RRosternomics

Yankees NYY

GM: Brian Cashman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 2.11× league · TAB +11.6
+11.6TAB — talent above budget4th/30
+9.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/30
12.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/30
-3.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag6th/30
23%dead money %7th/30
0.623win %1st/30
55.1roster fWAR1st/30
-48surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$145Mpayroll $M1st/30

2003: won pennant · 101–61. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFBernie Williams 115GHideki Matsui 46GKarim Garcia 10G
LFHideki Matsui 118GJuan Rivera 34GRuben Sierra 26G
RFDavid Dellucci 59GKarim Garcia 54GJuan Rivera 22G
SSDerek Jeter 118GEnrique Wilson 33GErick Almonte 31G
2BAlfonso Soriano 155GEnrique Wilson 10GRobin Ventura 1G
3BAaron Boone 137GEnrique Wilson 17GDrew Henson 3G
1BJason Giambi 85GNick Johnson 60GTodd Zeile 23G
STARTERSMike Mussina 6.1WARAndy Pettitte 5.1WARRoger Clemens 4.5WARDavid Wells 3.8WARJeff Weaver 2.2WAR
CJorge Posada 137GJohn Flaherty 40GMichel Hernandez 5G
DHJason Giambi 69GRuben Sierra 41GNick Johnson 30G
BULLPEN Mariano Rivera 40svChris Hammond 17hJeff Nelson 14hGabe White 12hAntonio Osuna 9hFélix Heredia 8hAl Reyes 0hRandy Choate 0h
CJorge Posada 137 · John Flaherty 40 · Michel Hernandez 5
1BJason Giambi 85 · Nick Johnson 60 · Todd Zeile 23
2BAlfonso Soriano 155 · Enrique Wilson 10 · Robin Ventura 1
3BAaron Boone 137 · Enrique Wilson 17 · Drew Henson 3
SSDerek Jeter 118 · Enrique Wilson 33 · Erick Almonte 31
LFHideki Matsui 118 · Juan Rivera 34 · Ruben Sierra 26
CFBernie Williams 115 · Hideki Matsui 46 · Karim Garcia 10
RFDavid Dellucci 59 · Karim Garcia 54 · Juan Rivera 22
DHJason Giambi 69 · Ruben Sierra 41 · Nick Johnson 30
SPMike Mussina 6.1 · Andy Pettitte 5.1 · Roger Clemens 4.5 · David Wells 3.8 · Jeff Weaver 2.2
BP Mariano Rivera 40 · Chris Hammond 17 · Jeff Nelson 14 · Gabe White 12 · Antonio Osuna 9 · Félix Heredia 8 · Al Reyes 0 · Randy Choate 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2003 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Mussina 34 FA-elig 316.1 12.0 -1.2
Jorge Posada 32 FA-elig 1426.0 8.0 +2.7
Alfonso Soriano 27 arb 1565.1 0.8 +8.3
Andy Pettitte 31 FA-elig 335.1 11.5 -2.4
Jason Giambi 32 FA-elig 1565.0 11.4 -2.6
Roger Clemens 40 FA-elig 334.5 10.1 -2.1
Derek Jeter 29 FA-elig 1194.1 15.6 -8.3
David Wells 40 FA-elig 313.8 3.2 +3.5
Mariano Rivera 33 FA-elig 642.5 10.5 -6.1
Raul Mondesi↔ ARI 32 FA-elig 982.4 8.9 -4.7
Nick Johnson 24 pre-arb 962.3 0.4 +3.8
Jeff Weaver 26 arb 322.2 4.2 -0.2
Jose Contreras 31 pre-arb 181.7 5.5 -2.6
Robin Ventura↔ LAD 35 FA-elig 891.4 3.2 -0.8
Chris Hammond 37 FA-elig 621.3 2.2 +0.1
Juan Rivera 24 570.9
Antonio Osuna 30 FA-elig 480.8 2.4 -1.0
Aaron Boone↔ CIN 30 FA-elig 540.6 1.2 -0.3
John Flaherty 35 FA-elig 400.4 0.8 -0.1
Jeff Nelson↔ SEA 36 FA-elig 240.3 1.4 -0.8
Sterling Hitchcock↔ STL 32 FA-elig 270.3 4.6 -4.0
Ruben Sierra↔ TEX 37 FA-elig 630.3 0.4 +0.2
Jorge De Paula 24 40.3
Armando Benitez↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 90.3 0.9 -0.4
Hideki Matsui 29 pre-arb 1630.2 6.0 -5.6
Brandon Claussen 24 10.1
Chris Latham 30 FA-elig 40.1 0.4 -0.2
Al Reyes 33 130.1
Gabe White↔ CIN 31 FA-elig 120.0 0.9 -0.8
Michel Hernandez 24 50.0
Randy Choate 27 50.0
Felix Heredia↔ CIN 28 FA-elig 120.0 0.1 -0.1
Bernie Williams 34 FA-elig 119-0.0 12.4 -12.4
Fernando Seguignol 28 5-0.0
Charles Gipson 30 18-0.0
Jesse Orosco↔ MIN 46 FA-elig 15-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Luis Sojo 37 3-0.1
Drew Henson 23 5-0.1
Karim Garcia↔ CLE 27 FA-elig 52-0.1 0.6 -0.7
Bret Prinz↔ ARI 26 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Bubba Trammell 31 FA-elig 22-0.2 2.5 -2.8
Jason Anderson↔ NYM 24 pre-arb 22-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Curtis Pride 34 4-0.2
Juan Acevedo↔ TOR 33 FA-elig 25-0.2 0.6 -1.0
David Dellucci↔ ARI 29 FA-elig 21-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Todd Zeile↔ WSN 37 FA-elig 66-0.3 1.0 -1.5
Dan Miceli↔ CLE 32 FA-elig 7-0.3 0.0 -0.6
Erick Almonte 25 31-0.5
Enrique Wilson 29 FA-elig 63-0.6 0.7 -1.7

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Jose Contreras1.7
Chris Hammond1.3
Antonio Osuna0.8
Aaron Boone0.6
John Flaherty0.4
Jeff Nelson0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Orlando Hernandez3.1
Ramiro Mendoza1.3
Mike Stanton1.2
Ted Lilly1.1
Steve Karsay1.1
Shane Spencer0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$145.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Derek Jeter298.000$15.6M$18.6M$19.6M$20.6M$21.6M$21.6M$21.6M
Bernie Williams3412.000$12.4M$12.4M$12.4M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Mussina3412.000$12.0M$16.0M$19.0M$19.0M$11.1M$11.1MFREE AGENT
Andy Pettitte318.000$11.5MFREE AGENT$16.0M$16.0M$5.5M
Jason Giambi328.000$11.4M$12.4M$13.4M$20.4M$23.4M$23.4MFREE AGENT
Mariano Rivera338.000$10.5M$10.9M$10.5M$10.5M$10.5M$15.0M$15.0M
Roger Clemens4019.000$10.1MFREE AGENT$17.4M
Raul Mondesi3210.000$8.9MFREE AGENT
Jorge Posada328.000$8.0M$9.0M$11.0M$12.0M$12.0M$13.1M$13.1M
Sterling Hitchcock3211.000$4.6MFREE AGENT
David Wells4016.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Robin Ventura3514.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Bubba Trammell316.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Antonio Osuna308.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Chris Hammond3713.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Nelson3611.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Aaron Boone306.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Todd Zeile3714.000$990kFREE AGENT
Armando Benitez309.000$905kFREE AGENT
Gabe White319.000$865k$1.2MFREE AGENT
John Flaherty3511.000$750k$775k$800kFREE AGENT
Enrique Wilson296.000$700k$700kFREE AGENT
Karim Garcia278.000$616kFREE AGENT
Juan Acevedo338.000$577kFREE AGENT
Chris Latham306.000$400kFREE AGENT
Ruben Sierra3717.000$357k$1.0M$1.5MFREE AGENT
David Dellucci296.000$208kFREE AGENT
Jesse Orosco4624.000$185kFREE AGENT
Felix Heredia287.000$104k$1.8MFREE AGENT
Dan Miceli3210.000$43kFREE AGENT
Curtis Pride3410.000FREE AGENT
Al Reyes338.000FREE AGENT
Luis Sojo3713.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Jeff Weaver264.000$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfonso Soriano274.000$800kARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Gipson305.000FREE AGENT
Fernando Seguignol285.000FREE AGENT
Randy Choate273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Hideki Matsui290.000$6.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Contreras310.000$5.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Johnson242.000$364kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Anderson240.000$236kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bret Prinz262.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michel Hernandez24
Erick Almonte250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Rivera242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Claussen240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Henson23
Jorge De Paula240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 2003; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3