RRosternomics
WK

Wayne Krivsky

Born Jul 28, 1954 · Niagara Falls, NY · age 71

General manager for the Reds (2008–2008).

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record74–88
Win %0.457
-1.8GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.8124th/195 execs
6.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)113th/195 execs
-6.8Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)172nd/195 execs
40%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)137th/195 execs
$13MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track106th/195 execs
$7MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)88th/195 execs
$5MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade69th/195 execs
$1MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees84th/195 execs
-7.4TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total103rd/195 execs
-3.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)83rd/195 execs
0.13Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)171st/195 execs
-18Roster surplus $M73rd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Reds GM 2008–2008 1 -3.6 -3.59 -7.4 -7.9 -0.1 +5.9 -4.8 +0.0 0.13 0.457 -18
Career total (1985+ data) 1 -3.6 -7.4 -7.9 -0.1 +5.9 -4.8 +0.0 0.13 0.457 -18

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)-0.1
Trade+5.9
Free agency-4.8
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 0% draft · 51% FA · 49% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Wayne Krivsky's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 25 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Edinson Vólquez P CIN Trade 2008 3 +3.5 +1.2 0.4
Jerry Hairston 2B/OF CIN Free agency 2008 2 +2.7 +1.3 0.3
Laynce Nix OF CIN Free agency 2008 2 +2.6 +1.3 0.3
Nick Masset P CIN Trade 2008 3 +2.5 +0.8 0.3
Francisco Cordero P CIN Trade 2008 4 +2.4 +0.6 0.1
Arthur Rhodes P CIN Free agency 2008 2 +1.7 +0.8 0.2
Paul Bako C CIN Free agency 2008 1 +1.6 +1.6
Micah Owings P CIN Trade 2008 3 +0.8 +0.3 0.0
Jeremy Affeldt P CIN Free agency 2008 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
Yonder Alonso 1B CIN Draft 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3
Daniel Corcino P CIN Intl FA 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3
Dave Sappelt OF CIN Draft 2008 1 +0.3 +0.3
Ramón Ramírez P CIN Trade 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1
Willy Taveras OF CIN Free agency 2008 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Wilkin Castillo OF CIN Trade 2008 1 +0.0 +0.0
Kevin Barker 1B CIN Free agency 2008 -0.1
Justin Freeman P CIN Draft 2008 -0.1
Ramón Hernández C CIN Trade 2008 2 -0.1 -0.0 13.5
Darnell McDonald OF CIN Free agency 2008 -0.1
Yorman Rodríguez OF CIN Intl FA 2008 -0.2
Pedro Villarreal P CIN Draft 2008 2 -0.3 -0.2
Carlos Contreras P CIN Intl FA 2008 -0.5
Josh Fogg P CIN Free agency 2008 -0.6
Corey Patterson OF CIN Free agency 2008 -1.1
Mike Lincoln P CIN Free agency 2008 -1.2

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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