RRosternomics

Athletics OAK

GM: Sandy Alderson

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.08× league · TAB -7.0
-7.0TAB — talent above budget24th/28
-6.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)21st/28
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/28
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/28
22%dead money %16th/28
0.465win %20th/28
25.0roster fWAR21st/28
-12surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/28
$36Mpayroll $M9th/28

Roster

CFStan Javier 101GJose Herrera 22GScott Brosius 22G
LFRickey Henderson 90GStan Javier 32GCraig Paquette 18G
RFGerónimo Berroa 54GScott Brosius 22GAndy Tomberlin 20G
SSMike Bordick 126GMike Gallego 14GCraig Paquette 8G
2BBrent Gates 132GMike Gallego 18GScott Brosius 3G
3BCraig Paquette 75GScott Brosius 60GJason Giambi 30G
1BMark McGwire 91GJason Giambi 26GScott Brosius 18G
STARTERSTodd Stottlemyre 4.0WARSteve Ontiveros 2.4WARTodd Van Poppel 1.8WARDave Stewart 0.7WARRon Darling 0.7WAR
CTerry Steinbach 111GEric Helfand 36GGeorge Williams 13G
DHGerónimo Berroa 72GDanny Tartabull 57GRickey Henderson 18G
BULLPEN Dennis Eckersley 29svMark Acre 0hCarlos Reyes 0hJim Corsi 0hMike Mohler 0hDon Wengert 0hJohn Briscoe 0hChris Eddy 0h
CTerry Steinbach 111 · Eric Helfand 36 · George Williams 13
1BMark McGwire 91 · Jason Giambi 26 · Scott Brosius 18
2BBrent Gates 132 · Mike Gallego 18 · Scott Brosius 3
3BCraig Paquette 75 · Scott Brosius 60 · Jason Giambi 30
SSMike Bordick 126 · Mike Gallego 14 · Craig Paquette 8
LFRickey Henderson 90 · Stan Javier 32 · Craig Paquette 18
CFStan Javier 101 · Jose Herrera 22 · Scott Brosius 22
RFGerónimo Berroa 54 · Scott Brosius 22 · Andy Tomberlin 20
DHGerónimo Berroa 72 · Danny Tartabull 57 · Rickey Henderson 18
SPTodd Stottlemyre 4.0 · Steve Ontiveros 2.4 · Todd Van Poppel 1.8 · Dave Stewart 0.7 · Ron Darling 0.7
BP Dennis Eckersley 29 · Mark Acre 0 · Carlos Reyes 0 · Jim Corsi 0 · Mike Mohler 0 · Don Wengert 0 · John Briscoe 0 · Chris Eddy 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mark McGwire 31 FA-elig 1045.0 6.9 -2.1
Todd Stottlemyre 30 FA-elig 314.0 2.0 +1.8
Terry Steinbach 33 FA-elig 1142.7 4.2 -1.6
Rickey Henderson 36 FA-elig 1122.6 3.8 -1.3
Steve Ontiveros 34 FA-elig 222.4 1.0 +1.3
Stan Javier 31 FA-elig 1302.2 0.7 +1.4
Mike Bordick 29 arb 1262.1 1.4 +0.7
Todd Van Poppel 23 arb 361.8 0.4 +1.3
Geronimo Berroa 30 FA-elig 1411.1 0.2 +0.8
Brent Gates 25 pre-arb 1361.0 0.2 +0.8
Dennis Eckersley 40 FA-elig 520.9 2.9 -2.0
Jason Giambi 24 pre-arb 540.7 0.1 +0.6
Dave Stewart 38 FA-elig 160.7 1.0 -0.3
Ron Darling 34 FA-elig 220.7 3.0 -2.4
Ariel Prieto 25 pre-arb 140.6 0.1 +0.5
George Williams 26 290.5
Doug Johns 27 pre-arb 110.4 0.1 +0.2
Mike Aldrete↔ ANA 34 FA-elig 600.3 0.3 +0.0
Rick Honeycutt↔ NYY 41 FA-elig 490.3 0.2 +0.1
Jim Corsi 33 FA-elig 380.3 0.2 +0.0
Mike Mohler 26 pre-arb 280.2 0.1 +0.1
Don Wengert 25 pre-arb 190.0 0.1 -0.1
Mark Acre 26 pre-arb 430.0 0.1 -0.1
Ramon Fermin 22 1-0.0
Chris Eddy 25 6-0.0
Scott Brosius 28 arb 123-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Scott Baker 25 1-0.0
Jose Herrera 22 pre-arb 33-0.1 0.1 -0.2
John Wasdin 22 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Steve Phoenix 27 1-0.1
Danny Tartabull↔ NYY 32 FA-elig 24-0.1 1.5 -1.6
Carlos Reyes 26 pre-arb 40-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Ernie Young 25 pre-arb 26-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Brian Harper 35 2-0.2
Steve Wojciechowski 24 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Mike Harkey↔ ANA 28 FA-elig 14-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Fausto Cruz 23 8-0.2
Dave Leiper↔ WSN 33 FA-elig 24-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Eric Helfand 26 pre-arb 38-0.2 0.1 -0.3
John Briscoe 27 arb 16-0.5 0.1 -0.6
Mike Gallego 34 FA-elig 43-0.6 0.3 -0.9
Andy Tomberlin 28 pre-arb 46-0.8 0.1 -0.9
Ruben Sierra↔ NYY 29 FA-elig 70-0.9 3.4 -4.3
Craig Paquette 26 pre-arb 105-1.0 0.1 -1.1

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Todd Stottlemyre4.0
Jason Giambi0.7
Dave Stewart0.7
Ariel Prieto0.6
George Williams0.5
Doug Johns0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Troy Neel1.2
Bobby Witt0.9
Steve Karsay0.7
Billy Taylor0.7
Vince Horsman0.3
Eric Fox0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$36.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Mark McGwire319.000$6.9M$7.0M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Terry Steinbach339.000$4.2M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Rickey Henderson3616.000$3.8MFREE AGENT$1.1M
Ruben Sierra299.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Ron Darling3412.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Dennis Eckersley4020.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Todd Stottlemyre307.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Danny Tartabull3211.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Dave Stewart3817.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Steve Ontiveros3410.000$965kFREE AGENT
Stan Javier3111.000$722kFREE AGENT
Mike Aldrete349.000$331kFREE AGENT
Mike Gallego3410.000$300kFREE AGENT
Jim Corsi337.000$239k$450kFREE AGENT
Geronimo Berroa306.000$235k$1.1M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Rick Honeycutt4118.000$188kFREE AGENT
Mike Harkey287.000$175kFREE AGENT
Dave Leiper3311.000$94kFREE AGENT
Brian Harper3516.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (4)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Mike Bordick295.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Todd Van Poppel234.000$397kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Brosius284.000$235kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Briscoe274.000$150kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Brent Gates252.000$190kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Paquette262.000$145kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Reyes261.000$130kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Tomberlin282.000$129kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Mohler262.000$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Acre261.000$120kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Helfand262.000$112kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ernie Young251.000$111kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ariel Prieto250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Johns270.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Herrera220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Giambi240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Don Wengert250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Wasdin220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Wojciechowski240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Baker25
Fausto Cruz23
Chris Eddy25
Ramon Fermin22
Steve Phoenix27
George Williams260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3