Rosternomics

Twins MIN

200492–70 (0.568)Made Playoffs
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GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$48M
Win %
0.568
TAB
+9.4
WAB
+14.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
39.6
Dead money %
22%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-2.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2004 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RHenry Blanco114
LJoe Mauer32
RMatthew LeCroy26
RPat Borders19
BRob Bowen15

1B

LDoug Mientkiewicz78
LJustin Morneau61
RMatthew LeCroy23
RMichael Cuddyer10
BJose Offerman7
BTerry Tiffee1

2B

RLuis Rivas109
RMichael Cuddyer48
BAugie Ojeda20
BNick Punto19
RAlex Prieto8
BJose Offerman3
RJason Bartlett1

3B

LCorey Koskie115
RMichael Cuddyer43
BTerry Tiffee12
RAlex Prieto5
BAugie Ojeda4
BNick Punto2

SS

BCristian Guzman145
BNick Punto11
BAugie Ojeda7
RJason Bartlett5
RAlex Prieto3

LF

RLew Ford81
RShannon Stewart71
RMichael Restovich12
LMichael Ryan10
RMichael Cuddyer7
LJason Kubel2

CF

RTorii Hunter126
RLew Ford46
LJacque Jones2
LMichael Ryan2
BNick Punto2

RF

LJacque Jones141
RLew Ford10
LJason Kubel8
RMichael Cuddyer8
RMichael Restovich7
LMichael Ryan3

DH

BJose Offerman33
RMatthew LeCroy29
RLew Ford25
RShannon Stewart21
LJustin Morneau11
RTorii Hunter10
LJason Kubel7
LMichael Ryan5
RMichael Cuddyer4
LJacque Jones3
RMichael Restovich2
LCorey Koskie1
LJoe Mauer1
BTerry Tiffee1

Starters

LJohan Santana6.9 WAR
RBrad Radke4.9 WAR
RCarlos Silva2.5 WAR
RKyle Lohse0.9 WAR
LTerry Mulholland0.5 WAR
RJ.D. Durbin0.0 WAR
RSeth Greisinger-0.1 WAR
RMatt Guerrier-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

RJoe Nathan44 sv
RJuan Rincon16 h
LJ.C. Romero16 h
LAaron Fultz5 h
RGrant Balfour4 h
RJoe Roa2 h
RJesse Crain2 h
RMatt Guerrier0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Joe Nathan3.0
Carlos Silva2.5
Joe Mauer1.2
Augie Ojeda0.9
Nick Punto0.7
Terry Mulholland0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
A.J. Pierzynski3.6
LaTroy Hawkins2.6
Kenny Rogers2.5
Eddie Guardado1.4
Rick Reed1.2
Bobby Kielty0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Twins. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Johan Santana 2004 +6.9 +138.2 1.6 +136.6 $0.2M 2.50×
Brad Radke 2004 +4.9 +86.6 10.8 +75.9 $2.2M 2.19×
Joe Nathan 2004 +3.0 +60.9 0.4 +60.5 $0.1M 2.57×
Carlos Silva 2004 +2.5 +39.6 0.3 +39.2 $0.1M 1.96×
Juan Rincon 2004 +2.4 +37.0 0.3 +36.7 $0.1M 1.95×
Torii Hunter 2004 +2.6 +33.1 6.5 +26.6 $2.5M 1.60×
Corey Koskie 2004 +2.5 +22.7 4.5 +18.2 $1.8M 1.12×
J.C. Romero 2004 +1.1 +11.2 0.8 +10.4 $0.8M 1.34×
Shannon Stewart 2004 +1.6 +15.6 5.5 +10.1 $3.4M 1.22×
Cristian Guzman 2004 +1.8 +12.8 3.7 +9.1 $2.1M 0.89×
Kyle Lohse 2004 +0.9 +7.7 0.4 +7.3 $0.4M 1.02×
Joe Mauer 2004 +1.2 +5.0 0.3 +4.7 $0.2M 0.52×
Luis Rivas 2004 +1.1 +5.0 1.5 +3.5 $1.3M 0.56×
Michael Cuddyer 2004 +0.8 +3.6 0.3 +3.3 $0.4M 0.56×
Nick Punto 2004 +0.7 +3.1 0.3 +2.8 $0.4M 0.56×
Jose Offerman 2004 +0.3 +1.7 0.5 +1.2 $1.6M 0.69×
Grant Balfour 2004 +0.3 +1.4 0.3 +1.0 $1.2M 0.67×
Henry Blanco 2004 +0.4 +1.7 0.8 +0.9 $1.9M 0.52×
Joe Roa 2004 +0.0 +0.2 0.3 -0.1 $7.9M 0.67×
Brad Thomas 2004 +0.0 +0.1 0.3 -0.2 $28.7M 0.67×
Carlos Pulido 2004 -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.5 0.67×
Joe Beimel 2004 -0.1 -0.4 0.5 -0.9 0.67×
Matthew LeCroy 2004 -0.2 -1.1 0.3 -1.5 0.69×
Doug Mientkiewicz 2004 -0.1 -0.5 1.7 -2.2 0.56×
Jacque Jones 2004 +0.1 +0.9 4.3 -3.4 $32.2M 0.83×
Michael Ryan 2004 -0.6 -3.9 0.3 -4.2 0.83×
Aaron Fultz 2004 +0.1 +0.5 0.6 -0.0 $5.7M 0.67×
Alex Prieto 2004 +0.1 +0.4 0.56×
Augie Ojeda 2004 +0.9 +4.1 0.56×
J.D. Durbin 2004 +0.0 +0.2 0.67×
Jason Bartlett 2004 -0.1 -0.4 0.61×
Jason Kubel 2004 -0.0 -0.2 0.83×
Jesse Crain 2004 +0.0 +0.2 0.67×
Justin Morneau 2004 +0.8 +3.7 0.56×
Lew Ford 2004 +3.4 +43.9 1.60×
Matt Guerrier 2004 -0.2 -1.0 0.67×
Michael Restovich 2004 -0.2 -1.6 0.83×
Pat Borders 2004 +0.1 +0.4 0.52×
Rob Bowen 2004 -0.3 -1.4 0.52×
Seth Greisinger 2004 -0.1 -0.5 1.02×
Terry Mulholland 2004 +0.5 +2.6 0.67×
Terry Tiffee 2004 +0.3 +1.5 0.58×
Total+39.4+534.447.4+435.0

Trades

Every graded 2004 deal involving the Twins — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 2 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$47.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Brad Radke319.000$10.8M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Torii Hunter287.000$6.5M$8.0M$10.8M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Shannon Stewart309.000$5.5M$6.0M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Corey Koskie316.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Doug Mientkiewicz306.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Henry Blanco327.000$750kFREE AGENT
Jose Offerman3514.000$500kFREE AGENT
Joe Roa329.000$320kFREE AGENT
Carlos Pulido3210.000$305kFREE AGENT
Pat Borders4116.000FREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland4118.000FREE AGENT
Seth Greisinger286.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Jacque Jones295.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Cristian Guzman265.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Johan Santana254.000$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Rivas244.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Romero285.000$820kFREE AGENT
Aaron Fultz304.000$550kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Beimel273.000$535kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Nathan295.000$440kFREE AGENT
Kyle Lohse253.000$395kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matthew LeCroy284.000$340kARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Rincon253.000$330kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Cuddyer253.000$308kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Punto263.000$308kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Balfour263.000$305kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Thomas263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Augie Ojeda294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Carlos Silva252.000$340kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Ryan262.000$305kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mauer210.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lew Ford271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Prieto28
Michael Restovich25
Matt Guerrier250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Morneau231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Bowen231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Durbin220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bartlett240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Tiffee25
Jason Kubel220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Crain220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Twins's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.