RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Perry Minasian

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 7 in this regime · payroll 1.05× league · TAB -7.5
-7.5TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-9.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars19th/30
-10.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
25%dead money %10th/30
0.451win %21st/30
27.4roster fWAR19th/30
-50surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$150Mpayroll $M13th/30

Roster

CFMike Trout 111GMagneuris Sierra 28GMickey Moniak 21G
LFBrandon Marsh 77GJo Adell 69GMagneuris Sierra 17G
RFTaylor Ward 125GJo Adell 15GJuan Lagares 9G
SSAndrew Velazquez 124GDavid Fletcher 36GTyler Wade 19G
2BLuis Rengifo 99GDavid Fletcher 44GTyler Wade 31G
3BAnthony Rendon 47GMatt Duffy 42GLuis Rengifo 39G
1BJared Walsh 118GMike Ford 29GMatt Duffy 21G
STARTERSShohei Ohtani 9.2WARPatrick Sandoval 3.7WARReid Detmers 2.2WARJosé Suarez 1.6WARMichael Lorenzen 1.0WAR
CMax Stassi 97GKurt Suzuki 44GMatt Thaiss 14G
DHShohei Ohtani 152GMike Trout 7GKurt Suzuki 2G
BULLPEN Jimmy Herget 9svAaron Loup 19hRyan Tepera 17hJosé Quijada 12hAndrew Wantz 7hJaime Barria 5hOliver Ortega 5hMike Mayers 1h
CMax Stassi 97 · Kurt Suzuki 44 · Matt Thaiss 14
1BJared Walsh 118 · Mike Ford 29 · Matt Duffy 21
2BLuis Rengifo 99 · David Fletcher 44 · Tyler Wade 31
3BAnthony Rendon 47 · Matt Duffy 42 · Luis Rengifo 39
SSAndrew Velazquez 124 · David Fletcher 36 · Tyler Wade 19
LFBrandon Marsh 77 · Jo Adell 69 · Magneuris Sierra 17
CFMike Trout 111 · Magneuris Sierra 28 · Mickey Moniak 21
RFTaylor Ward 125 · Jo Adell 15 · Juan Lagares 9
DHShohei Ohtani 152 · Mike Trout 7 · Kurt Suzuki 2
SPShohei Ohtani 9.2 · Patrick Sandoval 3.7 · Reid Detmers 2.2 · José Suarez 1.6 · Michael Lorenzen 1.0
BP Jimmy Herget 9 · Aaron Loup 19 · Ryan Tepera 17 · José Quijada 12 · Andrew Wantz 7 · Jaime Barria 5 · Oliver Ortega 5 · Mike Mayers 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Shohei Ohtani 27 arb 1579.2 5.5 +28.2
Mike Trout 30 FA-elig 1196.0 37.1 -15.0
Taylor Ward 28 pre-arb 1353.7 0.7 +12.9
Patrick Sandoval 25 pre-arb 273.7 0.7 +12.8
Reid Detmers 22 pre-arb 252.2 0.6 +7.5
Luis Rengifo 25 pre-arb 1271.7 0.6 +5.5
José Suarez 24 pre-arb 221.6 0.5 +5.3
Jimmy Herget 28 pre-arb 491.6 0.7 +5.0
Noah Syndergaard↔ PHI 29 FA-elig 151.2 12.6 -8.4
Michael Lorenzen 30 FA-elig 181.0 7.0 -3.4
Anthony Rendon 32 FA-elig 470.9 36.6 -33.2
David Fletcher 28 arb 610.8 4.0 -1.2
Livan Soto 22 180.7 0.1 +2.4
Brandon Marsh↔ PHI 24 930.7 0.3 +2.2
Raisel Iglesias↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 390.6 5.8 -3.5
José Quijada 26 pre-arb 420.4 0.7 +0.9
Aaron Loup 34 FA-elig 650.3 7.5 -6.3
Archie Bradley 29 FA-elig 210.2 3.8 -2.9
Monte Harrison 26 pre-arb 90.2 0.1 +0.7
Kyle Barraclough 32 arb 80.2 0.1 +0.6
Janson Junk 26 pre-arb 30.2 0.1 +0.6
Andrew Velazquez 27 pre-arb 1250.1 0.7 -0.2
Jhonathan Díaz 25 pre-arb 40.1 0.1 +0.2
Ryan Tepera 34 FA-elig 590.1 7.0 -6.7
Jaime Barria 25 pre-arb 350.0 0.7 -0.6
Zack Weiss 30 pre-arb 120.0 0.1 +0.0
Touki Toussaint 26 pre-arb 80.0 0.2 -0.0
Rob Zastryzny↔ NYM 30 pre-arb 50.0 0.0 +0.1
César Valdez 37 FA-elig 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Kenny Rosenberg 26 30.0 0.1 -0.1
Dillon Thomas 29 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Nash Walters 25 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Matt Duffy 31 FA-elig 77-0.0 1.5 -1.6
Logan O'Hoppe 22 5-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Andrew Wantz 26 pre-arb 42-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Jesse Chavez↔ ATL 38 FA-elig 11-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Mike Ford↔ ATL 29 arb 28-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Gerardo Reyes 29 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Max Stassi 31 FA-elig 102-0.1 3.0 -3.3
Michael Stefanic 26 25-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Austin Romine↔ CIN 33 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Brian Moran 33 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Mickey Moniak↔ PHI 24 pre-arb 19-0.1 0.2 -0.7
Austin Warren 26 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.4 -1.1
Matt Thaiss 27 pre-arb 29-0.2 0.2 -0.8
Aaron Whitefield 25 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Ryan Aguilar 27 7-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Oliver Ortega 25 pre-arb 27-0.2 0.3 -1.0
Chad Wallach 30 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Jo Adell 23 pre-arb 88-0.2 0.5 -1.3
Elvis Peguero 25 pre-arb 13-0.2 0.2 -1.0
Steven Duggar↔ SFG 28 9-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Chase Silseth 22 7-0.2 0.1 -1.0
José Marte 26 pre-arb 11-0.3 0.2 -1.2
David MacKinnon↔ OAK 27 16-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Juan Lagares 33 20-0.3 0.2 -1.4
Tucker Davidson↔ ATL 26 pre-arb 8-0.4 0.2 -1.6
Magneuris Sierra 26 arb 45-0.4 0.1 -1.7
Jack Mayfield 31 pre-arb 23-0.4 0.2 -1.8
Jose Rojas 29 22-0.6 0.2 -2.3
Jonathan Villar↔ CHC 31 FA-elig 13-0.6 1.3 -3.6
Tyler Wade 27 arb 67-0.6 0.8 -3.2
Phil Gosselin↔ ATL 33 FA-elig 22-0.7 0.1 -2.8
Kurt Suzuki 38 FA-elig 51-0.8 1.8 -4.8
Jared Walsh 28 pre-arb 118-0.8 0.7 -3.8
Mike Mayers 30 FA-elig 24-0.9 2.1 -5.4

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Noah Syndergaard1.2
Michael Lorenzen1.0
Livan Soto0.7
Aaron Loup0.3
Archie Bradley0.2
Monte Harrison0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Alex Cobb2.5
Andrew Heaney1.6
Jose Iglesias1.0
Steve Cishek0.9
Jose Quintana0.5
Tony Watson0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$150.1M
2023 guaranteed
$75.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Mike Trout3010.070$37.1M$37.1M$37.1M$37.1M$37.1M$37.1M$37.1M
Anthony Rendon328.130$36.6M$38.6M$38.6M$38.6M$30.2MFREE AGENT
Noah Syndergaard296.149$12.6MFREE AGENT
Aaron Loup349.040$7.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Lorenzen306.159$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Tepera346.008$7.0MFREE AGENT
Raisel Iglesias326.154$5.8MFREE AGENT
Archie Bradley296.112$3.8MFREE AGENT
Kurt Suzuki3814.112$1.8MFREE AGENT
Matt Duffy316.059$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar319.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Juan Lagares338.005$199kFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez3814.000$128kFREE AGENT
Phil Gosselin339.000$65kFREE AGENT
Austin Romine338.044$14kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Shohei Ohtani274.000$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
David Fletcher283.111$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Stassi315.049$3.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Mayers304.020$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wade273.088$825kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Barraclough324.050$88kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (45)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Jared Walsh282.010$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaime Barria252.035$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Ward281.164$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Quijada261.046$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Herget281.074$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Sandoval251.149$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Velazquez271.106$681kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Detmers220.064$648kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Rengifo252.064$577kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Wantz260.093$546kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Suarez241.120$538kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jo Adell231.044$479kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Warren260.068$437kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Ortega250.033$343kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Marsh240.078$319kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Rojas29$230k
Elvis Peguero250.024$188kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Moniak240.063$184kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Mayfield311.163$182kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Stefanic260.000$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Thaiss270.162$177kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucker Davidson260.130$166kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Marte260.045$165kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Touki Toussaint262.065$162kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Silseth220.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Ford291.117$149kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhonathan Díaz250.017$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Weiss300.004$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Valdez372.037$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Magneuris Sierra262.138$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David MacKinnon27$98k
Steven Duggar282.147$97kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Wallach302.152$88kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kenny Rosenberg260.000$85kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Livan Soto220.000$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Monte Harrison260.120$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Janson Junk260.031$65kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Thomas290.008$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Zastryzny300.100$48kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Aguilar27$46k
Brian Moran332.027$31kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan O'Hoppe220.000$27kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Whitefield250.043$23kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nash Walters25$23k
Gerardo Reyes290.074$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3