RRosternomics

Yankees NYY

GM: Brian Cashman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 2.12× league · TAB +7.1
+7.1TAB — talent above budget9th/30
+3.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-1.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag1st/30
18%dead money %3rd/30
0.586win %3rd/30
50.6roster fWAR1st/30
-81surplus $M (value vs cost)30th/30
$212Mpayroll $M1st/30

2012: made playoffs · 95–67. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFCurtis Granderson 157GIchiro Suzuki 7GDarnell McDonald 7G
LFRaul Ibanez 80GAndruw Jones 47GIchiro Suzuki 35G
RFIchiro Suzuki 132GNick Swisher 109GAndruw Jones 23G
SSDerek Jeter 135GJayson Nix 18GEduardo Núñez 16G
2BRobinson Canó 154GJayson Nix 13GEduardo Núñez 1G
3BAlex Rodriguez 81GEric Chavez 64GJayson Nix 29G
1BMark Teixeira 119GCasey McGehee 85GNick Swisher 41G
STARTERSCC Sabathia 4.1WARHiroki Kuroda 3.4WARPhil Hughes 2.0WARAndy Pettitte 1.5WARIván Nova 1.1WAR
CRussell Martin 128GChris Stewart 54GFrancisco Cervelli 3G
DHAlex Rodriguez 38GRaul Ibanez 27GDerek Jeter 25G
BULLPEN Rafael Soriano 42svDavid Robertson 30hBoone Logan 23hCody Eppley 9hCory Wade 8hClay Rapada 6hJoba Chamberlain 4hJustin Thomas 0h
CRussell Martin 128 · Chris Stewart 54 · Francisco Cervelli 3
1BMark Teixeira 119 · Casey McGehee 85 · Nick Swisher 41
2BRobinson Canó 154 · Jayson Nix 13 · Eduardo Núñez 1
3BAlex Rodriguez 81 · Eric Chavez 64 · Jayson Nix 29
SSDerek Jeter 135 · Jayson Nix 18 · Eduardo Núñez 16
LFRaul Ibanez 80 · Andruw Jones 47 · Ichiro Suzuki 35
CFCurtis Granderson 157 · Ichiro Suzuki 7 · Darnell McDonald 7
RFIchiro Suzuki 132 · Nick Swisher 109 · Andruw Jones 23
DHAlex Rodriguez 38 · Raul Ibanez 27 · Derek Jeter 25
SPCC Sabathia 4.1 · Hiroki Kuroda 3.4 · Phil Hughes 2.0 · Andy Pettitte 1.5 · Iván Nova 1.1
BP Rafael Soriano 42 · David Robertson 30 · Boone Logan 23 · Cody Eppley 9 · Cory Wade 8 · Clay Rapada 6 · Joba Chamberlain 4 · Justin Thomas 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Robinson Canó 29 FA-elig 1617.3 14.0 +4.9
CC Sabathia 31 FA-elig 284.1 23.0 -12.5
Curtis Granderson 31 FA-elig 1604.0 10.0 +0.4
Russell Martin 29 FA-elig 1334.0 7.5 +2.8
Nick Swisher 31 FA-elig 1483.6 10.2 -0.9
Hiroki Kuroda 37 arb 333.4 10.0 -1.3
Derek Jeter 38 FA-elig 1593.3 16.0 -7.5
Mark Teixeira 32 FA-elig 1232.6 22.5 -15.7
Alex Rodriguez 36 FA-elig 1222.5 29.0 -22.6
Phil Hughes 26 arb 322.0 3.2 +1.9
Chris Stewart 30 FA-elig 551.7 0.5 +4.0
Eric Chavez 34 FA-elig 1131.6 0.9 +3.2
David Robertson 27 arb 651.5 1.6 +2.3
Andy Pettitte 40 FA-elig 121.5 2.5 +1.3
Iván Nova 25 pre-arb 281.1 0.5 +2.4
Rafael Soriano 32 FA-elig 691.1 11.0 -8.2
Ichiro Suzuki↔ SEA 38 FA-elig 670.8 7.0 -5.1
Freddy Garcia 35 FA-elig 300.6 4.0 -2.6
Raul Ibanez 40 FA-elig 1300.5 1.1 +0.3
Dewayne Wise↔ CHW 34 560.5 0.1 +1.1
David Phelps 25 330.5 0.5 +0.7
Boone Logan 27 FA-elig 800.4 1.9 -0.7
Jayson Nix 29 pre-arb 740.4 0.9 +0.2
Eduardo Núñez 25 pre-arb 380.4 0.5 +0.6
Brett Gardner 28 arb 160.4 2.8 -1.7
Clay Rapada 31 arb 700.4 0.5 +0.5
Mariano Rivera 42 FA-elig 90.4 15.0 -14.1
Chris Dickerson 30 250.3
Andruw Jones 35 FA-elig 940.3 2.0 -1.3
Cody Eppley 26 pre-arb 590.3 0.5 +0.2
Derek Lowe↔ CLE 39 FA-elig 170.1 6.7 -6.4
Joba Chamberlain 26 arb 220.1 1.7 -1.5
Francisco Cervelli 26 pre-arb 30.0 0.5 -0.4
Chad Qualls↔ PHI 33 FA-elig 80.0 0.2 -0.1
Ramiro Pena 26 pre-arb 30.0 0.5 -0.5
Ryota Igarashi↔ TOR 33 2-0.0
Melky Mesa 25 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Cory Wade 29 arb 39-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Justin Thomas↔ BOS 28 arb 4-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Steve Pearce↔ BAL 29 12-0.1
David Aardsma 30 FA-elig 1-0.1 0.5 -0.7
D.J. Mitchell 25 4-0.1
Darnell McDonald↔ BOS 33 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Adam Warren 24 1-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Casey McGehee↔ PIT 29 arb 22-0.5 0.5 -1.7

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Hiroki Kuroda3.4
Chris Stewart1.7
Andy Pettitte1.5
Ichiro Suzuki0.8
Raul Ibanez0.5
Dewayne Wise0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Bartolo Colon2.3
Jesus Montero0.5
Hector Noesí0.2
Raul Valdes0.1
Jeff Marquez0.0
Aaron Laffey0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$211.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Alex Rodriguez3617.011$29.0M$28.0MFREE AGENT$22.0M$21.0M
CC Sabathia3111.000$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$25.0M$25.0M$10.0M
Mark Teixeira329.000$22.5M$22.5M$22.5M$23.1M$23.1MFREE AGENT
Derek Jeter3816.042$16.0M$17.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Mariano Rivera4216.105$15.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Robinson Canó296.153$14.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Soriano329.057$11.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Swisher317.031$10.2MFREE AGENT
Curtis Granderson3114.077$10.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Ichiro Suzuki3811.000$7.0M$6.5M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Derek Lowe3914.100$6.7MFREE AGENT
Freddy Garcia3511.060$4.0MFREE AGENT
Andy Pettitte4016.144$2.5M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Andruw Jones3515.047$2.0MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez4014.020$1.1MFREE AGENT
Eric Chavez3413.020$900kFREE AGENT
Chad Qualls337.058$153kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Hiroki Kuroda374.000$10.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Russell Martin295.150$7.5MFREE AGENT
Phil Hughes264.113$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Gardner283.072$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Boone Logan274.140$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joba Chamberlain264.055$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
David Robertson273.070$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Aardsma305.082$500kFREE AGENT
Casey McGehee293.028$490kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Thomas284.000$188kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dewayne Wise345.094$79kFREE AGENT
Chris Dickerson303.048ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Pearce295.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Jayson Nix292.145$900kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Iván Nova251.035$527kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Rapada312.127$525kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Núñez251.046$524kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Cervelli262.113$514kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Wade292.119$509kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramiro Pena262.079$505kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Stewart301.091$482kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Eppley261.022$481kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Warren240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melky Mesa250.037$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Phelps250.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darnell McDonald332.143$48kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
D.J. Mitchell250.025Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryota Igarashi332.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3