · Olmedo Saenz 56 · Scott Spiezio 31
SSMiguel Tejada 159 · Jorge Velandia 8 · Frank Menechino 5
LFBen Grieve 131 · Tim Raines Sr. 38 · Rich Becker 33
CFRyan Christenson 104 · Jason McDonald 53 · Rich Becker 51
RFMatt Stairs 139 · Rich Becker 25 · Tony Phillips 15
DHJohn Jaha 121 · Jason Giambi 15 · Olmedo Saenz 5
SPGil Heredia 4.1 · Tim Hudson 3.9 · Mike Oquist 1.4 · Kevin Appier 0.9 · Jimmy Haynes 0.9
BP★ Doug Jones 10 · Buddy Groom 27 · T.J. Mathews 16 · Greg McMichael 7 · Tim Worrell 5 · Tim Kubinski 1 · Chad Harville 0 · Ron Mahay 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1999 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jason Giambi 28 arb 1585.2 2.1 +4.4
Gil Heredia 33 FA-elig 334.1 0.5 +4.7
John Jaha 33 FA-elig 1424.1 0.5 +4.6
Tim Hudson 23 pre-arb 243.9 0.2 +4.6
Miguel Tejada 25 pre-arb 1592.8 0.2 +3.2
Randy Velarde↔ ANA 36 FA-elig 612.5 0.6 +2.6
Kenny Rogers↔ NYM 34 FA-elig 192.3 3.1 -0.2
Tony Phillips 40 FA-elig 1061.5 0.7 +1.2
Doug Jones 42 FA-elig 701.4 0.4 +1.4
Mike Oquist 31 FA-elig 281.4 0.5 +1.3
Olmedo Saenz 28 arb 971.2 0.2 +1.3
Eric Chavez 21 pre-arb 1151.2 0.2 +1.3
Buddy Groom 33 FA-elig 761.1 0.8 +0.5
Billy Taylor↔ NYM 37 arb 431.1 1.8 -0.4
Jimmy Haynes 26 arb 300.9 0.3 +0.9
Kevin Appier↔ KCR 31 FA-elig 120.9 1.7 -0.6
Omar Olivares↔ ANA 31 FA-elig 120.8 0.7 +0.3
Matt Stairs 31 FA-elig 1460.8 1.9 -1.0
Tim Worrell 31 FA-elig 530.7 0.9 +0.0
Ramon Hernandez 23 pre-arb 400.7 0.2 +0.6
Ben Grieve 23 pre-arb 1480.5 0.3 +0.3
Ron Mahay 28 – 60.4 – –
Rich Becker↔ MIL 27 FA-elig 400.4 0.1 +0.3
Mike Macfarlane 35 FA-elig 810.3 0.6 -0.2
Jason Isringhausen↔ NYM 26 arb 200.3 0.3 +0.0
T.J. Mathews 29 arb 500.2 0.8 -0.5
Brad Rigby↔ KCR 26 pre-arb 290.1 0.1 +0.1
Tim Raines Sr. 39 FA-elig 580.1 0.6 -0.5
Scott Spiezio 26 arb 890.1 0.3 -0.1
Tom Candiotti↔ CLE 41 FA-elig 110.1 1.8 -1.7
Brett Laxton 25 – 30.1 – –
Frank Menechino 28 pre-arb 90.0 0.2 -0.2
Chad Harville 22 – 150.0 – –
Luis Vizcaino 24 – 1-0.1 – –
Jorge Velandia 24 pre-arb 63-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Blake Stein↔ KCR 25 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Jason McDonald 27 pre-arb 100-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Tim Kubinski 27 – 14-0.2 – –
Kevin Jarvis 29 – 4-0.4 – –
Greg McMichael↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 17-0.5 0.9 -1.6
A.J. Hinch 25 pre-arb 76-0.6 0.2 -1.0
Ryan Christenson 25 pre-arb 106-0.6 0.2 -1.0

Key additions (new vs 1998)

PlayerfWAR
John Jaha4.1
Tim Hudson3.9
Randy Velarde2.5
Tony Phillips1.5
Doug Jones1.4
Olmedo Saenz1.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1998)

Player1998 fWAR
Rickey Henderson1.9
Dave Magadan0.9
Bip Roberts0.8
Mike Fetters0.5
Mike Mohler0.2
Mark Bellhorn0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1999 payroll
$24.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1999, 1999–2005. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Kenny Rogers3410.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Matt Stairs317.000$1.9M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Tom Candiotti4116.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Kevin Appier3110.000$1.7M$5.6MFREE AGENT
Greg McMichael326.000$921kFREE AGENT
Tim Worrell316.000$900kFREE AGENT
Buddy Groom337.000$850kFREE AGENT
Tony Phillips4017.000$700kFREE AGENT
Omar Olivares319.000$684k$4.0MFREE AGENT
Randy Velarde3612.000$626k$3.0MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Tim Raines Sr.3920.000$600kFREE AGENT
Mike Macfarlane3512.000$600kFREE AGENT
John Jaha337.000$525k$2.8M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Oquist316.000$450kFREE AGENT
Gil Heredia338.000$450k$2.1M$3.3MFREE AGENT
Doug Jones4217.000$400k$600kFREE AGENT
Rich Becker276.000$147k$400kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Jason Giambi284.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Taylor375.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
T.J. Mathews294.000$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Isringhausen264.000$288kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Haynes264.000$280kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Spiezio263.000$260kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Olmedo Saenz285.000$240kFREE AGENT
Kevin Jarvis295.000—FREE AGENT
Ron Mahay284.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Ben Grieve232.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Hinch251.000$230kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Tejada252.000$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason McDonald272.000$222kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Christenson251.000$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Chavez211.000$201kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Velandia242.000$201kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Menechino280.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Hudson230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Hernandez230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Rigby262.000$119kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Stein251.000$16kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Kubinski272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Harville220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Laxton25–—
Luis Vizcaino240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 1999; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.