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Orioles BAL

202152–110 (0.321)
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GM: Mike Elias

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2021, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$27M
Surplus $M
+21
Win %
0.321
TAB
-1.5
WAB
-10.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
14.0
Dead money %
54%
Depth Players
2.0
Dead WAR
-10.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2021 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RPedro Severino109
RAustin Wynns44
LChance Sisco⇄22
LNick Ciuffo2

1B

RRyan Mountcastle84
RTrey Mancini77
RPat Valaika6
RMaikel Franco2
RTyler Nevin2
RAustin Wynns1

2B

RPat Valaika72
RRamón Urías32
BStevie Wilkerson26
RJahmai Jones23
LRio Ruiz⇄20
BDomingo Leyba⇄14
RJorge Mateo⇄10
RKelvin Gutiérrez⇄1
RRyan McKenna1

3B

RMaikel Franco99
RKelvin Gutiérrez⇄46
RRamón Urías10
BDomingo Leyba⇄7
RJorge Mateo⇄5
RPat Valaika2
RRyan McKenna1

SS

BFreddy Galvis⇄72
RRamón Urías48
RRichie Martin Jr.37
RPat Valaika17
RJorge Mateo⇄10

LF

RAustin Hays88
RRyan McKenna50
LDJ Stewart39
RRyan Mountcastle21
BAnthony Santander4
RTyler Nevin4
RJorge Mateo⇄3
RPat Valaika3
BStevie Wilkerson3

CF

LCedric Mullins153
RRyan McKenna18
RAustin Hays6

RF

BAnthony Santander81
RAustin Hays54
LDJ Stewart33
RRyan McKenna18
RJorge Mateo⇄4
BStevie Wilkerson1

DH

RTrey Mancini68
RRyan Mountcastle41
BAnthony Santander21
LDJ Stewart13
RPedro Severino4
LCedric Mullins3
RMaikel Franco3
RRyan McKenna2
LChance Sisco⇄1
LRio Ruiz⇄1

Starters

LJohn Means2.5 WAR
RMatt Harvey1.8 WAR
RJorge Lopez0.8 WAR
LKeegan Akin0.6 WAR
LBruce Zimmermann0.4 WAR
RConner Greene⇄0.4 WAR
RChris Ellis⇄0.3 WAR
LZac Lowther0.1 WAR
LWade LeBlanc⇄0.1 WAR
RTravis Lakins Sr.-0.1 WAR
RSpenser Watkins-0.1 WAR
LAlex Wells-0.1 WAR
RThomas Eshelman-0.1 WAR
RDean Kremer-0.3 WAR
RAdam Plutko-1.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RCesar Valdez8 sv
LTanner Scott16 h
LPaul Fry11 h
RDillon Tate8 h
RCole Sulser6 h
RAdam Plutko5 h
RTravis Lakins Sr.3 h
RTyler Wells1 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Harvey1.8
Freddy Galvis1.0
Trey Mancini0.9
Tyler Wells0.9
Kelvin Gutiérrez0.7
Conner Greene0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Jose Iglesias1.6
Tommy Milone0.7
Mychal Givens0.4
Hanser Alberto0.4
Miguel Castro0.3
Renato Núñez0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2021; everyone else is shown as a 2021 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Cedric Mullins 2021 +6.0 +98.6 0.6 +98.0 $0.1M 2.05× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV
John Means 2021 +2.5 +39.4 0.6 +38.8 $0.2M 1.96× –
Matt Harvey 2021 +1.8 +21.3 1.0 +20.3 $0.6M 1.49× –
Austin Hays 2021 +1.9 +18.1 0.6 +17.5 $0.3M 1.22× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.0M AAV
Cole Sulser 2021 +1.5 +15.7 0.5 +15.2 $0.4M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV
Tyler Wells 2021 +0.9 +10.1 0.6 +9.5 $0.6M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.5M AAV
Jorge López 2021 +0.8 +6.3 0.6 +5.7 $0.8M 1.02× –
Ramón Urías 2021 +1.1 +5.2 0.5 +4.7 $0.4M 0.61× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $2.0M AAV
Keegan Akin 2021 +0.6 +4.8 0.4 +4.3 $0.8M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Dillon Tate 2021 +0.4 +4.4 0.6 +3.8 $1.4M 1.34× –
Freddy Galvis↔ 2021 +1.0 +4.8 1.0 +3.8 $1.1M 0.61× –
Kelvin Gutiérrez↔ 2021 +0.7 +3.4 0.1 +3.4 $0.1M 0.58× –
Ryan Mountcastle 2021 +0.8 +3.6 0.6 +3.0 $0.7M 0.56× Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.8M AAV
Paul Fry 2021 +0.6 +3.3 0.5 +2.9 $0.8M 0.67× –
Bruce Zimmermann 2021 +0.4 +2.9 0.5 +2.3 $1.5M 1.02× –
Chris Ellis↔ 2021 +0.3 +2.2 0.1 +2.1 $0.4M 1.02× –
Conner Greene↔ 2021 +0.4 +1.9 0.1 +1.8 $0.3M 0.67× –
César Valdez 2021 +0.2 +2.3 0.4 +1.8 $2.1M 1.34× –
Tanner Scott 2021 +0.4 +1.9 0.6 +1.4 $1.6M 0.67× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $18.0M AAV
Jorge Mateo↔ 2021 +0.2 +1.1 0.1 +1.0 $0.6M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Fernando Abad 2021 +0.1 +0.8 0.2 +0.6 $1.0M 0.67× –
Zac Lowther 2021 +0.1 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $1.4M 1.02× –
Dusten Knight 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.4 $0.7M 0.67× –
Tyler Nevin 2021 +0.0 +0.3 0.0 +0.3 $0.7M 0.83× –
Wade LeBlanc↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.2 +0.2 $3.0M 0.67× –
Brandon Waddell↔ 2021 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 – 0.67× –
DJ Stewart 2021 +0.1 +0.5 0.6 -0.1 $7.9M 0.83× –
Hunter Harvey 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.6 -0.1 $7.2M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.0M AAV
Isaac Mattson 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 – 0.67× –
Nick Ciuffo 2021 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 – 0.52× –
Joey Krehbiel↔ 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Konner Wade 2021 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Eric Hanhold 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Trey Mancini 2021 +0.9 +4.2 4.8 -0.5 $5.0M 0.56× –
Brooks Kriske↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.6 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Manny Barreda 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Shaun Anderson↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Rio Ruiz↔ 2021 -0.2 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.56× –
Travis Lakins 2021 -0.1 -0.3 0.5 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Mickey Jannis 2021 -0.2 -0.9 0.0 -0.9 – 0.67× –
Alex Wells 2021 -0.1 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 – 1.02× –
Mike Baumann 2021 -0.2 -1.0 0.1 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Spenser Watkins 2021 -0.1 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 – 1.02× –
Marcos Diplán 2021 -0.2 -0.9 0.2 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Shawn Armstrong↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 -1.1 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $5.5M AAV
Thomas Eshelman 2021 -0.1 -1.0 0.2 -1.1 – 1.02× –
Domingo Leyba↔ 2021 -0.5 -2.1 0.1 -2.2 – 0.56× –
Mac Sceroler 2021 -0.4 -2.0 0.3 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Dean Kremer 2021 -0.3 -2.7 0.2 -2.9 – 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.8M AAV
Anthony Santander 2021 -0.2 -1.1 2.1 -3.2 – 0.83× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $18.5M AAV
Austin Wynns 2021 -0.7 -3.0 0.4 -3.4 – 0.52× –
Chance Sisco↔ 2021 -0.6 -3.3 0.2 -3.4 – 0.69× –
Maikel Franco 2021 -0.6 -2.9 0.8 -3.7 – 0.58× –
Jahmai Jones 2021 -0.8 -3.7 0.1 -3.8 – 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Richie Martin Jr. 2021 -0.7 -3.7 0.3 -4.0 – 0.61× –
Pat Valaika 2021 -0.8 -3.7 0.9 -4.6 – 0.56× –
Pedro Severino 2021 -0.7 -2.7 1.8 -4.6 – 0.52× –
Adam Plutko 2021 -1.2 -6.4 0.4 -6.8 – 0.67× –
Jay Flaa↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 -0.0 $7.5M 0.67× –
Ryan McKenna 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.4 +0.0 $6.5M 0.83× –
Zack Burdi↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 +0.0 $1.4M 0.67× –
Stevie Wilkerson 2021 -0.8 -3.4 – – – 0.56× –
Total—+14.1+208.927.0+185.9—

Trades

Every graded 2021 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 3 total.

2021 · PIT / BAL
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.8M
Taylor Davis
BAL · Mike Elias −$0.8M
Jose Berroa
PIT came out ahead by $0.8M
2021 · ANA / BAL
ANA · Perry Minasian +$24.8M
Alex Cobb
BAL · Mike Elias −$24.8M
Jahmai Jones
ANA came out ahead by $24.8M
2021 · BAL / PHI
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.8M
Tyler Burch
PHI · Dave Dombrowski −$0.8M
Freddy Galvis
BAL came out ahead by $0.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$26.8M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Freddy Galvis318.021$1.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Harvey327.127$1.0MFREE AGENT
Maikel Franco287.000$800kFREE AGENT
Wade LeBlanc367.131$233kFREE AGENT
Fernando Abad356.119$150kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Trey Mancini294.015$4.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Severino273.099$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Valaika283.079$875kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Armstrong303.028$532kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan McKenna243.123$386kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (52)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Anthony Santander262.162$2.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Means282.007$594kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge López282.102$587kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott262.059$580kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Hays251.057$578kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Stewart271.065$577kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cedric Mullins261.075$577kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Mountcastle240.105$574kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Tate271.048$574kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey261.047$574kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wells260.000$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Sulser311.028$537kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Zimmermann260.031$532kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Lakins271.054$475kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Fry282.096$475kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Urías270.047$455kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keegan Akin260.108$448kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Valdez361.060$443kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Plutko292.063$430kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wynns301.016$383kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richie Martin Jr.262.000$331kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mac Sceroler26–$255k
Spenser Watkins280.000$239kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dean Kremer250.053$182kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcos Diplán240.000$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Eshelman271.028$175kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Wells240.000$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Sisco262.103$156kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Mateo261.000$138kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Ellis280.001$118kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zac Lowther250.000$117kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conner Greene262.064$115kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jahmai Jones230.014$110kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelvin Gutiérrez261.046$93kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Krehbiel280.003$83kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rio Ruiz272.109$81kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Konner Wade29–$74k
Domingo Leyba251.042$70kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Hanhold270.044$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dusten Knight300.000$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Baumann250.000$52kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isaac Mattson250.000$52kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Kriske270.044$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shaun Anderson261.091$44kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Nevin240.000$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Ciuffo260.034$28kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Barreda32–$15k
Brandon Waddell270.067$14kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Flaa29–$12k
Mickey Jannis33–$9k
Zack Burdi260.083$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stevie Wilkerson29–—

Graphs

How each 2021 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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