RRosternomics

Yankees NYY

GM: Brian Cashman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 2.08× league · TAB +11.0
+11.0TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+5.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
12.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/30
-4.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
16%dead money %1st/30
0.599win %2nd/30
54.3roster fWAR1st/30
-66surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$198Mpayroll $M1st/30

2011: made playoffs · 97–65. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFCurtis Granderson 155GBrett Gardner 18GGreg Golson 3G
LFBrett Gardner 149GAndruw Jones 39GChris Dickerson 14G
RFNick Swisher 141GChris Dickerson 42GAndruw Jones 19G
SSDerek Jeter 122GEduardo Núñez 50GRamiro Pena 4G
2BRobinson Canó 157GEduardo Núñez 16GRamiro Pena 7G
3BAlex Rodriguez 89GEric Chavez 42GEduardo Núñez 40G
1BMark Teixeira 147GJorge Posada 14GNick Swisher 11G
STARTERSCC Sabathia 5.7WARBartolo Colon 2.3WARIván Nova 1.8WARFreddy Garcia 1.6WARA.J. Burnett 0.5WAR
CRussell Martin 125GFrancisco Cervelli 41GAustin Romine 8G
DHJorge Posada 90GAndruw Jones 16GJesus Montero 14G
BULLPEN Mariano Rivera 44svDavid Robertson 34hRafael Soriano 23hBoone Logan 10hCory Wade 9hAaron Laffey 5hLuis Ayala 4hScott Proctor 4h
CRussell Martin 125 · Francisco Cervelli 41 · Austin Romine 8
1BMark Teixeira 147 · Jorge Posada 14 · Nick Swisher 11
2BRobinson Canó 157 · Eduardo Núñez 16 · Ramiro Pena 7
3BAlex Rodriguez 89 · Eric Chavez 42 · Eduardo Núñez 40
SSDerek Jeter 122 · Eduardo Núñez 50 · Ramiro Pena 4
LFBrett Gardner 149 · Andruw Jones 39 · Chris Dickerson 14
CFCurtis Granderson 155 · Brett Gardner 18 · Greg Golson 3
RFNick Swisher 141 · Chris Dickerson 42 · Andruw Jones 19
DHJorge Posada 90 · Andruw Jones 16 · Jesus Montero 14
SPCC Sabathia 5.7 · Bartolo Colon 2.3 · Iván Nova 1.8 · Freddy Garcia 1.6 · A.J. Burnett 0.5
BP Mariano Rivera 44 · David Robertson 34 · Rafael Soriano 23 · Boone Logan 10 · Cory Wade 9 · Aaron Laffey 5 · Luis Ayala 4 · Scott Proctor 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Curtis Granderson 30 FA-elig 1566.9 8.2 +8.6
CC Sabathia 30 FA-elig 335.7 24.3 -10.3
Russell Martin 28 arb 1255.4 4.0 +9.2
Robinson Canó 28 FA-elig 1595.1 10.0 +2.6
Brett Gardner 27 arb 1595.0 0.5 +11.8
Mark Teixeira 31 FA-elig 1564.3 23.1 -12.6
Alex Rodriguez 35 FA-elig 994.0 32.0 -22.1
Nick Swisher 30 FA-elig 1503.4 9.1 -0.8
David Robertson 26 arb 702.3 0.5 +5.1
Bartolo Colon 38 FA-elig 292.3 0.9 +4.7
Derek Jeter 37 FA-elig 1312.2 14.7 -9.3
Mariano Rivera 41 FA-elig 642.2 14.9 -9.6
Iván Nova 24 pre-arb 281.8 0.4 +4.0
Freddy Garcia 34 FA-elig 261.6 1.5 +2.5
Andruw Jones 34 FA-elig 771.5 1.5 +2.2
Francisco Cervelli 25 arb 431.1 0.5 +2.3
Jesus Montero 21 pre-arb 180.5 0.4 +0.9
Phil Hughes 25 arb 170.5 2.7 -1.4
A.J. Burnett 34 FA-elig 340.5 16.5 -15.3
Boone Logan 26 arb 640.5 1.2 -0.1
Cory Wade 28 400.4
Eric Chavez 33 FA-elig 580.4 1.5 -0.6
Chris Dickerson 29 600.2 0.4 +0.2
Joba Chamberlain 25 arb 270.2 1.4 -0.9
Rafael Soriano 31 FA-elig 420.2 10.0 -9.6
Hector Noesí 24 300.2 0.4 -0.0
Raul Valdes↔ STL 33 60.1
Jeff Marquez 26 30.0
Aaron Laffey↔ SEA 26 arb 110.0 0.1 -0.0
Gustavo Molina 29 arb 30.0 0.5 -0.4
George Kontos 26 70.0 0.4 -0.4
Steve Garrison 24 10.0
Amauri Sanit 31 4-0.0
Sergio Mitre↔ MIL 30 FA-elig 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Andrew Brackman 25 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Buddy Carlyle 33 8-0.0
Dellin Betances 23 2-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Kevin Whelan 27 2-0.1
Luis Ayala 33 FA-elig 52-0.1 0.7 -0.9
Brandon Laird 23 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Greg Golson 25 pre-arb 9-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Lance Pendleton↔ HOU 27 11-0.1
Austin Romine 22 9-0.2 0.0 -0.4
Brian Gordon 32 2-0.2
Scott Proctor↔ ATL 34 FA-elig 8-0.7 0.2 -2.0
Eduardo Núñez 24 pre-arb 112-0.8 0.4 -2.3
Ramiro Pena 25 pre-arb 23-0.9 0.4 -2.6
Jorge Posada 40 FA-elig 115-0.9 13.1 -15.3

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Russell Martin5.4
Bartolo Colon2.3
Freddy Garcia1.6
Andruw Jones1.5
Jesus Montero0.5
Cory Wade0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Andy Pettitte2.7
Marcus Thames0.7
Kerry Wood0.4
Austin Kearns0.2
Javier Vazquez0.2
Chad Moeller0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$198.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Alex Rodriguez3516.011$32.0M$29.0M$28.0MFREE AGENT$22.0M$21.0M
CC Sabathia3010.000$24.3M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$25.0M$25.0M
Mark Teixeira318.000$23.1M$22.5M$22.5M$22.5M$23.1M$23.1MFREE AGENT
A.J. Burnett3411.038$16.5MFREE AGENT
Mariano Rivera4115.105$14.9M$15.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Derek Jeter3715.042$14.7M$16.0M$17.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge Posada4014.085$13.1MFREE AGENT
Rafael Soriano318.057$10.0M$11.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Swisher306.031$9.1M$10.2MFREE AGENT
Curtis Granderson3014.077$8.2M$10.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Andruw Jones3414.047$1.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Chavez3312.020$1.5M$900kFREE AGENT
Freddy Garcia3410.060$1.5M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Bartolo Colon3812.061$900kFREE AGENT
Luis Ayala337.121$650kFREE AGENT
Scott Proctor347.000$154kFREE AGENT
Buddy Carlyle3312.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Robinson Canó285.153$10.0MFREE AGENT
Russell Martin284.150$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Hughes253.113$2.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joba Chamberlain253.055$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Boone Logan263.140$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Mitre305.132$138kFREE AGENT
Aaron Laffey264.101$101kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Brett Gardner272.072$530kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Robertson262.070$460kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Cervelli251.113$456kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gustavo Molina290.162$455kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Iván Nova240.051$433kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Núñez240.046$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Laird230.037$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Golson250.104$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramiro Pena251.138$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Noesí240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Dickerson292.048$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Montero211.167$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Kontos260.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dellin Betances230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Brackman251.027$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Romine220.000$41kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Gordon32
Raul Valdes331.085Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Marquez26
Lance Pendleton27
Kevin Whelan27
Cory Wade281.119Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Garrison24
Amauri Sanit31

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3