RRosternomics

Red Sox BOS

GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.07× league · TAB +6.3
+6.3TAB — talent above budget5th/28
-4.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/28
-3.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag6th/28
22%dead money %11th/28
0.481win %17th/28
41.5roster fWAR7th/28
-1surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/28
$42Mpayroll $M13th/28

Roster

CFDarren Bragg 118GShane Mack 43GJesus Tavarez 29G
LFWil Cordero 137GTroy O'Leary 24GJeff Frye 5G
RFTroy O'Leary 119GDarren Bragg 41GRudy Pemberton 23G
SSNomar Garciaparra 153GMike Benjamin 16GJeff Frye 3G
2BJeff Frye 80GJohn Valentin 79GMike Benjamin 5G
3BTim Naehring 68GJohn Valentin 64GMike Benjamin 19G
1BMo Vaughn 131GReggie Jefferson 12GMike Benjamin 4G
STARTERSTom Gordon 4.4WARTim Wakefield 1.8WARButch Henry 1.6WARJeff Suppan 1.4WARChris Hammond 0.9WAR
CScott Hatteberg 106GBill Haselman 66GMike Stanley 15G
DHReggie Jefferson 115GMo Vaughn 9GWil Cordero 1G
BULLPEN Kerry Lacy 3svJim Corsi 0hMark Brandenburg 0hRon Mahay 0hJoe Hudson 0hToby Borland 0hRich Garces 0hPat Mahomes 0h
CScott Hatteberg 106 · Bill Haselman 66 · Mike Stanley 15
1BMo Vaughn 131 · Reggie Jefferson 12 · Mike Benjamin 4
2BJeff Frye 80 · John Valentin 79 · Mike Benjamin 5
3BTim Naehring 68 · John Valentin 64 · Mike Benjamin 19
SSNomar Garciaparra 153 · Mike Benjamin 16 · Jeff Frye 3
LFWil Cordero 137 · Troy O'Leary 24 · Jeff Frye 5
CFDarren Bragg 118 · Shane Mack 43 · Jesus Tavarez 29
RFTroy O'Leary 119 · Darren Bragg 41 · Rudy Pemberton 23
DHReggie Jefferson 115 · Mo Vaughn 9 · Wil Cordero 1
SPTom Gordon 4.4 · Tim Wakefield 1.8 · Butch Henry 1.6 · Jeff Suppan 1.4 · Chris Hammond 0.9
BP Kerry Lacy 3 · Jim Corsi 0 · Mark Brandenburg 0 · Ron Mahay 0 · Joe Hudson 0 · Toby Borland 0 · Rich Garces 0 · Pat Mahomes 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1997 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Nomar Garciaparra 23 pre-arb 1536.4 0.1 +6.4
Tom Gordon 29 FA-elig 424.4 2.9 +1.6
John Valentin 30 arb 1434.3 3.8 +0.7
Mo Vaughn 29 FA-elig 1414.0 6.3 -2.3
Darren Bragg 27 arb 1533.1 0.2 +2.9
Tim Naehring 30 FA-elig 702.1 2.7 -0.5
Wil Cordero 25 arb 1402.0 3.0 -1.0
Tim Wakefield 30 arb 351.8 2.5 -0.7
Troy O'Leary 27 arb 1461.7 1.1 +0.6
Jeff Frye 30 arb 1271.7 0.9 +0.8
Butch Henry 28 arb 361.6 0.4 +1.2
Jeff Suppan 22 231.4
Mike Stanley↔ NYY 34 FA-elig 971.3 1.6 -0.3
Jim Corsi 35 FA-elig 521.2 0.5 +0.8
Reggie Jefferson 28 FA-elig 1361.1 1.9 -0.7
Scott Hatteberg 27 pre-arb 1141.1 0.1 +1.0
Chris Hammond 31 FA-elig 290.9 0.7 +0.3
Aaron Sele 27 arb 330.8 1.1 -0.3
Shane Mack 33 FA-elig 600.7 1.9 -1.2
Robinson Checo 25 pre-arb 50.6 0.9 -0.3
John Wasdin 24 pre-arb 530.5 0.2 +0.3
Mark Brandenburg 26 pre-arb 310.4 0.2 +0.2
Derek Lowe↔ SEA 24 80.4
Vaughn Eshelman 28 pre-arb 210.4 0.2 +0.2
Joe Hudson 26 pre-arb 260.2 0.1 +0.0
Ron Mahay 26 pre-arb 280.1 0.1 -0.0
Curtis Pride↔ DET 28 arb 20.1 0.0 +0.1
Mike Benjamin 31 490.1
Brian Rose 21 10.1
Jason Varitek 25 10.0
Ken Grundt 27 20.0
Jose Malave 26 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Michael Coleman 21 8-0.0
Steve Avery 27 FA-elig 24-0.1 4.8 -4.9
Arquimedez Pozo 23 4-0.1
Walt McKeel 25 5-0.1
Bret Saberhagen 33 FA-elig 6-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Rich Garces 26 FA-elig 12-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Bill Haselman 31 FA-elig 67-0.2 0.7 -0.8
Toby Borland↔ NYM 28 arb 3-0.2 0.0 -0.3
Rudy Pemberton 27 pre-arb 27-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Heathcliff Slocumb↔ SEA 31 FA-elig 49-0.2 1.5 -1.7
Ricky Trlicek↔ NYM 28 arb 18-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Pat Mahomes 26 arb 10-0.3 0.4 -0.7
Jesus Tavarez 26 arb 42-0.6 0.2 -0.8
Kerry Lacy 24 33-0.6

Key additions (new vs 1996)

PlayerfWAR
Butch Henry1.6
Jim Corsi1.2
Chris Hammond0.9
Shane Mack0.7
Robinson Checo0.6
John Wasdin0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1996)

Player1996 fWAR
Roger Clemens6.8
Jose Canseco3.0
Jamie Moyer0.6
Tony Rodriguez0.4
Mike Greenwell0.3
Mike Stanton0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1997 payroll
$42.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 1997, 1997–2003. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Mo Vaughn296.000$6.3M$6.7MFREE AGENT
Steve Avery277.000$4.8M$3.9MFREE AGENT
Tom Gordon299.000$2.9M$3.3M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Tim Naehring307.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Reggie Jefferson286.000$1.9M$3.2M$3.4MFREE AGENT
Shane Mack3310.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Mike Stanley3411.000$1.6M$1.2M$3.5M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Heathcliff Slocumb316.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Hammond317.000$700kFREE AGENT
Bill Haselman317.000$650kFREE AGENT
Bret Saberhagen3313.000$500k$3.8M$3.5MFREE AGENT$5.0M
Jim Corsi359.000$470k$600k$479kFREE AGENT
Rich Garces267.000$172k$190k$300k$610k$1.4M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Benjamin318.000$242kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
John Valentin305.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Wil Cordero255.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Wakefield305.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Sele274.000$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy O'Leary274.000$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Frye305.000$900kFREE AGENT
Butch Henry285.000$400kFREE AGENT
Pat Mahomes265.000$360kFREE AGENT
Darren Bragg273.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tavarez263.000$175kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Trlicek285.000$123kFREE AGENT
Toby Borland283.000$49kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Pride284.000$5kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Robinson Checo250.000$925kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Brandenburg262.000$188kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Wasdin242.000$185kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vaughn Eshelman282.000$182kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rudy Pemberton272.000$152kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Mahay262.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Hudson262.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hatteberg272.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nomar Garciaparra231.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Malave261.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Coleman210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Grundt27
Kerry Lacy241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Lowe240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Walt McKeel25
Arquimedez Pozo23
Brian Rose210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Suppan222.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Varitek250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 1997; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3