RRosternomics
WH

Whitey Herzog

Nov 9, 1931 (New Athens, IL) – Apr 15, 2024 (St. Louis, MO) · died at 92

General manager for the Cardinals and Angels (1981–1994).

1 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record47–68
Win %0.409
-1.6GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.8119th/195 execs
3.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)181st/195 execs
-6.5Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)160th/195 execs
36%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)111th/195 execs
$-0MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track182nd/195 execs
$2MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)143rd/195 execs
$-2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade182nd/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees147th/195 execs
-8.7TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total109th/195 execs
-7.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)102nd/195 execs
0.15Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)170th/195 execs
-6Roster surplus $M52nd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Angels GM 1994–1994 1 -7.6 -7.63 -8.7 -4.9 +3.6 -0.9 +0.2 +0.0 0.15 0.409 -6
Cardinals GM 1981–1982 0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +38.9 +54.5 -0.2 -0.2
Career total (1985+ data) 1 -7.6 -8.7 -4.9 +42.4 +53.7 +0.1 -0.2 0.15 0.409 -6

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+42.4
Trade+53.7
Free agency+0.1
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.2
Sourcing mix: 39% draft · 6% FA · 55% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Whitey Herzog's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 34 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Ozzie Smith SS STL Trade 1981 11 +48.0 +4.4
Terry Pendleton 3B STL Draft 1982 6 +12.2 +2.0
Vince Coleman OF STL Draft 1982 6 +11.9 +2.0
Willie McGee OF STL Trade 1981 7 +10.0 +1.4
Danny Cox P STL Draft 1981 4 +8.9 +2.2
Rex Hudler 2B/OF ANA Free agency 1994 3 +4.8 +1.6 0.2
Todd Worrell P STL Draft 1982 6 +3.9 +0.7
Jason Dickson P ANA Draft 1994 4 +3.0 +0.8
Joaquín Andújar P STL Trade 1981 1 +2.9 +2.9
Curt Ford OF STL Draft 1981 3 +2.7 +0.9
Mike Holtz P ANA Draft 1994 5 +2.2 +0.4
Lee Smith P ANA Free agency 1994 2 +1.0 +0.5 6.8
Spike Owen SS ANA Trade 1994 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.4
Bob Patterson P ANA Free agency 1994 2 +0.9 +0.4 0.0
Greg Myers C ANA Trade 1994 2 +0.8 +0.4 0.1
Mark Leiter P ANA Free agency 1994 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.1
Jeff Lahti P STL Trade 1982 2 +0.7 +0.3
John Dopson P ANA Free agency 1994 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
Bo Jackson OF ANA Free agency 1994 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.1
Jeff Schwarz P ANA Trade 1994 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0
Bret Hemphill C ANA Draft 1994 -0.1
Craig Lefferts P ANA Free agency 1994 -0.1
Bill Sampen P ANA Free agency 1994 -0.1
Joe Boever P STL Intl FA 1982 1 -0.1 -0.1
Carlos Martínez 1B/3B ANA Free agency 1994 -0.2
Randy Hunt C STL Draft 1981 -0.2
Kurt Kepshire P STL Rule 5 1982 -0.2
Ken Patterson P ANA Trade 1994 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.0
Tom Nieto C STL Draft 1981 -0.4
Mitch Williams P ANA Free agency 1994 -0.5
Russ Springer P ANA Trade 1994 1 -0.5 -0.5 0.0
John Farrell P ANA Trade 1994 1 -1.0 -1.0 0.0
Harold Reynolds 2B ANA Trade 1994 -1.1
Trent Durrington 2B ANA Intl FA 1994 -1.6

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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