Twins MIN
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Twins MINPresident of baseball ops: Derek Falvey · GM: Jeremy Zoll · partial season
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Connor Prielipp | 2.0 |
| Andrew Morris | 1.0 |
| Dean Kremer | 0.9 |
| Yoendrys Gómez | 0.7 |
| Josh Bell | 0.7 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.7 |
| Player | 2025 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | 2.0 |
| Griffin Jax | 1.5 |
| Jhoan Duran | 1.2 |
| Chris Paddack | 1.1 |
| Willi Castro | 1.1 |
| Carlos Correa | 1.1 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Twins. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 2022–2026 | +15.3 | +194.5 | 70.7 | +123.8 | $4.6M | 1.55× | Arb extension · 2022–2028 · $14.3M AAV |
| Taj Bradley | 2026 | +2.8 | +43.8 | 0.8 | +43.0 | $0.3M | 1.96× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Joe Ryan | 2026 | +2.5 | +39.6 | 6.1 | +33.5 | $2.4M | 1.96× | Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.2M AAV |
| Luke Keaschall | 2026 | +3.0 | +26.1 | 0.8 | +25.3 | $0.3M | 1.07× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Brooks Lee | 2026 | +2.8 | +24.9 | 0.8 | +24.2 | $0.3M | 1.12× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Connor Prielipp | 2026 | +2.0 | +23.9 | 0.7 | +23.3 | $0.3M | 1.49× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Kody Clemens | 2026 | +2.5 | +21.6 | 0.8 | +20.8 | $0.3M | 1.07× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Trevor Larnach | 2026 | +2.2 | +21.8 | 4.5 | +17.3 | $2.0M | 1.22× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV |
| Ryan Jeffers | 2026 | +2.6 | +20.4 | 6.7 | +13.7 | $2.6M | 1.00× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.7M AAV |
| Andrew Morris | 2026 | +1.0 | +11.0 | 0.7 | +10.3 | $0.7M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Yoendrys Gómez↔ | 2026 | +0.7 | +8.0 | 0.5 | +7.4 | $0.7M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Zebby Matthews | 2026 | +0.7 | +6.0 | 0.6 | +5.4 | $0.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Bailey Ober | 2026 | +1.3 | +10.4 | 5.2 | +5.2 | $4.1M | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.2M AAV |
| Austin Martin | 2026 | +0.9 | +5.9 | 0.8 | +5.1 | $0.9M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Eric Orze | 2026 | +0.5 | +5.8 | 0.8 | +5.0 | $1.5M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Mick Abel | 2026 | +0.6 | +4.6 | 0.8 | +3.8 | $1.4M | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Dean Kremer↔ | 2026 | +0.9 | +7.1 | 3.4 | +3.7 | $3.9M | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.8M AAV |
| Ryan Kreidler | 2026 | +0.6 | +3.1 | 0.6 | +2.5 | $1.0M | 0.61× | – |
| Kody Funderburk | 2026 | +0.4 | +2.2 | 0.2 | +2.0 | $0.5M | 0.67× | – |
| Jeff Hoffman↔ | 2026 | +0.5 | +5.3 | 3.6 | +1.7 | $7.3M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV |
| Alan Roden | 2026 | +0.3 | +2.2 | 0.8 | +1.4 | $2.5M | 0.83× | – |
| Jack Anderson↔ | 2026 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 0.0 | +1.0 | $0.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Tommy Nance↔ | 2026 | +0.3 | +1.3 | 0.4 | +1.0 | $1.4M | 0.67× | – |
| Kendry Rojas | 2026 | +0.3 | +1.5 | 0.6 | +0.9 | $2.1M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Austin Voth↔ | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.4 | 0.2 | +0.3 | $2.1M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Travis Adams | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 0.6 | +0.2 | $4.1M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Garrett Acton | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.7 | -0.5 | $19.8M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Royce Lewis | 2026 | +0.5 | +2.4 | 2.9 | -0.5 | $5.3M | 0.56× | – |
| Orlando Arcia | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | $24.3M | 0.61× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV |
| Alex Jackson | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.4 | 1.4 | -1.0 | $14.7M | 0.52× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV |
| Taylor Rogers | 2026 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | $10.8M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV |
| Zak Kent↔ | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Victor Caratini | 2026 | +0.7 | +2.9 | 4.0 | -1.1 | $5.8M | 0.52× | Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $7.0M AAV |
| James Outman↔ | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.4 | -1.4 | – | 0.69× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Cody Laweryson | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.9 | -1.6 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Anthony Banda | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 1.6 | -1.7 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Josh Bell | 2026 | +0.7 | +3.9 | 5.8 | -1.8 | $8.1M | 0.69× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV |
| Tristan Gray | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 0.8 | -2.3 | – | 0.61× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Cole Sands | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 1.1 | -2.5 | – | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV |
| Luis García↔ | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 1.1 | -2.6 | – | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.9M AAV |
| Justin Lawrence↔ | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.9 | 0.2 | -3.1 | – | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV |
| Justin Topa↔ | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.6 | 0.9 | -3.5 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Simeon Woods Richardson↔ | 2026 | -0.4 | -3.5 | 0.3 | -3.8 | – | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Matt Wallner | 2026 | -0.8 | -5.6 | 0.2 | -5.8 | – | 0.83× | – |
| A.J. Minter↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 5.7 | -5.9 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $11.0M AAV |
| Total | — | +43.7 | +482.1 | 142.6 | +340.0 | — | ||
Every graded 2026 deal involving the Twins — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 17 total.
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$7.2M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$7.2M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$4.0M
TBR · Erik Neander
−$4.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$1.6M
NYM · David Stearns
−$1.6M
SEA · Jerry Dipoto
+$2.4M
MIN · Derek Falvey
−$2.4M
DET · Scott Harris
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
ARI · Mike Hazen
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$4.8M
COL · Josh Byrnes
−$4.8M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
MIA · Peter Bendix
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$1.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$1.6M
LAD · Andrew Friedman
+$1.6M
MIN · Derek Falvey
−$1.6M
PIT · Ben Cherington
+$2.4M
MIN · Derek Falvey
−$2.4M
BOS · Craig Breslow
+$2.4M
MIN · Derek Falvey
−$2.4M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
NYM · David Stearns
+$0.0M
MIA · Peter Bendix
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$5.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$5.6M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.8M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$0.8M
What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax threshold | $244M | $247M | $250M | $253M | $256M | $259M | $262M |
| Guaranteed contracts | $32M | $28M | $14M | ||||
| Proj. arbitration | $30M | $6M | |||||
| Proj. pre-arbitration | $12M | $7M | |||||
| Player benefits | $18M | $18M | $18M | ||||
| Total CBT payroll | $92M | $52M | $39M | ||||
| Tax space | +$152M | +$195M | +$211M | ||||
| Est. tax bill | — | — | — |
Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 32 | 9.160 | $15.1M | $15.1M | $15.1M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Joe Ryan | 30 | 4.033 | $6.1M | $13.0MMUTUAL | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Josh Bell | 33 | 9.053 | $5.8M | $10.0MMUTUAL | FREE AGENT | ||||
| A.J. Minter | 32 | 7.154 | $5.7MPLAYER | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Victor Caratini | 32 | 8.051 | $4.0M | $6.5M | $12.0MMUTUAL | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jeff Hoffman | 33 | 7.084 | $3.6M | $12.7M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Taylor Rogers | 35 | 9.145 | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Justin Topa | 35 | 5.044 | $920k | $5.0M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Orlando Arcia | 31 | 8.114 | $876k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Jeffers | 29 | 5.089 | $6.7M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Bailey Ober | 30 | 4.093 | $5.2M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Trevor Larnach | 29 | 4.014 | $4.5M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Dean Kremer | 30 | 4.112 | $3.4M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Royce Lewis | 27 | 3.142 | $2.9M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Anthony Banda | 32 | 4.135 | $1.6M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Alex Jackson | 30 | 3.036 | $1.4M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Cole Sands | 28 | 3.017 | $1.1M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Luis García | 39 | 4.142 | $1.1M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Justin Lawrence | 31 | 3.167 | $232k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Austin Voth | 34 | 5.115 | $171k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Laweryson | 28 | 0.017 | $875k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Alan Roden | 26 | 0.134 | $820k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Kody Clemens | 30 | 2.134 | $804k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Taj Bradley | 25 | 2.097 | $802k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Tristan Gray | 30 | 0.123 | $800k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Brooks Lee | 25 | 1.089 | $793k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Austin Martin | 27 | 1.041 | $791k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Luke Keaschall | 23 | 0.058 | $788k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Eric Orze | 28 | 0.116 | $786k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Mick Abel | 24 | 0.050 | $782k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Garrett Acton | 28 | 0.031 | $730k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Andrew Morris | 24 | – | $705k | ||||||
| Connor Prielipp | 25 | – | $659k | ||||||
| Ryan Kreidler | 28 | 1.006 | $645k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Kendry Rojas | 23 | – | $596k | ||||||
| Zebby Matthews | 26 | 1.010 | $596k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Travis Adams | 26 | 0.066 | $570k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Yoendrys Gómez | 26 | 0.135 | $519k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| James Outman | 29 | 2.007 | $416k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Tommy Nance | 35 | 2.165 | $355k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Simeon Woods Richardson | 25 | 1.153 | $296k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Matt Wallner | 28 | 2.043 | $218k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Kody Funderburk | 29 | 1.122 | $200k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jack Anderson | 26 | – | $21k | ||||||
| Zak Kent | 28 | 0.037 | $10k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Twins's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.