RRosternomics
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Rangers TEX

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President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.2× league · TAB -15.6
-15.6TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-17.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-8.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag29th/30
60%dead money %28th/30
0.414win %28th/30
20.9roster fWAR30th/30
-73surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$136Mpayroll $M9th/30

Roster

CFLeonys Martin 152GDaniel Robertson 21GMichael Choice 7G
LFShin-Soo Choo 64GMichael Choice 41GDaniel Robertson 30G
RFAlex Rios 114GDaniel Robertson 18GMichael Choice 17G
SSElvis Andrus 153GLuis Sardinas 13GAdam Rosales 3G
2BRougned Odor 110GDonnie Murphy 21GLuis Sardinas 19G
3BAdrian Beltré 136GKevin Kouzmanoff 13GLuis Sardinas 7G
1BPrince Fielder 39GAdam Rosales 32GMike Carp 32G
STARTERSYu Darvish 3.6WARDerek Holland 1.3WARColby Lewis 1.3WARMartín Pérez 0.7WARNick Martinez 0.3WAR
CRobinson Chirinos 91GJ.P. Arencibia 22GTomás Telis 17G
DHShin-Soo Choo 45GMitch Moreland 22GJ.P. Arencibia 16G
BULLPEN★ Neftalí Feliz 13svNeal Cotts 19hRoman Mendez 10hShawn Tolleson 8hAlexi Ogando 7hAaron Poreda 4hPhil Klein 0hAlex Claudio 0h
CRobinson Chirinos 91 · J.P. Arencibia 22 · Tomás Telis 17
1BPrince Fielder 39 · Adam Rosales 32 · Mike Carp 32
2BRougned Odor 110 · Donnie Murphy 21 · Luis Sardinas 19
3BAdrian Beltré 136 · Kevin Kouzmanoff 13 · Luis Sardinas 7
SSElvis Andrus 153 · Luis Sardinas 13 · Adam Rosales 3
LFShin-Soo Choo 64 · Michael Choice 41 · Daniel Robertson 30
CFLeonys Martin 152 · Daniel Robertson 21 · Michael Choice 7
RFAlex Rios 114 · Daniel Robertson 18 · Michael Choice 17
DHShin-Soo Choo 45 · Mitch Moreland 22 · J.P. Arencibia 16
SPYu Darvish 3.6 · Derek Holland 1.3 · Colby Lewis 1.3 · Martín Pérez 0.7 · Nick Martinez 0.3
BP★ Neftalí Feliz 13 · Neal Cotts 19 · Roman Mendez 10 · Shawn Tolleson 8 · Alexi Ogando 7 · Aaron Poreda 4 · Phil Klein 0 · Alex Claudio 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2014 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Adrian Beltré 35 FA-elig 1485.9 17.0 +0.1
Leonys Martin 26 arb 1553.6 3.8 +6.7
Yu Darvish 27 pre-arb 223.6 10.0 +0.4
Elvis Andrus 25 arb 1571.8 6.5 -1.2
Joakim Soria↔ DET 30 FA-elig 351.6 4.0 +0.7
Colby Lewis 34 FA-elig 291.3 2.0 +1.9
Robinson Chirinos 30 arb 931.3 0.5 +3.4
Derek Holland 27 arb 61.3 5.4 -1.7
Rougned Odor 20 – 1141.0 0.4 +2.5
Adam Rosales 31 FA-elig 560.9 0.8 +2.0
Jake Smolinski 25 – 240.9 0.2 +2.3
Chris Gimenez↔ CLE 31 arb 340.7 0.4 +1.6
Martín Pérez 23 pre-arb 80.7 0.8 +1.2
Neal Cotts 34 FA-elig 730.6 2.2 -0.4
Kevin Kouzmanoff 32 arb 130.6 0.5 +1.3
Ryan Rua 24 – 280.4 0.1 +1.2
Shin-Soo Choo 31 FA-elig 1230.4 14.0 -12.8
Nick Martinez 23 – 320.3 0.4 +0.4
Alex Rios 33 FA-elig 1310.3 12.5 -11.7
Alex Claudio 22 – 150.2 0.1 +0.6
Jerome Williams↔ HOU 32 FA-elig 20.2 0.1 +0.6
Josh Wilson 33 arb 240.2 0.2 +0.5
Spencer Patton 26 – 90.2 0.1 +0.5
Jason Frasor↔ KCR 36 FA-elig 380.2 1.1 -0.5
Lisalverto Bonilla 24 pre-arb 50.2 0.1 +0.4
Daniel Robertson 28 – 700.2 – –
Miles Mikolas 25 pre-arb 100.1 0.5 -0.1
Nick Tepesch 25 pre-arb 230.1 0.5 -0.1
Ryan Feierabend 28 – 60.1 – –
Jon Edwards 26 pre-arb 90.1 0.4 -0.1
Aaron Poreda 27 – 260.1 – –
Ben Rowen 25 – 80.1 0.1 +0.2
Hector Noesí↔ CHW 27 arb 30.1 0.0 +0.1
Scott Baker 32 FA-elig 250.1 1.0 -0.9
Alexi Ogando 30 arb 270.0 2.6 -2.5
Matt West 25 pre-arb 30.0 0.0 +0.1
Seth Rosin 25 – 30.0 – –
Luis Sardinas 21 – 430.0 0.2 -0.1
Michael Kirkman 27 arb 120.0 0.5 -0.4
Matt Harrison 28 FA-elig 40.0 8.2 -8.1
Roman Mendez 23 – 30-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Robbie Ross Jr. 25 pre-arb 27-0.0 0.5 -0.7
Phil Klein 25 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Shawn Tolleson 26 pre-arb 65-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Phil Irwin 27 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Brad Snyder 32 – 10-0.1 – –
James Adduci 29 pre-arb 44-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Justin Germano 31 – 2-0.1 – –
Daniel McCutchen 31 – 1-0.1 – –
Pedro Figueroa 28 pre-arb 10-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Nate Adcock 26 – 7-0.2 – –
Guilder Rodriguez 30 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Donnie Murphy 31 FA-elig 45-0.2 0.8 -1.4
Neftalí Feliz 26 arb 30-0.2 3.0 -3.6
Prince Fielder 30 FA-elig 42-0.4 24.0 -25.2
Geovany Soto↔ OAK 31 FA-elig 10-0.4 1.3 -2.5
Tanner Scheppers 27 pre-arb 8-0.4 0.5 -1.8
Mike Carp↔ BOS 28 arb 17-0.5 0.4 -1.7
Mitch Moreland 28 arb 52-0.5 2.6 -4.1
Joe Saunders↔ BAL 33 FA-elig 8-0.5 0.9 -2.4
J.P. Arencibia 28 arb 63-0.6 1.8 -3.6
Carlos Pena 36 – 18-0.6 – –
Tomás Telis 23 – 18-1.0 0.1 -3.0
Michael Choice 24 pre-arb 86-2.0 0.5 -6.4

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
Colby Lewis1.3
Rougned Odor1.0
Jake Smolinski0.9
Chris Gimenez0.7
Kevin Kouzmanoff0.6
Ryan Rua0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Craig Gentry3.0
Ian Kinsler2.8
Joe Nathan2.4
Nelson Cruz1.6
Matt Garza1.2
Jeff Baker1.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$135.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Prince Fielder308.068$24.0M$24.0M$24.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3515.096$17.0M$16.0M$18.0M$18.0M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Shin-Soo Choo316.119$14.0M$14.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0M$21.0M$21.0M
Alex Rios339.130$12.5MFREE AGENT
Joakim Soria307.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Colby Lewis347.136$2.0M$4.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Geovany Soto316.096$1.3MFREE AGENT
Jason Frasor369.134$1.1MFREE AGENT
Scott Baker327.128$1.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Saunders337.013$857kFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams3211.000$114kFREE AGENT
Carlos Pena3610.133—FREE AGENT
Justin Germano3110.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Matt Harrison285.083$8.2MFREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus255.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Derek Holland274.120$5.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Neftalí Feliz264.064$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Moreland283.067$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Ogando303.114$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neal Cotts345.041$2.2MFREE AGENT
J.P. Arencibia283.059$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Murphy314.101$825kARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Rosales314.099$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Kouzmanoff324.137$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Carp283.010$403kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Wilson334.161$201kARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel McCutchen314.026—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Adcock263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Poreda275.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (35)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Yu Darvish272.000$10.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leonys Martin261.113$3.8MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Pérez231.038$750kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scheppers271.119$515kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robbie Ross Jr.252.000$513kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Tepesch252.136$505kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kirkman272.079$505kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miles Mikolas250.114$502kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robinson Chirinos301.102$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Figueroa280.077$502kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Tolleson261.122$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Choice240.029$502kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Adduci291.000$501kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Martinez230.000$440kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Gimenez312.146$413kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roman Mendez231.141$396kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rougned Odor200.000$393kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Edwards261.141$383kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Sardinas210.000$243kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Smolinski250.000$230kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Klein250.086$161kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Claudio220.000$128kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomás Telis230.000$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rua240.000$85kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lisalverto Bonilla241.027$74kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Patton260.000$68kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Rowen250.000$63kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guilder Rodriguez300.022$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Noesí272.006$47kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt West250.053$30kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Irwin27–$5k
Brad Snyder32–—
Ryan Feierabend28–—
Seth Rosin25–—
Daniel Robertson280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2014; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.