John Mullen

Overview

Titles0

Pennants0

Playoffs0

Record66–96

Win %0.407

-5.3GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.8181st/195 execs

3.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)185th/195 execs

-5.6Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)124th/195 execs

50%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)180th/195 execs

$-2MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track190th/195 execs

$-1MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)190th/195 execs

$-0MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade162nd/195 execs

$-1MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees183rd/195 execs

-23.8TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total149th/195 execs

-20.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)147th/195 execs

–Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)195th/195 execs

-11Roster surplus $M62nd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

Team	Role	Years	Szns	WAB	WAB/yr	TAB	WAR surp	HG	Trade	FA	R5	AcqLev	W-L%	PO	Pen	WS	Surp $M
▸ Braves	GM	1980–1985	1	-20.6	-20.62	-23.8	-40.6	+136.5	-18.9	-2.7	+1.1	–	0.407	–	–	–	-11
1985 66–96				-20.6		-23.8	-40.6						0.407				-11
▸ Astros	GM	1975–1975	0	+0.0	–	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0	-0.1	+0.0	+0.0	–	–	–	–	–	–
Career total (1985+ data)			1	-20.6		-23.8	-40.6	+136.5	-19.0	-2.7	+1.1	–	0.407	–	–	–	-11

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

by value by volume

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+136.5

Trade-19.0

Free agency-2.7

Rule 5 / minor draft+1.1

Sourcing mix: 88% draft · 0% FA · 12% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across John Mullen's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 33 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

Player	Pos	Team	How	Year	Szns	fWAR	WAR/yr	Lev
Tom Glavine	P	ATL	Draft	1984	15	+59.2	+3.9	–
David Justice	OF	ATL	Draft	1985	8	+25.0	+3.1	–
Jeff Blauser	SS	ATL	Draft	1984	10	+19.4	+1.9	–
Ron Gant	OF	ATL	Draft	1983	5	+16.7	+3.3	–
Zane Smith	P	ATL	Draft	1982	5	+10.1	+2.0	–
Mark Lemke	2B	ATL	Draft	1983	7	+7.1	+1.0	–
Pete Smith	P	ATL	Trade	1985	7	+5.8	+0.8	–
Ken Oberkfell	2B/3B	ATL	Trade	1984	3	+5.2	+1.7	–
Ozzie Virgil	C	ATL	Trade	1985	3	+5.1	+1.7	0.1
Charlie Puleo	P	ATL	Trade	1985	2	+2.3	+1.1	–
Paul Assenmacher	P	ATL	Intl FA	1983	3	+1.9	+0.6	–
Marty Clary	P	ATL	Draft	1983	2	+1.5	+0.8	–
Billy Sample	OF	ATL	Trade	1985	1	+0.5	+0.5	0.0
Joe Niekro	P	HOU	Trade	1975	1	+0.5	+0.5	1.3
Joe Johnson	P	ATL	Draft	1982	2	+0.4	+0.2	–
Jeff Dedmon	P	ATL	Draft	1980	2	+0.3	+0.1	–
Paul Marak	P	ATL	Draft	1985	1	+0.2	+0.2	–
Pascual Pérez	P	ATL	Trade	1982	1	+0.2	+0.2	–
Gary Eave	P	ATL	Draft	1985	1	+0.1	+0.1	–
Drew Denson	1B	ATL	Draft	1984	1	+0.0	+0.0	–
Tommy Greene	P	ATL	Draft	1985	–	-0.0	–	–
John Rabb	C	ATL	Trade	1985	–	-0.0	–	–
Jeff Wetherby	OF	ATL	Draft	1985	–	-0.0	–	–
Steve Ziem	P	ATL	Draft	1983	1	+0.0	+0.0	–
Len Barker	P	ATL	Trade	1983	–	-0.1	–	–
Bruce Sutter	P	ATL	Trade	1985	1	-0.1	-0.1	–
Rick Cerone	C	ATL	Trade	1984	–	-0.2	–	–
Craig McMurtry	P	ATL	Draft	1980	1	-0.2	-0.2	–
Dave Schuler	P	ATL	Trade	1985	–	-0.2	–	–
Kevin Coffman	P	ATL	Draft	1983	–	-0.3	–	–
Terry Forster	P	ATL	Trade	1985	–	-0.4	–	–
Paul Zuvella	2B/SS	ATL	Draft	1980	–	-0.4	–	–
Andres Thomas	SS	ATL	Intl FA	1981	1	-4.6	-4.6	–

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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