RRosternomics
𝕏

Phillies PHI

‹ ›

GM: Ruben Amaro

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.65× league · TAB -1.0
-1.0TAB — talent above budget18th/30
+8.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-4.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/30
24%dead money %7th/30
0.599win %1st/30
39.4roster fWAR11th/30
-57surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$150Mpayroll $M3rd/30

2010: made playoffs · 97–65. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFShane Victorino 143GJayson Werth 21GJohn Mayberry Jr. 2G
LFRaul Ibanez 145GBen Francisco 23GRoy Oswalt 1G
RFJayson Werth 135GBen Francisco 20GDomonic Brown 15G
SSJimmy Rollins 87GWilson Valdez 59GBrian Bocock 6G
2BChase Utley 114GWilson Valdez 42GPlacido Polanco 12G
3BPlacido Polanco 123GGreg Dobbs 36GJuan Castro 11G
1BRyan Howard 139GRoss Gload 18GMike Sweeney 17G
STARTERSRoy Halladay 5.9WARCole Hamels 3.5WARJoe Blanton 1.6WARRoy Oswalt 1.5WARKyle Kendrick 0.3WAR
CCarlos Ruiz 118GBrian Schneider 46GDane Sardinha 12G
DHBen Francisco 5GRyan Howard 2GGreg Dobbs 1G
BULLPEN★ Brad Lidge 27svChad Durbin 15hRyan Madson 15hJose Contreras 13hJ.C. Romero 9hDanys Baez 6hAntonio Bastardo 2hDavid Herndon 1h
CCarlos Ruiz 118 · Brian Schneider 46 · Dane Sardinha 12
1BRyan Howard 139 · Ross Gload 18 · Mike Sweeney 17
2BChase Utley 114 · Wilson Valdez 42 · Placido Polanco 12
3BPlacido Polanco 123 · Greg Dobbs 36 · Juan Castro 11
SSJimmy Rollins 87 · Wilson Valdez 59 · Brian Bocock 6
LFRaul Ibanez 145 · Ben Francisco 23 · Roy Oswalt 1
CFShane Victorino 143 · Jayson Werth 21 · John Mayberry Jr. 2
RFJayson Werth 135 · Ben Francisco 20 · Domonic Brown 15
DHBen Francisco 5 · Ryan Howard 2 · Greg Dobbs 1
SPRoy Halladay 5.9 · Cole Hamels 3.5 · Joe Blanton 1.6 · Roy Oswalt 1.5 · Kyle Kendrick 0.3
BP★ Brad Lidge 27 · Chad Durbin 15 · Ryan Madson 15 · Jose Contreras 13 · J.C. Romero 9 · Danys Baez 6 · Antonio Bastardo 2 · David Herndon 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Roy Halladay 33 FA-elig 335.9 15.8 -1.9
Chase Utley 31 FA-elig 1155.3 15.3 -2.9
Jayson Werth 31 FA-elig 1565.1 7.5 +4.4
Placido Polanco 34 FA-elig 1323.6 5.2 +3.4
Cole Hamels 26 arb 343.5 6.7 +1.5
Carlos Ruiz 31 arb 1213.3 1.9 +5.8
Shane Victorino 29 FA-elig 1473.2 5.0 +2.4
Jimmy Rollins 31 FA-elig 882.3 8.5 -3.0
Joe Blanton 29 FA-elig 291.6 3.0 +0.8
Roy Oswalt↔ HOU 32 FA-elig 151.5 6.4 -2.9
Ryan Madson 29 FA-elig 551.2 4.8 -2.1
Raul Ibanez 38 FA-elig 1551.1 12.2 -9.5
Ryan Howard 30 FA-elig 1430.9 19.0 -16.8
Ross Gload 34 FA-elig 940.7 1.0 +0.6
Jose Contreras 38 FA-elig 670.7 1.5 +0.0
Wilson Valdez 32 – 1110.5 – –
Ben Francisco 28 arb 880.4 0.5 +0.6
Brad Lidge 33 FA-elig 500.4 12.0 -11.1
Nelson Figueroa↔ HOU 36 FA-elig 130.3 0.2 +0.6
Brian Schneider 33 FA-elig 470.3 1.1 -0.4
Kyle Kendrick 25 arb 330.3 0.5 +0.2
David Herndon 24 pre-arb 470.3 0.4 +0.3
Antonio Bastardo 24 pre-arb 250.3 0.4 +0.3
Vance Worley 22 – 50.2 0.4 +0.1
Dane Sardinha 31 – 130.2 – –
Cody Ransom 34 – 220.2 – –
John Mayberry Jr. 26 – 110.2 0.4 -0.0
Jamie Moyer 47 FA-elig 190.2 8.0 -7.6
Chad Durbin 32 FA-elig 640.2 2.1 -1.8
J.A. Happ↔ HOU 27 arb 30.1 0.1 +0.2
Mike Sweeney↔ SEA 36 FA-elig 260.0 0.3 -0.3
Scott Mathieson 26 – 2-0.0 – –
Mike Zagurski 27 – 8-0.1 – –
Drew Carpenter 25 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Nate Robertson↔ MIA 32 FA-elig 2-0.1 1.0 -1.1
Brian Bocock 25 – 6-0.1 – –
Paul Hoover 34 – 9-0.2 – –
Danys Baez 32 FA-elig 51-0.4 2.5 -3.5
J.C. Romero 34 FA-elig 60-0.5 4.2 -5.4
Domonic Brown 22 – 35-0.7 – –
Greg Dobbs 31 FA-elig 88-1.0 1.4 -3.7
Juan Castro↔ LAD 38 FA-elig 54-1.3 0.7 -3.8

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Roy Halladay5.9
Placido Polanco3.6
Roy Oswalt1.5
Ross Gload0.7
Jose Contreras0.7
Wilson Valdez0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Cliff Lee2.4
Chan Ho Park1.6
Pedro Feliz1.4
Chris Coste0.9
Paul Bako0.7
Pedro Martínez0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$150.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Ryan Howard306.000$19.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M
Roy Halladay3312.000$15.8M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley317.000$15.3M$15.3M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$10.2MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez3814.000$12.2M$12.2MFREE AGENT
Brad Lidge338.000$12.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins3110.000$8.5M$8.5M$11.0M$11.0M$11.0MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4724.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Jayson Werth318.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Roy Oswalt329.000$6.4M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Placido Polanco3412.000$5.2M$5.4M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Shane Victorino297.000$5.0M$7.5M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Madson297.000$4.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
J.C. Romero3411.000$4.2M$900kFREE AGENT
Joe Blanton296.000$3.0M$10.5M$7.1MFREE AGENT
Danys Baez329.000$2.5M$2.8MFREE AGENT
Chad Durbin3211.000$2.1MFREE AGENT$1.1M
Jose Contreras387.000$1.5M$2.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs316.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Brian Schneider3310.000$1.1M$1.6M$800kFREE AGENT
Ross Gload3410.000$1.0M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Nate Robertson328.000$952kFREE AGENT
Juan Castro3815.000$687kFREE AGENT
Mike Sweeney3615.000$302kFREE AGENT
Nelson Figueroa3610.000$174kFREE AGENT
Paul Hoover349.000—FREE AGENT
Cody Ransom349.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Cole Hamels264.000$6.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Ruiz314.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Kendrick253.000$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Francisco283.000$470kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.A. Happ273.000$88kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Antonio Bastardo241.000$405kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Carpenter252.000$401kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Mayberry Jr.261.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Herndon240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vance Worley220.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Sardinha31–—
Wilson Valdez322.096—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Mathieson26–—
Mike Zagurski272.070—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bocock252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domonic Brown220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.