RRosternomics

Athletics OAK

GM: Sandy Alderson

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.86× league · TAB -1.2
-1.2TAB — talent above budget12th/26
-4.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/26
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/26
-4.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/26
44%dead money %22nd/26
0.469win %16th/26
31.2roster fWAR14th/26
-1surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/26
$10Mpayroll $M19th/26

Roster

CFDwayne Murphy 97GStan Javier 49GMike Davis 34G
LFJosé Canseco 124GDusty Baker Jr. 36GRick Peters 19G
RFMike Davis 120GJosé Canseco 46GDusty Baker Jr. 20G
SSAlfredo Griffin 162GDonnie Hill 2GTony Phillips 1G
2BTony Phillips 87GDonnie Hill 68GMike Gallego 19G
3BCarney Lansford 100GDonnie Hill 32GTony Phillips 31G
1BBruce Bochte 115GCarney Lansford 59GDusty Baker Jr. 3G
STARTERSCurt Young 2.8WARJose Rijo 1.7WARMoose Haas 1.6WARDave Stewart 1.5WARBill Mooneyham 0.7WAR
CMickey Tettleton 89GJerry Willard 71GBill Bathe 39G
DHDave Kingman 139GDusty Baker Jr. 15GCarney Lansford 3G
BULLPEN Jay Howell 16svSteve Ontiveros 0hDave Leiper 0hDoug Bair 0hDave Vonohlen 0hBill Krueger 0hTom Dozier 0hRick Rodriguez 0h
CMickey Tettleton 89 · Jerry Willard 71 · Bill Bathe 39
1BBruce Bochte 115 · Carney Lansford 59 · Dusty Baker Jr. 3
2BTony Phillips 87 · Donnie Hill 68 · Mike Gallego 19
3BCarney Lansford 100 · Donnie Hill 32 · Tony Phillips 31
SSAlfredo Griffin 162 · Donnie Hill 2 · Tony Phillips 1
LFJosé Canseco 124 · Dusty Baker Jr. 36 · Rick Peters 19
CFDwayne Murphy 97 · Stan Javier 49 · Mike Davis 34
RFMike Davis 120 · José Canseco 46 · Dusty Baker Jr. 20
DHDave Kingman 139 · Dusty Baker Jr. 15 · Carney Lansford 3
SPCurt Young 2.8 · Jose Rijo 1.7 · Moose Haas 1.6 · Dave Stewart 1.5 · Bill Mooneyham 0.7
BP Jay Howell 16 · Steve Ontiveros 0 · Dave Leiper 0 · Doug Bair 0 · Dave Vonohlen 0 · Bill Krueger 0 · Tom Dozier 0 · Rick Rodriguez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1986 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tony Phillips 27 arb 1184.0 0.3 +0.9
Dwayne Murphy 31 FA-elig 983.7 0.9 +0.2
Mike Davis 27 FA-elig 1423.5 0.6 +0.4
Carney Lansford 29 FA-elig 1513.0 1.2 -0.3
Jose Canseco 21 pre-arb 1572.9 0.1 +0.8
Curt Young 26 arb 292.8 0.1 +0.8
Alfredo Griffin 28 FA-elig 1622.4 0.6 +0.1
Jose Rijo 21 pre-arb 391.7 0.1 +0.4
Moose Haas 30 121.6
Donnie Hill 25 arb 1081.5 0.2 +0.2
Dave Stewart↔ PHI 29 FA-elig 291.5 0.0 +0.4
Mickey Tettleton 25 pre-arb 901.3 0.1 +0.3
Jay Howell 30 FA-elig 380.9 0.5 -0.3
Jerry Willard 26 pre-arb 750.8 0.1 +0.2
Bruce Bochte 35 FA-elig 1250.8 0.6 -0.3
Bill Mooneyham 25 pre-arb 450.7 0.1 +0.2
Stan Javier 22 590.6
Doug Bair 36 FA-elig 310.4 0.1 +0.0
Mike Gallego 25 200.4
Joaquin Andujar 33 FA-elig 280.3 1.2 -1.1
Lenn Sakata 32 FA-elig 170.3 0.1 +0.0
Dave Vonohlen 27 240.2
Terry Steinbach 24 60.2
Steve Ontiveros 25 pre-arb 470.1 0.1 -0.1
Fernando Arroyo 34 10.0
Wayne Gross 34 FA-elig 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Dusty Baker Jr. 37 FA-elig 83-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Rusty Tillman 25 arb 22-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Tom Dozier 24 4-0.1
Rick Peters 30 44-0.1
Bill Krueger 28 arb 11-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Rob Nelson 22 5-0.1
Chris Codiroli 28 arb 16-0.1 0.3 -0.3
Tim Birtsas 25 2-0.1
Darrel Akerfelds 24 2-0.1
Keith Atherton↔ MIN 27 arb 13-0.2 0.0 -0.1
Bill Bathe 25 39-0.2
Rick Rodriguez 25 3-0.3
Mark McGwire 22 pre-arb 18-0.3 0.1 -0.1
Dave Leiper 24 pre-arb 33-0.3 0.1 -0.1
Rick Langford 34 FA-elig 17-0.4 0.5 -0.6
Eric Plunk 22 pre-arb 26-0.5 0.1 -0.2
Steve Henderson 33 FA-elig 11-0.6 0.2 -0.4
Dave Kingman 37 FA-elig 144-0.8 0.7 -1.0

Key additions (new vs 1985)

PlayerfWAR
Moose Haas1.6
Dave Stewart1.5
Jerry Willard0.8
Bill Mooneyham0.7
Stan Javier0.6
Doug Bair0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1985)

Player1985 fWAR
Don Sutton2.8
Mike Heath2.6
Dave Collins0.9
Charlie O'Brien0.2
Steve Mura0.2
Tommy John0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1986 payroll
$9.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 1986, 1986–1992. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Joaquin Andujar3310.000$1.2M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Carney Lansford298.000$1.2M$1.3M$1.3M$1.4M$1.3M$1.3M$1.1M
Dwayne Murphy318.000$900k$759kFREE AGENT
Dave Kingman3715.000$730kFREE AGENT
Mike Davis276.000$600k$780kFREE AGENT
Alfredo Griffin2810.000$578k$608kFREE AGENT
Bruce Bochte3512.000$572kFREE AGENT
Jay Howell306.000$530k$530kFREE AGENT
Rick Langford3410.000$500kFREE AGENT
Dusty Baker Jr.3718.000$475kFREE AGENT
Steve Henderson339.000$200k$75kFREE AGENT
Doug Bair3610.000$96kFREE AGENT
Lenn Sakata329.000$75kFREE AGENT
Wayne Gross3410.000$60kFREE AGENT
Dave Stewart298.000$47k$550k$600k$1.2M$950k$3.2M$3.2M
Moose Haas3010.000$579kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Tony Phillips274.000$301kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Codiroli284.000$270kARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Hill253.000$218kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Krueger283.000$195kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curt Young263.000$79kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rusty Tillman254.000$60kARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Atherton273.000$40kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Mickey Tettleton252.000$95kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Ontiveros251.000$88kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Rijo212.000$85kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Willard262.000$80kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Canseco211.000$75kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Mooneyham250.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Leiper242.000$60kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark McGwire220.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Plunk220.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darrel Akerfelds240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Arroyo34
Bill Bathe250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Birtsas251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Dozier24
Mike Gallego251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stan Javier222.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Nelson220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Peters30
Rick Rodriguez25
Terry Steinbach240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Vonohlen27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 1986; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3