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Orioles BAL

202025–35 (0.417)
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GM: Mike Elias

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2020, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$49M
Surplus $M
+24
Win %
0.417
TAB
+3.4
WAB
-3.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
10.0
Dead money %
64%
Depth Players
0.0
Dead WAR
-3.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2020 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RPedro Severino35
LChance Sisco26
RBryan Holaday10

1B

RRenato Núñez28
LChris Davis15
RPat Valaika13
RRyan Mountcastle10
RBryan Holaday6
RDilson Herrera2

2B

RHanser Alberto52
RPat Valaika13
RRamón Urías4
BAndrew Velazquez2
LRio Ruiz1

3B

LRio Ruiz53
RHanser Alberto5
RPat Valaika4
RRenato Núñez4

SS

BAndrew Velazquez30
RJose Iglesias24
RPat Valaika24
RRamón Urías5

LF

RRyan Mountcastle25
LDwight Smith Jr.16
LDJ Stewart10
RAustin Hays10
BAndrew Velazquez7
LMason Williams5
LCedric Mullins4
RPat Valaika3
BAnthony Santander2
LRio Ruiz1

CF

LCedric Mullins41
RAustin Hays23
LMason Williams4
BAndrew Velazquez3
RDilson Herrera1

RF

BAnthony Santander35
LDJ Stewart21
LCedric Mullins4
RAustin Hays3
LMason Williams2
RPat Valaika1

DH

RRenato Núñez21
RJose Iglesias14
RPedro Severino10
LChance Sisco9
LDwight Smith Jr.5
RBryan Holaday3
RRyan Mountcastle2
BAnthony Santander1
RHanser Alberto1
LCedric Mullins1

Starters

LKeegan Akin0.8 WAR
LTommy Milone⇄0.7 WAR
RDean Kremer0.7 WAR
RAlex Cobb0.6 WAR
RJorge Lopez⇄0.3 WAR
LJohn Means0.3 WAR
RThomas Eshelman-0.0 WAR
LWade LeBlanc-0.1 WAR
RAsher Wojciechowski-0.1 WAR
LBruce Zimmermann-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ RCole Sulser5 sv
LTanner Scott5 h
LPaul Fry5 h
RShawn Armstrong3 h
REvan Phillips2 h
RTravis Lakins Sr.1 h
RMiguel Castro⇄0 h
RMychal Givens⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Jose Iglesias1.6
Keegan Akin0.8
Ryan Mountcastle0.8
Tommy Milone0.7
Dean Kremer0.7
César Valdez0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Jonathan Villar3.4
Dylan Bundy2.6
Andrew Cashner1.9
Aaron Brooks0.6
Keon Broxton0.3
Nate Karns0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2020; everyone else is shown as a 2020 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jose Iglesias 2020 +1.6 +11.6 2.5 +9.1 $1.5M 0.89× –
Anthony Santander 2020 +1.3 +8.5 0.2 +8.3 $0.2M 0.83× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $18.5M AAV
Keegan Akin 2020 +0.8 +6.6 0.1 +6.5 $0.1M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Tommy Milone↔ 2020 +0.7 +5.6 0.1 +5.5 $0.2M 1.02× –
Dean Kremer 2020 +0.7 +5.4 0.1 +5.3 $0.1M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.8M AAV
Cedric Mullins 2020 +0.8 +5.2 0.2 +5.0 $0.2M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV
Ryan Mountcastle 2020 +0.8 +5.0 0.1 +4.9 $0.2M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.8M AAV
César Valdez 2020 +0.5 +2.8 0.1 +2.7 $0.2M 0.67× –
DJ Stewart 2020 +0.4 +2.8 0.1 +2.7 $0.3M 0.83× –
Austin Hays 2020 +0.4 +2.6 0.2 +2.4 $0.5M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.0M AAV
Jorge López↔ 2020 +0.3 +2.5 0.1 +2.4 $0.5M 1.02× –
John Means 2020 +0.3 +2.5 0.2 +2.3 $0.7M 1.02× –
Tanner Scott 2020 +0.4 +2.2 0.2 +2.0 $0.5M 0.67× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $18.0M AAV
Travis Lakins 2020 +0.4 +2.2 0.2 +2.0 $0.5M 0.67× –
Paul Fry 2020 +0.3 +1.8 0.2 +1.6 $0.6M 0.67× –
Rio Ruiz 2020 +0.3 +1.6 0.2 +1.4 $0.6M 0.58× –
Dillon Tate 2020 +0.3 +1.5 0.2 +1.3 $0.8M 0.67× –
Shawn Armstrong 2020 +0.3 +1.5 0.2 +1.3 $0.8M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $5.5M AAV
Cole Sulser 2020 +0.1 +1.2 0.2 +1.0 $1.8M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV
Evan Phillips 2020 +0.2 +0.9 0.1 +0.8 $0.7M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.5M AAV
Branden Kline 2020 +0.1 +0.7 0.0 +0.7 $0.2M 0.67× –
Miguel Castro↔ 2020 +0.3 +1.4 0.6 +0.7 $2.5M 0.67× –
Renato Núñez 2020 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.7 $1.0M 0.56× –
Carson Fulmer↔ 2020 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.4 $0.3M 0.67× –
Richard Bleier↔ 2020 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $0.9M 0.67× –
Mychal Givens↔ 2020 +0.4 +2.0 1.8 +0.3 $4.6M 0.67× –
Pat Valaika 2020 +0.1 +0.5 0.2 +0.3 $1.9M 0.61× –
Hanser Alberto 2020 +0.4 +1.6 1.6 -0.1 $4.6M 0.56× –
David Hess 2020 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 – 0.67× –
Pedro Severino 2020 +0.0 +0.1 0.2 -0.2 $15.4M 0.52× –
Cody Carroll 2020 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Thomas Eshelman 2020 -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Dilson Herrera 2020 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 0.56× –
Ramón Urías 2020 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.5 – 0.61× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $2.0M AAV
Wade LeBlanc 2020 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 1.02× –
Hunter Harvey 2020 -0.1 -0.5 0.2 -0.7 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.0M AAV
Asher Wojciechowski 2020 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.8 – 1.02× –
Bruce Zimmermann 2020 -0.1 -0.8 0.0 -0.8 – 1.02× –
Andrew Velazquez 2020 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 -1.1 – 0.61× –
Bryan Holaday 2020 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 -1.2 – 0.52× –
Chance Sisco 2020 -0.4 -1.6 0.2 -1.8 – 0.52× –
Mason Williams 2020 -0.4 -2.7 0.1 -2.8 – 0.83× –
Dwight Smith Jr. 2020 -0.5 -3.2 0.1 -3.3 – 0.83× –
Alex Cobb 2020 +0.6 +5.0 14.0 -9.0 $22.6M 1.02× –
Chris Davis 2020 -0.8 -3.5 23.0 -26.5 – 0.56× –
Total—+10.1+70.348.9+21.4—

Trades

Every graded 2020 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2020 · NYM / BAL
NYM · Brodie Van Wagenen +$0.0M
Miguel Castro
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Victor González, Kevin Smith
Even trade
2020 · BAL / ATL
BAL · Mike Elias +$1.6M
Greg Cullen, AJ Graffanino
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos −$1.6M
Tommy Milone
BAL came out ahead by $1.6M
2020 · HOU / BAL
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$0.0M
Héctor Velázquez
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Miguel Padilla
Even trade
2020 · COL / BAL
COL · Jeff Bridich +$1.6M
Mychal Givens
BAL · Mike Elias −$1.6M
Mishael Deson, Terrin Vavra, Tyler Nevin
COL came out ahead by $1.6M
2020 · MIA / BAL
MIA · Michael Hill +$6.4M
Richard Bleier
BAL · Mike Elias −$6.4M
Isaac De León
MIA came out ahead by $6.4M
2020 · ANA / BAL
ANA · Billy Eppler +$2.4M
Jose Iglesias
BAL · Mike Elias −$2.4M
Jean Pinto, Garrett Stallings
ANA came out ahead by $2.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$49.2M
2021 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Chris Davis3410.061$23.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Cobb328.061$14.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Iglesias307.036$2.5MFREE AGENT
Tommy Milone336.113$140kFREE AGENT
Wade LeBlanc356.131$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Mychal Givens304.069$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hanser Alberto273.085$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Castro253.079$646kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Holaday325.013$184kFREE AGENT
Dwight Smith Jr.273.000$95kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richard Bleier333.074$87kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (34)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
John Means271.007$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renato Núñez261.167$214kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Severino262.099$213kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Armstrong292.028$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rio Ruiz261.109$212kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Santander251.161$212kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Sisco251.103$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Fry271.096$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott251.058$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Hays240.057$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Lakins260.054$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey250.047$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Tate260.048$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Sulser300.028$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Valaika272.079$209kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cedric Mullins250.078$190kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Eshelman260.034$184kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Velazquez250.070$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Asher Wojciechowski311.156$178kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge López271.102$143kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Stewart260.123$129kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keegan Akin250.000$118kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Mountcastle230.000$118kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Phillips250.133$110kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Valdez350.143$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hess261.068$87kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dean Kremer240.000$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Williams282.147$53kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Urías260.000$51kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Zimmermann250.000$34kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Branden Kline280.094$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Carroll270.062$28kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dilson Herrera261.034$25kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Fulmer261.040$25kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2020 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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