RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.58× league · TAB +3.3
+3.3TAB — talent above budget10th/30
+1.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-7.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag26th/30
25%dead money %12th/30
0.469win %22nd/30
30.8roster fWAR21st/30
+7surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$44Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFCory Sullivan 114GChoo Freeman 44GRyan Spilborghs 24G
LFMatt Holliday 153GRyan Spilborghs 10GChoo Freeman 5G
RFBrad Hawpe 145GRyan Spilborghs 15GJeff Baker 10G
SSClint Barmes 125GTroy Tulowitzki 25GJamey Carroll 10G
2BJamey Carroll 109GKazuo Matsui 52GLuis Gonzalez 32G
3BGarrett Atkins 157GVinny Castilla 70GJamey Carroll 8G
1BTodd Helton 145GVinny Castilla 7GLuis Gonzalez 7G
STARTERSJason Jennings 4.0WARJeff Francis 3.4WARAaron Cook 3.1WARByung-Hyun Kim 2.4WARJosh Fogg 1.5WAR
CYorvit Torrealba 63GJD Closser 29GChris Iannetta 21G
DHJorge Piedra 5GMatt Holliday 1GRyan Spilborghs 1G
BULLPEN Brian Fuentes 30svJose Mesa 19hRay King 15hTom Martin 11hRamon E Ramirez 10hManny Corpas 7hNate Field 4hDavid Cortes 3h
CYorvit Torrealba 63 · JD Closser 29 · Chris Iannetta 21
1BTodd Helton 145 · Vinny Castilla 7 · Luis Gonzalez 7
2BJamey Carroll 109 · Kazuo Matsui 52 · Luis Gonzalez 32
3BGarrett Atkins 157 · Vinny Castilla 70 · Jamey Carroll 8
SSClint Barmes 125 · Troy Tulowitzki 25 · Jamey Carroll 10
LFMatt Holliday 153 · Ryan Spilborghs 10 · Choo Freeman 5
CFCory Sullivan 114 · Choo Freeman 44 · Ryan Spilborghs 24
RFBrad Hawpe 145 · Ryan Spilborghs 15 · Jeff Baker 10
DHJorge Piedra 5 · Matt Holliday 1 · Ryan Spilborghs 1
SPJason Jennings 4.0 · Jeff Francis 3.4 · Aaron Cook 3.1 · Byung-Hyun Kim 2.4 · Josh Fogg 1.5
BP Brian Fuentes 30 · Jose Mesa 19 · Ray King 15 · Tom Martin 11 · Ramon E Ramirez 10 · Manny Corpas 7 · Nate Field 4 · David Cortes 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Garrett Atkins 26 arb 1575.4 0.3 +10.3
Jason Jennings 27 arb 324.0 4.5 +3.5
Matt Holliday 26 pre-arb 1553.5 0.5 +6.5
Jeff Francis 25 pre-arb 323.4 0.3 +6.5
Aaron Cook 27 arb 323.1 1.2 +4.9
Brad Hawpe 27 1502.7
Jamey Carroll 32 arb 1362.7 0.7 +4.6
Byung-Hyun Kim 27 FA-elig 272.4 1.2 +3.5
Todd Helton 32 FA-elig 1451.9 16.6 -12.7
Josh Fogg 29 arb 331.5 0.5 +2.6
Ramon E Ramirez 24 611.2
Jeff Baker 25 180.9
Brian Fuentes 30 arb 660.9 2.0 -0.1
Yorvit Torrealba 27 arb 650.8 0.8 +0.7
Kazuo Matsui↔ NYM 30 pre-arb 320.7 3.7 -2.4
Tom Martin 36 FA-elig 680.6 0.6 +0.7
Ryan Spilborghs 26 670.5
Manny Corpas 23 350.5
Eli Marrero↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 300.4 0.2 +0.6
Jason Smith 28 arb 490.3 0.3 +0.3
David Cortes 32 FA-elig 300.2 0.3 +0.0
Chris Iannetta 23 210.1 0.3 -0.0
Ubaldo Jiménez 22 20.1
Denny Bautista↔ KCR 25 pre-arb 40.0 0.1 -0.0
Mike Venafro 32 70.0
Nate Field 30 140.0
Miguel Asencio 25 3-0.0
Ryan Shealy↔ KCR 26 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Alvin Colina 24 2-0.0
Mike DeJean 35 FA-elig 2-0.0 1.1 -1.2
Omar Quintanilla 24 11-0.1
Justin Hampson 26 5-0.1
Jeremy Affeldt↔ KCR 27 arb 27-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Jeff Salazar 25 19-0.1
JD Closser 26 32-0.1
Scott Dohmann↔ KCR 28 pre-arb 27-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Sun-Woo Kim↔ CIN 28 arb 6-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Ray King 32 FA-elig 67-0.2 2.5 -3.0
Juan Morillo 22 1-0.2
Vinny Castilla↔ SDP 38 FA-elig 15-0.3 0.6 -1.1
Jose Mesa 40 FA-elig 79-0.3 2.0 -2.6
Zach Day↔ WSN 28 arb 3-0.3 0.2 -0.8
Miguel Ojeda↔ TEX 31 arb 25-0.3 0.3 -0.9
Choo Freeman 26 pre-arb 88-0.4 0.3 -1.2
Jorge Piedra 27 pre-arb 43-0.5 0.3 -1.3
Troy Tulowitzki 21 25-0.5 0.1 -1.1
Danny Ardoin↔ BAL 31 FA-elig 35-0.5 0.3 -1.4
Cory Sullivan 26 pre-arb 126-0.5 0.3 -1.4
Clint Barmes 27 arb 131-0.7 0.3 -1.8
Luis Gonzalez 27 pre-arb 61-1.1 0.3 -2.5

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Jamey Carroll2.7
Josh Fogg1.5
Ramon E Ramirez1.2
Yorvit Torrealba0.8
Kazuo Matsui0.7
Tom Martin0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Dustan Mohr1.0
Jay Witasick0.8
Shawn Chacon0.5
Michael Restovich0.5
Jamey Wright0.4
Joe Kennedy0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$44.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Todd Helton329.000$16.6M$16.6M$16.6M$16.6M$17.8M$20.3M$4.9M
Ray King327.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Mesa4019.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Byung-Hyun Kim277.000$1.2M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Mike DeJean359.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Vinny Castilla3815.000$552kFREE AGENT
Tom Martin369.000$550k$700kFREE AGENT
David Cortes327.000$350kFREE AGENT
Danny Ardoin316.000$293kFREE AGENT
Eli Marrero329.000$191kFREE AGENT
Mike Venafro327.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Jason Jennings275.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Brian Fuentes305.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Cook274.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba275.000$850kFREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll324.000$700kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Affeldt274.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Fogg295.000$450kFREE AGENT
Sun-Woo Kim285.000$450kFREE AGENT
Clint Barmes273.000$335kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Smith285.000$335kFREE AGENT
Garrett Atkins263.000$335kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Ojeda313.000$292kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Day284.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Field304.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Asencio254.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Kazuo Matsui302.000$3.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Holliday262.000$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Gonzalez272.000$345kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Francis252.000$336kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Sullivan261.000$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Piedra272.000$335kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Choo Freeman262.000$329kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta230.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Dohmann282.000$187kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Denny Bautista252.000$112kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Tulowitzki210.000$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Shealy261.000$29kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JD Closser262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Hawpe272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Baker251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Hampson260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon E Ramirez240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Morillo22
Jeff Salazar250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Quintanilla241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Spilborghs261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Corpas230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alvin Colina24

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3