RRosternomics

Mariners SEA

GM: Pat Gillick

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.12× league · TAB +8.6
+8.6TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+7.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/30
-1.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
24%dead money %11th/30
0.562win %7th/30
44.2roster fWAR5th/30
+2surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$61Mpayroll $M11th/30

2000: made playoffs · 91–71. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFMike Cameron 155GStan Javier 13GCharles Gipson 8G
LFRickey Henderson 117GAl Martin 109GStan Javier 47G
RFJay Buhner 104GRaul Ibanez 44GStan Javier 38G
SSAlex Rodriguez 148GCarlos Guillén 23GCharles Gipson 5G
2BMark McLemore 129GDavid Bell 48G
3BDavid Bell 93GCarlos Guillén 68GJohn Mabry 22G
1BJohn Olerud 158GBrian Lesher 4GStan Javier 3G
STARTERSAaron Sele 4.3WARJohn Halama 2.4WARJamie Moyer 1.8WARGil Meche 1.5WARPaul Abbott 1.5WAR
CChris Widger 91GDan Wilson 88GJoe Oliver 66G
DHEdgar Martinez 146GStan Javier 3GTom Lampkin 2G
BULLPEN Kazuhiro Sasaki 37svArthur Rhodes 24hJose Paniagua 14hJose Mesa 11hRobert Ramsay 5hFrankie Rodriguez 2hKevin Hodges 0hJoel Pineiro 0h
CChris Widger 91 · Dan Wilson 88 · Joe Oliver 66
1BJohn Olerud 158 · Brian Lesher 4 · Stan Javier 3
2BMark McLemore 129 · David Bell 48
3BDavid Bell 93 · Carlos Guillén 68 · John Mabry 22
SSAlex Rodriguez 148 · Carlos Guillén 23 · Charles Gipson 5
LFRickey Henderson 117 · Al Martin 109 · Stan Javier 47
CFMike Cameron 155 · Stan Javier 13 · Charles Gipson 8
RFJay Buhner 104 · Raul Ibanez 44 · Stan Javier 38
DHEdgar Martinez 146 · Stan Javier 3 · Tom Lampkin 2
SPAaron Sele 4.3 · John Halama 2.4 · Jamie Moyer 1.8 · Gil Meche 1.5 · Paul Abbott 1.5
BP Kazuhiro Sasaki 37 · Arthur Rhodes 24 · Jose Paniagua 14 · Jose Mesa 11 · Robert Ramsay 5 · Frankie Rodriguez 2 · Kevin Hodges 0 · Joel Pineiro 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Alex Rodriguez 24 FA-elig 1489.5 4.4 +9.1
Edgar Martinez 37 FA-elig 1535.3 5.4 +2.2
Aaron Sele 30 FA-elig 344.3 7.5 -1.4
John Olerud 31 FA-elig 1593.6 6.3 -1.2
Mike Cameron 27 arb 1553.6 2.2 +2.8
John Halama 28 pre-arb 302.4 0.3 +3.1
Jamie Moyer 37 FA-elig 261.8 6.0 -3.5
Arthur Rhodes 30 FA-elig 721.6 2.8 -0.4
Jay Buhner 35 FA-elig 1121.6 1.4 +0.9
Gil Meche 21 pre-arb 151.5 0.3 +1.9
Paul Abbott 32 FA-elig 351.5 0.3 +1.8
Freddy Garcia 23 pre-arb 211.2 0.3 +1.4
Mark McLemore 35 FA-elig 1381.2 2.0 -0.3
Joe Oliver 34 FA-elig 691.0 0.5 +1.0
Rickey Henderson↔ NYM 41 FA-elig 921.0 1.5 -0.1
Jose Paniagua 26 arb 690.9 0.3 +1.0
Tom Lampkin 36 FA-elig 360.7 0.9 +0.0
Kazuhiro Sasaki 32 pre-arb 630.6 4.0 -3.1
Brett Tomko 27 arb 320.5 0.5 +0.1
David Bell 27 arb 1330.4 1.4 -0.8
Brian Lesher 29 50.4
Jose Mesa 34 FA-elig 660.4 4.0 -3.4
Carlos Guillén 24 pre-arb 900.4 0.2 +0.3
Dan Wilson 31 FA-elig 900.3 4.0 -3.5
Charles Gipson 27 pre-arb 590.1 0.2 -0.0
Stan Javier 36 FA-elig 1050.1 1.5 -1.4
Al Martin↔ SDP 32 FA-elig 420.1 0.5 -0.4
Anthony Sanders 26 10.0
Robert Machado 27 80.0
Robert Ramsay 26 pre-arb 370.0 0.2 -0.2
Joel Pineiro 21 8-0.1
Carlos Hernandez 24 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Chris Widger↔ WSN 29 arb 10-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Raul Ibanez 28 arb 92-0.3 0.3 -0.7
John Mabry↔ SDP 29 FA-elig 48-0.4 0.9 -1.4
Kevin Hodges 27 13-0.4
Frankie Rodriguez 27 arb 23-0.4 0.6 -1.2

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Aaron Sele4.3
John Olerud3.6
Mike Cameron3.6
Arthur Rhodes1.6
Mark McLemore1.2
Joe Oliver1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Ken Griffey Jr.4.9
Butch Huskey0.9
David Segui0.8
Matt Mieske0.7
Butch Henry0.5
Rafael Bournigal0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$61.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Aaron Sele307.000$7.5M$7.0MFREE AGENT$700k
John Olerud3111.000$6.3M$6.7M$7.0M$7.7M$4.7MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer3714.000$6.0M$6.5M$6.5M$6.5M$7.0M$8.0M$4.2M
Edgar Martinez3713.000$5.4M$5.5M$7.1M$4.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Rodriguez246.000$4.4MFREE AGENT
Dan Wilson318.000$4.0M$4.4M$4.5M$3.5M$3.5M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Mesa3413.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes309.000$2.8M$3.2M$3.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Mark McLemore3514.000$2.0M$2.0M$3.1M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Stan Javier3616.000$1.5M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Rickey Henderson4121.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jay Buhner3513.000$1.4M$1.9MFREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin3612.000$950k$1.1MFREE AGENT
John Mabry296.000$925kFREE AGENT$600k
Al Martin328.000$544k$5.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Oliver3411.000$500kFREE AGENT
Paul Abbott3210.000$285k$1.7M$3.4MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Mike Cameron275.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
David Bell275.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Frankie Rodriguez275.000$580kFREE AGENT
Brett Tomko273.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez284.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Paniagua264.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Widger295.000$141kFREE AGENT
Brian Lesher294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Machado274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Kazuhiro Sasaki320.000$4.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Garcia231.000$325kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Halama282.000$290kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gil Meche211.000$252kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Gipson272.000$215kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Hernandez241.000$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Guillén242.000$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Ramsay261.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Sanders261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Hodges27
Joel Pineiro210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3