RRosternomics

Dodgers LAD

GM: Fred Claire

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.19× league · TAB -1.9
-1.9TAB — talent above budget18th/28
+3.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)11th/28
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/28
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/28
37%dead money %22nd/28
0.543win %7th/28
34.5roster fWAR12th/28
-11surplus $M (value vs cost)17th/28
$47Mpayroll $M9th/28

Roster

CFOtis Nixon 144GDarren Lewis 66GRoger Cedeno 55G
LFTodd Hollandsworth 80GBrett Butler 47GBilly Ashley 35G
RFRaúl Mondesi 159GRoger Cedeno 4GEric Anthony 4G
SSGreg Gagne 143GJuan Castro 22GTripp Cromer III 10G
2BEric Young Sr. 154GWilton Guerrero 90GNelson Liriano 17G
3BTodd Zeile 160GJuan Castro 3GChip Hale 2G
1BEric Karros 162GNelson Liriano 2GPaul Konerko 1G
STARTERSIsmael Valdez 3.7WARHideo Nomo 3.6WARChan Ho Park 2.5WARRamon Martinez 1.4WARDennys Reyes 0.5WAR
CMike Piazza 139GTom Prince 45G
DHMike Piazza 7GBrett Butler 1G
BULLPEN Todd Worrell 35svScott Radinsky 0hDarren Hall 0hMark Guthrie 0hAntonio Osuna 0hDarren Dreifort 0hMike Harkey 0hRick Gorecki 0h
CMike Piazza 139 · Tom Prince 45
1BEric Karros 162 · Nelson Liriano 2 · Paul Konerko 1
2BEric Young Sr. 154 · Wilton Guerrero 90 · Nelson Liriano 17
3BTodd Zeile 160 · Juan Castro 3 · Chip Hale 2
SSGreg Gagne 143 · Juan Castro 22 · Tripp Cromer III 10
LFTodd Hollandsworth 80 · Brett Butler 47 · Billy Ashley 35
CFOtis Nixon 144 · Darren Lewis 66 · Roger Cedeno 55
RFRaúl Mondesi 159 · Roger Cedeno 4 · Eric Anthony 4
DHMike Piazza 7 · Brett Butler 1
SPIsmael Valdez 3.7 · Hideo Nomo 3.6 · Chan Ho Park 2.5 · Ramon Martinez 1.4 · Dennys Reyes 0.5
BP Todd Worrell 35 · Scott Radinsky 0 · Darren Hall 0 · Mark Guthrie 0 · Antonio Osuna 0 · Darren Dreifort 0 · Mike Harkey 0 · Rick Gorecki 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1997 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Piazza 28 arb 1529.1 7.0 +2.3
Raul Mondesi 26 arb 1595.7 2.7 +3.1
Ismael Valdez 23 arb 303.7 0.9 +2.9
Hideo Nomo 28 pre-arb 333.6 0.9 +2.8
Todd Zeile 31 FA-elig 1602.5 3.1 -0.5
Chan Ho Park 24 arb 322.5 0.3 +2.3
Pedro Astacio↔ COL 27 arb 262.3 2.3 +0.0
Eric Karros 29 FA-elig 1621.5 4.5 -3.0
Ramon Martinez 29 FA-elig 221.4 4.8 -3.3
Roger Cedeno 22 pre-arb 800.9 0.2 +0.8
Antonio Osuna 24 pre-arb 480.9 0.3 +0.6
Darren Dreifort 25 arb 480.8 0.2 +0.6
Tom Prince 32 FA-elig 470.7 0.3 +0.4
Eric Young Sr.↔ COL 30 arb 370.7 0.8 -0.1
Scott Radinsky 29 FA-elig 750.6 0.9 -0.3
Tripp Cromer III 29 arb 280.5 0.2 +0.3
Dennys Reyes 20 140.5
Wilton Guerrero 22 pre-arb 1110.4 0.1 +0.3
Darren Hall 32 arb 630.4 0.4 +0.0
Darren Lewis↔ CHW 29 FA-elig 260.3 0.3 +0.0
Garey Ingram 26 arb 120.2 0.2 +0.1
Greg Gagne 35 FA-elig 1440.2 3.0 -2.8
Todd Hollandsworth 24 pre-arb 1060.1 0.6 -0.4
Eric Anthony 29 470.1
Henry Blanco 25 30.1
Mike Judd 22 10.1
Eddie Murray↔ ANA 41 FA-elig 90.1 0.1 -0.1
Tom Candiotti 40 FA-elig 420.0 3.0 -3.0
Otis Nixon↔ TOR 38 FA-elig 42-0.1 0.7 -0.8
Eddie Williams↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 8-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Adam Riggs 24 9-0.1
Juan Castro 25 pre-arb 40-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Paul Konerko 21 6-0.2
Brett Butler 40 FA-elig 105-0.2 1.7 -2.0
Chip Hale 32 FA-elig 14-0.2 0.3 -0.5
Mike Harkey 30 10-0.2
Chad Fonville↔ CHW 26 pre-arb 9-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Rick Gorecki 23 4-0.3
Nelson Liriano 33 FA-elig 76-0.4 0.4 -0.8
Todd Worrell 37 FA-elig 65-0.4 3.8 -4.2
Wayne Kirby 33 FA-elig 46-0.5 0.5 -1.0
Karim Garcia 21 15-0.6
Billy Ashley 26 arb 71-0.8 0.3 -1.1
Mark Guthrie 31 FA-elig 62-1.0 1.6 -2.6

Key additions (new vs 1996)

PlayerfWAR
Todd Zeile2.5
Eric Young Sr.0.7
Tripp Cromer III0.5
Dennys Reyes0.5
Darren Lewis0.3
Garey Ingram0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1996)

Player1996 fWAR
Chad Curtis0.3
Oreste Marrero0.1
Mike Blowers0.1
Carlos Hernandez0.1
Rick Parker0.1
Jim Bruske0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1997 payroll
$46.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 1997, 1997–2003. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Ramon Martinez299.000$4.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Eric Karros296.000$4.5M$4.5M$5.5M$5.4M$7.5M$6.9MFREE AGENT
Todd Worrell3712.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Todd Zeile318.000$3.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Greg Gagne3514.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Tom Candiotti4014.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Brett Butler4016.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Mark Guthrie318.000$1.6M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Scott Radinsky297.000$900k$900kFREE AGENT
Otis Nixon3814.000$724kFREE AGENT
Wayne Kirby336.000$450kFREE AGENT
Nelson Liriano3310.000$375kFREE AGENT
Tom Prince3210.000$350k$350kFREE AGENT
Darren Lewis297.000$322kFREE AGENT
Chip Hale328.000$280kFREE AGENT
Eddie Murray4120.000$123kFREE AGENT
Eddie Williams3211.000$53kFREE AGENT
Eric Anthony298.000FREE AGENT
Mike Harkey309.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Mike Piazza285.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Raul Mondesi264.000$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Astacio275.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Ismael Valdez233.000$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Young Sr.305.000$764kFREE AGENT
Darren Hall323.000$365kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Ashley265.000$275kFREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park243.000$270kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Dreifort253.000$220kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tripp Cromer III294.000$181kARB 3FREE AGENT
Garey Ingram263.000$176kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Hideo Nomo282.000$900kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Hollandsworth242.000$550kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Osuna242.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Castro252.000$215kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Cedeno222.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilton Guerrero221.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Fonville262.000$120kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Blanco250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Karim Garcia212.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Gorecki230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Judd220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Konerko210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennys Reyes200.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Riggs24

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 1997; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3