RRosternomics

Yankees NYY

GM: Lou Piniella

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.65× league · TAB -8.7
-8.7TAB — talent above budget21st/26
-2.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/26
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/26
-6.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/26
32%dead money %12th/26
0.528win %11th/26
31.5roster fWAR15th/26
-9surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/26
$19Mpayroll $M1st/26

Roster

CFClaudell Washington 103GGary Ward 39GRoberto Kelly 28G
LFRickey Henderson 135GGary Ward 17GClaudell Washington 13G
RFDave Winfield 141GJack Clark 14GClaudell Washington 8G
SSRafael Santana 148GLuis Aguayo 33GBobby Meacham 24G
2BWillie Randolph 110GRandy Velarde 24GBobby Meacham 21G
3BMike Pagliarulo 124GLuis Aguayo 46GRandy Velarde 11G
1BDon Mattingly 143GGary Ward 11GJack Clark 10G
STARTERSJohn Candelaria 3.4WARTommy John 2.9WARRick Rhoden 1.9WARCharles Hudson 1.0WARAl Leiter 0.5WAR
CDon Slaught 94GJoel Skinner 85GBob Geren 10G
DHJack Clark 107GKen Phelps 83GJose Cruz 11G
BULLPEN Dave Righetti 25svDale Mohorcic 0hNeil Allen 0hSteve Shields 0hTim Stoddard 0hLee Guetterman 0hHipolito Pena 0hScott Nielsen 0h
CDon Slaught 94 · Joel Skinner 85 · Bob Geren 10
1BDon Mattingly 143 · Gary Ward 11 · Jack Clark 10
2BWillie Randolph 110 · Randy Velarde 24 · Bobby Meacham 21
3BMike Pagliarulo 124 · Luis Aguayo 46 · Randy Velarde 11
SSRafael Santana 148 · Luis Aguayo 33 · Bobby Meacham 24
LFRickey Henderson 135 · Gary Ward 17 · Claudell Washington 13
CFClaudell Washington 103 · Gary Ward 39 · Roberto Kelly 28
RFDave Winfield 141 · Jack Clark 14 · Claudell Washington 8
DHJack Clark 107 · Ken Phelps 83 · Jose Cruz 11
SPJohn Candelaria 3.4 · Tommy John 2.9 · Rick Rhoden 1.9 · Charles Hudson 1.0 · Al Leiter 0.5
BP Dave Righetti 25 · Dale Mohorcic 0 · Neil Allen 0 · Steve Shields 0 · Tim Stoddard 0 · Lee Guetterman 0 · Hipolito Pena 0 · Scott Nielsen 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1988 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Rickey Henderson 29 FA-elig 1405.5 1.8 -0.1
Dave Winfield 36 FA-elig 1495.0 2.0 -0.4
John Candelaria 34 FA-elig 253.4 0.7 +0.4
Don Mattingly 27 FA-elig 1443.3 2.0 -1.0
Tommy John 45 FA-elig 352.9 0.4 +0.5
Claudell Washington 33 FA-elig 1262.9 0.5 +0.4
Jack Clark 32 FA-elig 1502.8 1.5 -0.6
Don Slaught 29 FA-elig 972.1 0.5 +0.1
Rick Rhoden 35 FA-elig 311.9 0.9 -0.3
Willie Randolph 33 FA-elig 1101.8 0.9 -0.3
Dave Righetti 29 FA-elig 601.4 1.3 -0.9
Charles Hudson 29 arb 281.0 0.5 -0.1
Ken Phelps↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 450.8 0.3 -0.0
Joel Skinner 27 arb 880.7 0.1 +0.1
Al Leiter 22 pre-arb 140.5 0.1 +0.1
Ron Guidry 37 FA-elig 120.5 0.8 -0.7
Dale Mohorcic↔ TEX 32 pre-arb 130.4 0.0 +0.1
Steve Shields 29 arb 390.3 0.1 -0.0
Cecilio Guante↔ TEX 28 FA-elig 560.2 0.3 -0.3
Lee Guetterman 29 arb 200.2 0.1 -0.1
Wayne Tolleson 32 FA-elig 210.1 0.4 -0.4
Roberto Kelly 23 pre-arb 380.1 0.1 -0.0
Jay Buhner↔ SEA 23 pre-arb 250.1 0.0 +0.0
Hipolito Pena 24 16-0.0
Bobby Meacham 27 arb 47-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Pat Clements 26 6-0.0
Chris Chambliss 39 FA-elig 1-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Neil Allen 30 FA-elig 41-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Tim Stoddard 35 FA-elig 28-0.1 0.7 -0.7
Bob Geren 26 10-0.2
Alvaro Espinoza 26 3-0.2
Hal Morris 23 15-0.3
Richard Dotson 29 FA-elig 32-0.4 0.9 -1.0
Gary Ward 34 FA-elig 91-0.5 0.6 -0.8
Dave Eiland 21 3-0.5
Rafael Santana 30 arb 148-0.6 0.4 -0.6
Randy Velarde 25 48-0.6
Jose Cruz 40 FA-elig 38-0.6 0.3 -0.5
Mike Pagliarulo 28 arb 125-0.6 0.5 -0.7
Scott Nielsen 29 7-0.7
Luis Aguayo↔ PHI 29 FA-elig 50-0.8 0.2 -0.4

Key additions (new vs 1987)

PlayerfWAR
John Candelaria3.4
Jack Clark2.8
Don Slaught2.1
Ken Phelps0.8
Dale Mohorcic0.4
Steve Shields0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1987)

Player1987 fWAR
Rick Cerone0.9
Joe Niekro0.8
Bill Gullickson0.6
Ron Kittle0.5
Henry Cotto0.4
Dan Pasqua0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

1988 payroll
$19.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1988, 1988–1994. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (22)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Don Mattingly276.000$2.0M$2.2M$2.5M$3.4M$3.6M$3.8M$4.0M
Dave Winfield3615.000$2.0MFREE AGENT$1.7M
Rickey Henderson299.000$1.8M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jack Clark3213.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Dave Righetti299.000$1.3M$1.4M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Richard Dotson299.000$900k$41kFREE AGENT
Rick Rhoden3514.000$900kFREE AGENT
Willie Randolph3313.000$875kFREE AGENT
Ron Guidry3713.000$825kFREE AGENT
Tim Stoddard3513.000$700kFREE AGENT
John Candelaria3413.000$700k$436kFREE AGENT
Gary Ward349.000$625k$63kFREE AGENT
Don Slaught296.000$532k$650kFREE AGENT
Claudell Washington3314.000$480kFREE AGENT$495k
Wayne Tolleson327.000$410kFREE AGENT$425k
Tommy John4525.000$375kFREE AGENT
Jose Cruz4018.000$350kFREE AGENT
Cecilio Guante286.000$338kFREE AGENT
Ken Phelps338.000$258k$581kFREE AGENT
Neil Allen309.000$250kFREE AGENT
Luis Aguayo298.000$189kFREE AGENT
Chris Chambliss3917.000$62kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Mike Pagliarulo284.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Hudson295.000$450kFREE AGENT
Rafael Santana305.000$425kFREE AGENT
Bobby Meacham275.000$212kFREE AGENT
Lee Guetterman294.000$138kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Shields293.000$110kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Skinner275.000$110kFREE AGENT
Pat Clements263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alvaro Espinoza264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Roberto Kelly231.000$67kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Al Leiter221.000$67kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dale Mohorcic322.000$37kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Buhner231.000$20kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Eiland210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Geren260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hal Morris230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Nielsen292.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hipolito Pena24
Randy Velarde251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 1988; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3