RRosternomics

Astros HOU

GM: Gerry Hunsicker

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.88× league · TAB +14.9
+14.9TAB — talent above budget2nd/28
+3.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/28
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/28
-4.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/28
20%dead money %7th/28
0.519win %10th/28
47.6roster fWAR3rd/28
+14surplus $M (value vs cost)1st/28
$35Mpayroll $M21st/28

1997: made playoffs · 84–78. Ranks are vs the 28 teams that season.

Roster

CFChuck Carr 81GThomas Howard 41GJames Mouton 39G
LFLuis Gonzalez 146GBobby Abreu 10GThomas Howard 10G
RFDerek Bell 89GBobby Abreu 43GThomas Howard 18G
SSTim Bogar 80GRicky Gutierrez 64GPat Listach 31G
2BCraig Biggio 160GRicky Gutierrez 9GBill Spiers 4G
3BSean Berry 85GBill Spiers 84GRicky Gutierrez 22G
1BJeff Bagwell 159GBill Spiers 8GJ.R. Phillips 3G
STARTERSDarryl Kile 4.1WARMike Hampton 3.1WARShane Reynolds 2.9WARChris Holt 1.5WARRamon Garcia 0.7WAR
CBrad Ausmus 129GTony Eusebio 43GTony Peña Sr. 38G
DHSean Berry 3GJeff Bagwell 1GDerek Bell 1G
BULLPEN Billy Wagner 23svTom Martin 0hRuss Springer 0hJose Lima 0hJohn Hudek 0hMike Magnante 0hJose Cabrera 0hBlas Minor 0h
CBrad Ausmus 129 · Tony Eusebio 43 · Tony Peña Sr. 38
1BJeff Bagwell 159 · Bill Spiers 8 · J.R. Phillips 3
2BCraig Biggio 160 · Ricky Gutierrez 9 · Bill Spiers 4
3BSean Berry 85 · Bill Spiers 84 · Ricky Gutierrez 22
SSTim Bogar 80 · Ricky Gutierrez 64 · Pat Listach 31
LFLuis Gonzalez 146 · Bobby Abreu 10 · Thomas Howard 10
CFChuck Carr 81 · Thomas Howard 41 · James Mouton 39
RFDerek Bell 89 · Bobby Abreu 43 · Thomas Howard 18
DHSean Berry 3 · Jeff Bagwell 1 · Derek Bell 1
SPDarryl Kile 4.1 · Mike Hampton 3.1 · Shane Reynolds 2.9 · Chris Holt 1.5 · Ramon Garcia 0.7
BP Billy Wagner 23 · Tom Martin 0 · Russ Springer 0 · Jose Lima 0 · John Hudek 0 · Mike Magnante 0 · Jose Cabrera 0 · Blas Minor 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1997 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Craig Biggio 31 FA-elig 1629.3 6.3 +3.2
Jeff Bagwell 29 FA-elig 1628.0 8.0 +0.1
Bill Spiers 31 FA-elig 1324.4 0.6 +3.9
Darryl Kile 28 FA-elig 344.1 1.7 +2.5
Mike Hampton 24 arb 343.1 1.4 +1.8
Derek Bell 28 FA-elig 1292.9 3.2 -0.2
Shane Reynolds 29 arb 302.9 2.0 +1.0
Brad Ausmus 28 arb 1302.7 1.1 +1.6
Tim Bogar 30 arb 972.3 0.3 +2.1
Luis Gonzalez 29 FA-elig 1522.3 1.4 +1.0
Billy Wagner 25 pre-arb 622.2 0.2 +2.0
Chris Holt 25 pre-arb 331.5 0.1 +1.4
Mike Magnante 32 FA-elig 401.1 0.3 +0.8
Chuck Carr↔ MIL 29 FA-elig 630.9 0.2 +0.7
Russ Springer 28 arb 540.9 0.4 +0.5
Ramon Garcia 28 FA-elig 420.7 0.2 +0.6
Bobby Abreu 23 pre-arb 590.6 0.1 +0.4
Thomas Howard 32 FA-elig 1070.4 0.8 -0.3
Tom Martin 27 pre-arb 550.4 0.1 +0.3
Jose Lima 24 arb 520.3 0.2 +0.1
Richard Hidalgo 22 pre-arb 190.3 0.1 +0.1
Randy Knorr 28 FA-elig 40.2 0.3 -0.1
Jose Cabrera 28 120.2
Tony Eusebio 30 FA-elig 600.1 0.7 -0.5
Russ Johnson 24 210.1
Tommy Greene 30 20.1
Sean Berry 31 FA-elig 960.0 2.2 -2.2
Manuel Barrios 22 20.0
Ray Montgomery 27 pre-arb 29-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Oscar Henriquez 23 4-0.0
Sid Fernandez 34 FA-elig 1-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Luis Rivera 33 7-0.1
Tony Peña Sr.↔ CHW 40 FA-elig 9-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Blas Minor 31 11-0.1
Ken Ramos 30 14-0.2
J.R. Phillips 27 13-0.3
Donne Wall 29 8-0.3
Ricky Gutierrez 27 arb 102-0.6 0.4 -1.0
James Mouton 28 arb 86-0.7 0.4 -1.1
Pat Listach 29 arb 52-1.1 0.8 -1.9
John Hudek 30 arb 40-1.2 0.4 -1.7

Key additions (new vs 1996)

PlayerfWAR
Brad Ausmus2.7
Tim Bogar2.3
Luis Gonzalez2.3
Mike Magnante1.1
Chuck Carr0.9
Russ Springer0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 1996)

Player1996 fWAR
Doug Drabek1.7
John Cangelosi1.5
Brian L. Hunter1.0
Derrick May0.7
Orlando Miller0.6
Rick Wilkins0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1997 payroll
$34.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1997, 1997–2003. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Jeff Bagwell296.000$8.0M$7.9M$6.5M$6.5M$6.5M$11.0M$13.0M
Craig Biggio319.000$6.3M$6.1M$6.1M$6.8M$7.8M$8.8M$9.8M
Derek Bell286.000$3.2M$4.2M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Sean Berry317.000$2.2M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Darryl Kile286.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Luis Gonzalez297.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Thomas Howard327.000$750kFREE AGENT
Tony Eusebio306.000$650k$725k$900k$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Bill Spiers318.000$600k$1.6M$1.6M$1.7M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Sid Fernandez3414.000$375kFREE AGENT
Randy Knorr286.000$300kFREE AGENT
Mike Magnante326.000$290k$600kFREE AGENT
Chuck Carr297.000$230kFREE AGENT
Ramon Garcia286.000$160kFREE AGENT
Tony Peña Sr.4017.000$96kFREE AGENT
Tommy Greene308.000FREE AGENT
Luis Rivera3311.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Shane Reynolds295.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Hampton244.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Ausmus284.000$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Listach295.000$750kFREE AGENT
Ricky Gutierrez274.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
James Mouton283.000$415kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hudek303.000$412kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Russ Springer285.000$400kFREE AGENT
Tim Bogar304.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Lima243.000$170kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blas Minor315.000FREE AGENT
J.R. Phillips274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Billy Wagner252.000$185kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Montgomery271.000$155kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu231.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richard Hidalgo220.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Holt251.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Martin270.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manuel Barrios22
Jose Cabrera280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oscar Henriquez230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Russ Johnson240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Ramos30
Donne Wall292.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Astros 1997; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3