RRosternomics

Giants SFG

GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

CONTEND → steady
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.2× league · TAB +17.2
+17.2TAB — talent above budget2nd/30
+11.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-3.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
13%dead money %6th/30
0.590win %7th/30
53.4roster fWAR2nd/30
+11surplus $M (value vs cost)4th/30
$79Mpayroll $M10th/30

2002: won pennant · 95–66. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFKenny Lofton 136GTsuyoshi Shinjo 108GTom Goodwin 22G
LFBarry Bonds 135GTom Goodwin 28GShawon Dunston 18G
RFReggie Sanders 137GShawon Dunston 22GMarvin Benard 20G
SSRich Aurilia 131GRamon Martinez 40GCody Ransom 3G
2BJeff Kent 149GRamon Martinez 17GDavid Bell 12G
3BDavid Bell 139GBill Mueller 104GPedro Feliz 44G
1BJ.T. Snow 135GDamon Minor 44GJeff Kent 9G
STARTERSJason Schmidt 4.4WARRuss Ortiz 3.9WARLivan Hernandez 3.2WARKirk Rueter 1.3WARRyan Jensen 0.9WAR
CBenito Santiago 125GYorvit Torrealba 53GTrey Lunsford 3G
DHBarry Bonds 5GDamon Minor 3GShawon Dunston 1G
BULLPEN Robb Nen 43svTim Worrell 23hFelix Rodriguez 23hScott Eyre 18hChad Zerbe 5hJay Witasick 4hAaron Fultz 4hManny Aybar 1h
CBenito Santiago 125 · Yorvit Torrealba 53 · Trey Lunsford 3
1BJ.T. Snow 135 · Damon Minor 44 · Jeff Kent 9
2BJeff Kent 149 · Ramon Martinez 17 · David Bell 12
3BDavid Bell 139 · Bill Mueller 104 · Pedro Feliz 44
SSRich Aurilia 131 · Ramon Martinez 40 · Cody Ransom 3
LFBarry Bonds 135 · Tom Goodwin 28 · Shawon Dunston 18
CFKenny Lofton 136 · Tsuyoshi Shinjo 108 · Tom Goodwin 22
RFReggie Sanders 137 · Shawon Dunston 22 · Marvin Benard 20
DHBarry Bonds 5 · Damon Minor 3 · Shawon Dunston 1
SPJason Schmidt 4.4 · Russ Ortiz 3.9 · Livan Hernandez 3.2 · Kirk Rueter 1.3 · Ryan Jensen 0.9
BP Robb Nen 43 · Tim Worrell 23 · Felix Rodriguez 23 · Scott Eyre 18 · Chad Zerbe 5 · Jay Witasick 4 · Aaron Fultz 4 · Manny Aybar 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Barry Bonds 37 FA-elig 14312.7 15.0 +6.8
Jeff Kent 34 FA-elig 1526.7 6.0 +5.4
Jason Schmidt 29 FA-elig 294.4 4.9 +2.6
Russ Ortiz 28 arb 333.9 2.9 +3.8
Livan Hernandez 27 FA-elig 363.2 3.6 +1.9
Robb Nen 32 FA-elig 683.2 8.3 -2.9
Reggie Sanders 34 FA-elig 1403.1 1.8 +3.5
David Bell 29 FA-elig 1543.1 1.8 +3.5
Rich Aurilia 30 FA-elig 1332.3 5.2 -1.3
Benito Santiago 37 FA-elig 1262.2 2.0 +1.7
Tsuyoshi Shinjo 30 pre-arb 1181.3 1.4 +0.9
Kirk Rueter 31 FA-elig 351.3 4.9 -2.7
Ramon Martinez 29 arb 721.0 0.8 +1.0
Tim Worrell 34 FA-elig 801.0 1.4 +0.2
Kenny Lofton↔ CHW 35 FA-elig 460.9 0.3 +1.2
Ryan Jensen 26 pre-arb 320.9 0.2 +1.3
Yorvit Torrealba 23 pre-arb 530.8 0.2 +1.2
Marvin Benard 31 FA-elig 650.7 4.2 -2.9
Jay Witasick 29 FA-elig 440.6 1.2 -0.1
Tom Goodwin 33 780.6
Damon Minor 28 pre-arb 830.6 0.2 +0.9
Felix Rodriguez 29 FA-elig 710.5 2.5 -1.6
Pedro Feliz 27 pre-arb 670.5 0.2 +0.6
Kurt Ainsworth 23 pre-arb 60.3 0.2 +0.3
Scott Eyre↔ TOR 30 arb 210.2 0.1 +0.2
Manny Aybar 30 150.2
Cody Ransom 26 70.1
Trey Lunsford 23 30.1
Joe Nathan 27 40.0 0.3 -0.2
Calvin Murray↔ TEX 30 arb 110.0 0.1 -0.0
Chad Zerbe 30 50-0.0
Tony Torcato 22 5-0.1
Bill Mueller↔ CHC 31 FA-elig 8-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Troy Brohawn 29 11-0.1
Jason Christiansen 32 FA-elig 6-0.1 1.7 -2.0
Aaron Fultz 28 pre-arb 43-0.1 0.3 -0.5
J.T. Snow 34 FA-elig 143-1.1 5.9 -7.8
Shawon Dunston 39 FA-elig 72-1.3 1.1 -3.4

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Reggie Sanders3.1
David Bell3.1
Tsuyoshi Shinjo1.3
Kenny Lofton0.9
Jay Witasick0.6
Tom Goodwin0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Shawn Estes1.8
Armando Rios1.6
John Vander Wal0.8
Bobby Estalella0.3
Russ Davis0.2
Andres Galarraga0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$79.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Barry Bonds3716.000$15.0M$15.5M$18.0M$22.0M$19.3M$15.5MFREE AGENT
Robb Nen329.000$8.3MFREE AGENT
Jeff Kent3410.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
J.T. Snow3410.000$5.9M$6.8M$1.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia307.000$5.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT$3.5M$4.5M
Jason Schmidt297.000$4.9M$5.9M$7.9M$8.2M$10.5MFREE AGENT
Kirk Rueter319.000$4.9M$5.9M$6.1M$7.1MFREE AGENT
Marvin Benard317.000$4.2M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez276.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Felix Rodriguez297.000$2.5M$3.2M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Benito Santiago3716.000$2.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Reggie Sanders3411.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
David Bell297.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jason Christiansen327.000$1.7M$2.3M$2.4M$865kFREE AGENT
Tim Worrell349.000$1.4M$2.0MFREE AGENT$1.8M
Jay Witasick296.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Shawon Dunston3917.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Kenny Lofton3511.000$339kFREE AGENT
Bill Mueller316.000$249kFREE AGENT
Tom Goodwin3311.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Russ Ortiz284.000$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Martinez294.000$775kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Nathan273.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Eyre305.000$84kFREE AGENT
Calvin Murray303.000$70kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Aybar305.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Tsuyoshi Shinjo301.000$1.4MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Fultz282.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Feliz272.000$222kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Jensen261.000$209kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damon Minor282.000$203kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba231.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kurt Ainsworth231.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Brohawn29
Cody Ransom261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Zerbe302.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Torcato220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Lunsford23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3