RRosternomics
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Rockies COL

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GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.75× league · TAB -0.3
-0.3TAB — talent above budget15th/30
-4.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-6.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/30
28%dead money %8th/30
0.457win %20th/30
30.3roster fWAR18th/30
+4surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$78Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFDexter Fowler 110GCharlie Blackmon 25GTyler Colvin 16G
LFCarlos González 106GCorey Dickerson 36GCharlie Culberson 27G
RFMichael Cuddyer 118GCharlie Blackmon 34GEric Young Jr. 20G
SSTroy Tulowitzki 121GJonathan Herrera 42GJosh Rutledge 14G
2BDJ LeMahieu 90GJosh Rutledge 58GJonathan Herrera 22G
3BNolan Arenado 130GDJ LeMahieu 14GReid Brignac 8G
1BTodd Helton 110GJordan Pacheco 43GMichael Cuddyer 15G
STARTERSJhoulys Chacín 4.3WARTyler Chatwood 2.3WARJorge De La Rosa 2.1WARJuan Nicasio 2.0WARRoy Oswalt 0.9WAR
CWilin Rosario 106GYorvit Torrealba 50GJordan Pacheco 15G
DHWilin Rosario 4GCorey Dickerson 1GMichael Cuddyer 1G
BULLPEN★ Rex Brothers 19svMatt Belisle 24hJosh Outman 13hWilton Lopez 8hAdam Ottavino 8hEdgmer Escalona 7hManny Corpas 3hRafael Betancourt 0h
CWilin Rosario 106 · Yorvit Torrealba 50 · Jordan Pacheco 15
1BTodd Helton 110 · Jordan Pacheco 43 · Michael Cuddyer 15
2BDJ LeMahieu 90 · Josh Rutledge 58 · Jonathan Herrera 22
3BNolan Arenado 130 · DJ LeMahieu 14 · Reid Brignac 8
SSTroy Tulowitzki 121 · Jonathan Herrera 42 · Josh Rutledge 14
LFCarlos González 106 · Corey Dickerson 36 · Charlie Culberson 27
CFDexter Fowler 110 · Charlie Blackmon 25 · Tyler Colvin 16
RFMichael Cuddyer 118 · Charlie Blackmon 34 · Eric Young Jr. 20
DHWilin Rosario 4 · Corey Dickerson 1 · Michael Cuddyer 1
SPJhoulys Chacín 4.3 · Tyler Chatwood 2.3 · Jorge De La Rosa 2.1 · Juan Nicasio 2.0 · Roy Oswalt 0.9
BP★ Rex Brothers 19 · Matt Belisle 24 · Josh Outman 13 · Wilton Lopez 8 · Adam Ottavino 8 · Edgmer Escalona 7 · Manny Corpas 3 · Rafael Betancourt 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Troy Tulowitzki 28 FA-elig 1264.9 10.0 +3.2
Carlos González 27 arb 1104.5 7.5 +4.7
Jhoulys Chacín 25 arb 324.3 1.6 +9.8
Michael Cuddyer 34 FA-elig 1302.8 10.5 -3.0
Tyler Chatwood 23 pre-arb 262.3 0.4 +5.8
Jorge De La Rosa 32 FA-elig 302.1 11.0 -5.4
Juan Nicasio 26 pre-arb 312.0 0.5 +4.9
Dexter Fowler 27 arb 1191.9 4.2 +0.9
Nolan Arenado 22 – 1331.8 0.4 +4.4
Wilin Rosario 24 pre-arb 1211.3 0.5 +3.1
Matt Belisle 33 FA-elig 721.3 4.1 -0.7
Charlie Blackmon 26 pre-arb 821.2 0.3 +3.1
Adam Ottavino 27 arb 511.1 0.5 +2.5
Rex Brothers 25 pre-arb 721.0 0.5 +2.2
Roy Oswalt 35 FA-elig 90.9 1.3 +1.2
Corey Dickerson 24 – 690.7 0.2 +1.5
Wilton Lopez 29 arb 750.6 1.8 -0.2
Josh Outman 28 arb 610.6 0.7 +0.9
Rafael Betancourt 38 FA-elig 320.5 4.2 -3.0
Jeff Francis 32 FA-elig 230.4 1.5 -0.4
DJ LeMahieu 24 pre-arb 1090.3 0.4 +0.4
Jon Garland 33 FA-elig 120.3 0.5 +0.2
Jonathan Herrera 28 arb 810.2 0.9 -0.5
Collin McHugh↔ NYM 26 pre-arb 40.0 0.0 +0.1
Logan Kensing 30 arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Manny Corpas 30 – 31-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Chris Volstad 26 arb 6-0.1 1.5 -1.6
Charlie Culberson 24 pre-arb 47-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Reid Brignac↔ NYY 27 arb 29-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Chad Bettis 24 – 17-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Josh Rutledge 24 pre-arb 88-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Mitchell Boggs↔ STL 29 arb 9-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Rob Scahill 26 pre-arb 23-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Jeff Manship 28 pre-arb 11-0.3 0.1 -0.8
Drew Pomeranz 24 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.2 -1.1
Edgmer Escalona 26 arb 37-0.3 0.5 -1.4
Chris Nelson↔ ANA 27 arb 21-0.4 0.2 -1.1
Eric Young Jr.↔ NYM 28 arb 57-0.4 0.2 -1.2
Yorvit Torrealba 34 FA-elig 61-0.4 1.0 -2.1
Todd Helton 39 FA-elig 124-0.5 5.0 -6.3
Ryan Wheeler 24 pre-arb 28-0.6 0.1 -1.8
Tyler Colvin 27 arb 27-0.9 2.3 -4.8
Jordan Pacheco 27 pre-arb 95-1.7 0.5 -5.0

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Nolan Arenado1.8
Roy Oswalt0.9
Corey Dickerson0.7
Wilton Lopez0.6
Jon Garland0.3
Collin McHugh0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Carlos Torres0.5
Alex White0.4
Marco Scutaro0.4
Guillermo Moscoso0.2
Mike Ekstrom0.2
Andrew Brown0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$77.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Jorge De La Rosa329.000$11.0M$11.0M$12.5M$12.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Cuddyer349.157$10.5M$10.5MFREE AGENT
Troy Tulowitzki286.033$10.0M$16.0M$13.6MFREE AGENT
Todd Helton3915.059$5.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Betancourt3810.079$4.2MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Matt Belisle337.019$4.1M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francis327.157$1.5MFREE AGENT
Roy Oswalt3511.081$1.3MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba3411.028$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jon Garland3311.071$500kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Carlos González274.059$7.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dexter Fowler273.168$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilton Lopez293.038$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín253.012$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Volstad264.019$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Herrera283.001$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Outman283.046$675kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Corpas305.076$500kFREE AGENT
Mitchell Boggs293.125$492kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Pacheco273.073$491kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rutledge243.090$490kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.284.000$189kARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Kensing304.086$16kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Tyler Colvin272.139$2.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Nicasio261.124$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgmer Escalona261.152$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Ottavino271.087$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilin Rosario241.023$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rex Brothers251.117$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nolan Arenado220.000$415kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Chatwood231.064$391kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ LeMahieu240.163$367kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Brignac272.120$315kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Blackmon261.000$270kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Dickerson240.000$236kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Pomeranz240.140$222kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Scahill261.147$203kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Culberson240.011$171kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Bettis240.000$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nelson272.171$161kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Manship281.022$142kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Wheeler240.159$123kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin McHugh260.042$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.