Rosternomics
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Blue Jays TOR

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GM: Ross Atkins (since 2016)

2023 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+3.0
WAB — wins above budget
+5.1
TAB — roster Talent above budget
89–73 (0.549)
record · made playoffs
-38M
surplus $M (value/$)
43.2
roster fWAR
$209.5M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kevin Gausman 32 FA-elig 31 5.3 21.0 -0.1
Bo Bichette 25 arb 135 3.9 3.9 +11.4
Matt Chapman 30 FA-elig 140 3.0 12.5 -0.8
José Berríos 29 FA-elig 32 2.9 15.7 -4.1
Kevin Kiermaier 33 FA-elig 129 2.7 9.0 +1.6
Chris Bassitt 34 FA-elig 33 2.6 19.0 -8.7
Yusei Kikuchi 32 arb 32 2.6 10.0 +0.2
Alejandro Kirk 24 arb 123 2.3 0.8 +8.2
Brandon Belt 35 FA-elig 103 2.1 9.3 -0.9
Danny Jansen 28 arb 86 1.9 3.5 +4.1
Davis Schneider 24 – 35 1.9 0.2 +7.3
Daulton Varsho 26 arb 158 1.9 3.0 +4.5
George Springer 33 FA-elig 154 1.8 24.2 -17.0
Tim Mayza 31 FA-elig 69 1.3 2.1 +3.0
Whit Merrifield 34 FA-elig 145 1.2 6.8 -1.9
Jordan Romano 30 arb 59 1.2 4.5 +0.3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 24 arb 156 1.2 14.5 -9.8
Yimi García 32 FA-elig 73 1.0 5.5 -1.5
Cavan Biggio 28 arb 111 0.9 2.8 +0.8
Erik Swanson 29 arb 69 0.9 1.2 +2.3
Ernie Clement 27 pre-arb 30 0.6 0.3 +2.0
Tyler Heineman↔ PIT 32 pre-arb 19 0.5 0.2 +1.6
Hyun Jin Ryu 36 FA-elig 11 0.4 20.0 -18.4
Trevor Richards 30 arb 56 0.4 1.5 +0.1
Génesis Cabrera↔ STL 26 arb 29 0.3 0.5 +0.7
Chad Green 32 FA-elig 12 0.3 2.2 -1.2
Jordan Hicks↔ STL 26 arb 25 0.2 0.7 +0.3
Bowden Francis 27 pre-arb 20 0.2 0.3 +0.5
Spencer Horwitz 25 – 15 0.1 0.1 +0.4
Jay Jackson 35 pre-arb 25 0.1 1.5 -1.0
Trent Thornton↔ SEA 29 arb 4 0.1 0.1 +0.3
Thomas Hatch↔ PIT 28 – 6 0.1 0.1 +0.3
Hagen Danner 24 – 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2
Anthony Bass 35 – 22 -0.0 3.0 -3.0
Nathan Lukes 28 – 29 -0.0 0.4 -0.4
Nate Pearson 26 pre-arb 35 -0.0 0.4 -0.5
Mitch White 28 pre-arb 10 -0.0 0.5 -0.6
Santiago Espinal 28 arb 93 -0.0 2.1 -2.3
Mason McCoy 28 – 6 -0.1 0.0 -0.2
Jordan Luplow↔ MIN 29 – 7 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Cam Eden 25 – 5 -0.1 0.0 -0.5
Wes Parsons 30 pre-arb 1 -0.2 0.0 -0.8
Zach Pop 26 pre-arb 15 -0.3 0.7 -1.9
Alek Manoah 25 pre-arb 19 -0.4 0.7 -2.4
Adam Cimber 32 arb 22 -0.6 3.1 -5.5
Paul DeJong↔ SFG 29 FA-elig 13 -0.8 1.1 -4.2

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for TOR
Juan Guzmán198721.1
Roberto Alomar199020.4
Josh Donaldson201420.4
Fred McGriff198219.7
George Bell198016.7
Tom Henke198516.2
Duane Ward198614.9
Ernie Whitt198514.7
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Michael Young200025.0
Noah Syndergaard201220.1
John Olerud199618.3
David Cone199516.6
Yan Gomes201213.5
Matt Boyd201510.9
Travis d'Arnaud20129.8
Fred McGriff19909.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.