RRosternomics

Braves ATL

GM: John Schuerholz

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 8 in this regime · payroll 1.4× league · TAB +13.1
+13.1TAB — talent above budget3rd/30
+16.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)2nd/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-3.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/30
26%dead money %12th/30
0.636win %1st/30
51.5roster fWAR2nd/30
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)14th/30
$68Mpayroll $M7th/30

1999: won pennant · 103–59. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFAndruw Jones 162GOtis Nixon 5GGerald Williams 1G
LFGerald Williams 120GRyan Klesko 53GOtis Nixon 50G
RFBrian Jordan 150GGerald Williams 32GGeorge Lombard 2G
SSJosé Hernández 137GWalt Weiss 102GOzzie Guillen 53G
2BBret Boone 151GKeith Lockhart 25GOzzie Guillen 1G
3BChipper Jones 156GKeith Lockhart 10GOzzie Guillen 6G
1BBrian R. Hunter 101GRyan Klesko 75GRandall Simon 70G
STARTERSJohn Smoltz 6.2WARGreg Maddux 5.9WARKevin Millwood 5.5WARTom Glavine 4.2WARTerry Mulholland 1.4WAR
CEddie Pérez 98GJorge Fabregas 82GGreg Myers 72G
DHKeith Lockhart 4GJavy Lopez 4GRyan Klesko 1G
BULLPEN John Rocker 38svMike Remlinger 21hRudy Seanez 19hRuss Springer 8hKevin McGlinchy 6hJustin Speier 0hDerrin Ebert 0hDavid Cortes 0h
CEddie Pérez 98 · Jorge Fabregas 82 · Greg Myers 72
1BBrian R. Hunter 101 · Ryan Klesko 75 · Randall Simon 70
2BBret Boone 151 · Keith Lockhart 25 · Ozzie Guillen 1
3BChipper Jones 156 · Keith Lockhart 10 · Ozzie Guillen 6
SSJosé Hernández 137 · Walt Weiss 102 · Ozzie Guillen 53
LFGerald Williams 120 · Ryan Klesko 53 · Otis Nixon 50
CFAndruw Jones 162 · Otis Nixon 5 · Gerald Williams 1
RFBrian Jordan 150 · Gerald Williams 32 · George Lombard 2
DHKeith Lockhart 4 · Javy Lopez 4 · Ryan Klesko 1
SPJohn Smoltz 6.2 · Greg Maddux 5.9 · Kevin Millwood 5.5 · Tom Glavine 4.2 · Terry Mulholland 1.4
BP John Rocker 38 · Mike Remlinger 21 · Rudy Seanez 19 · Russ Springer 8 · Kevin McGlinchy 6 · Justin Speier 0 · Derrin Ebert 0 · David Cortes 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1999 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chipper Jones Jr. 27 FA-elig 1577.3 4.2 +5.0
Andruw Jones 22 arb 1626.9 0.3 +8.4
John Smoltz 32 FA-elig 296.2 7.8 +0.1
Greg Maddux 33 FA-elig 335.9 10.6 -3.2
Kevin Millwood 24 pre-arb 335.5 0.2 +6.7
Tom Glavine 33 FA-elig 364.2 7.0 -1.8
Brian Jordan 32 FA-elig 1533.3 4.6 -0.5
John Rocker 24 pre-arb 742.3 0.2 +2.7
Gerald Williams 32 FA-elig 1431.9 1.5 +0.9
Javy Lopez 28 FA-elig 651.9 5.2 -2.9
Terry Mulholland↔ CHC 36 FA-elig 161.4 1.1 +0.7
Ryan Klesko 28 FA-elig 1331.2 4.8 -3.2
Brian R. Hunter 31 FA-elig 1141.1 0.4 +1.0
Rudy Seanez 30 FA-elig 561.0 0.8 +0.5
Kevin McGlinchy 22 pre-arb 640.9 0.2 +1.0
Mike Remlinger 33 FA-elig 730.9 1.1 +0.0
Odalis Perez 21 pre-arb 180.8 0.2 +0.7
Russ Springer 30 490.4
Eddie Pérez 31 arb 1040.4 0.6 -0.1
Greg Myers↔ SDP 33 FA-elig 340.4 0.3 +0.1
Randall Simon 24 pre-arb 900.3 0.2 +0.2
Howard Battle 27 150.3
José Hernández↔ CHC 29 FA-elig 480.2 0.8 -0.5
Sean Bergman↔ HOU 29 FA-elig 60.2 0.5 -0.2
Freddy Garcia↔ PIT 26 arb 20.1 0.0 +0.2
Keith Lockhart 34 arb 1080.1 1.0 -0.9
John Hudek↔ CIN 32 arb 150.1 0.6 -0.5
George Lombard 23 60.1
David Cortes 25 4-0.0
Joe Winkelsas 25 1-0.0
Everett Stull 27 1-0.0
Micah Bowie↔ CHC 24 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Mark Wohlers 29 FA-elig 2-0.1 5.2 -5.3
Pascual Matos 24 6-0.1
Derrin Ebert 22 5-0.2
Jorge Fabregas↔ MIA 29 arb 6-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Mark DeRosa 24 7-0.2
Bret Boone 30 FA-elig 152-0.2 2.9 -3.2
Mike Cather 28 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Bruce Chen 22 pre-arb 16-0.3 0.2 -0.5
Justin Speier 25 pre-arb 19-0.3 0.2 -0.6
Ozzie Guillen 35 FA-elig 92-0.5 0.6 -1.1
Otis Nixon 40 FA-elig 84-0.6 1.5 -2.3
Walt Weiss 35 FA-elig 110-0.6 3.0 -3.8

Key additions (new vs 1998)

PlayerfWAR
Brian Jordan3.3
Terry Mulholland1.4
Brian R. Hunter1.1
Kevin McGlinchy0.9
Mike Remlinger0.9
Greg Myers0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1998)

Player1998 fWAR
Andres Galarraga5.0
Denny Neagle3.2
Kerry Ligtenberg1.5
Dennis Martinez1.1
Michael Tucker0.6
Danny Bautista0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

1999 payroll
$68.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1999, 1999–2005. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Greg Maddux3313.000$10.6M$11.1M$12.5M$13.1M$14.8MFREE AGENT
John Smoltz3211.000$7.8MFREE AGENT$8.0M$7.7M$10.7M$11.7M$9.0M
Tom Glavine3312.000$7.0M$9.5M$9.5M$8.6MFREE AGENT
Javy Lopez287.000$5.2M$6.2M$7.8M$6.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Wohlers298.000$5.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Klesko287.000$4.8MFREE AGENT
Brian Jordan327.000$4.6M$7.6M$9.1MFREE AGENT$600k
Chipper Jones Jr.276.000$4.2M$4.8M$10.3M$11.3M$13.3M$15.3M$16.1M
Walt Weiss3512.000$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Bret Boone307.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Otis Nixon4016.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Gerald Williams327.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland3613.000$1.1M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Remlinger338.000$1.1M$1.4M$1.6M$2.0MFREE AGENT
José Hernández298.000$784kFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez3010.000$775k$1.6MFREE AGENT
Ozzie Guillen3514.000$550kFREE AGENT
Sean Bergman296.000$450kFREE AGENT
Brian R. Hunter318.000$375kFREE AGENT
Greg Myers3312.000$344kFREE AGENT
Russ Springer307.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Keith Lockhart345.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Eddie Pérez314.000$630kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hudek325.000$600kFREE AGENT
Andruw Jones223.000$330kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Fabregas295.000$126kFREE AGENT
Freddy Garcia264.000$9kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Kevin Millwood242.000$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Cather282.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Rocker241.000$218kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randall Simon242.000$202kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Speier251.000$201kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Chen221.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odalis Perez211.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin McGlinchy220.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Micah Bowie240.000$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Howard Battle27
Everett Stull27
George Lombard23
Mark DeRosa241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derrin Ebert22
Pascual Matos24
Joe Winkelsas25
David Cortes250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 1999; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3