RRosternomics
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White Sox CHW

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President of baseball ops: Kenny Williams · GM: Rick Hahn

Overview

FORCED-SPEND → steady
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.34× league · TAB -5.6
-5.6TAB — talent above budget19th/30
-4.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-4.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
30%dead money %15th/30
0.500win %15th/30
32.3roster fWAR16th/30
-73surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$191Mpayroll $M7th/30

Roster

CFLuis Robert Jr. 91GAdam Engel 57GAJ Pollock 37G
LFAJ Pollock 107GAndrew Vaughn 44GEloy Jiménez 30G
RFGavin Sheets 85GAdam Engel 55GAndrew Vaughn 45G
SSElvis Andrus 143GTim Anderson 79GDanny Mendick 22G
2BJosh Harrison 90GLeury García 47GRomy Gonzalez 25G
3BYoán Moncada 101GJake Burger 37GJosh Harrison 23G
1BJosé Abreu 128GAndrew Vaughn 23GGavin Sheets 13G
STARTERSDylan Cease 4.4WARJohnny Cueto 2.4WARLance Lynn 1.8WARLucas Giolito 1.8WARMichael Kopech 1.0WAR
CYasmani Grandal 71GSeby Zavala 58GCarlos Pérez 6G
DHEloy Jiménez 50GJosé Abreu 29GAndrew Vaughn 29G
BULLPEN★ Liam Hendriks 37svKendall Graveman 27hJake Diekman 16hJoe Kelly 15hJosé Ruiz 11hJimmy Lambert 10hReynaldo López 9hMatt Foster 5h
CYasmani Grandal 71 · Seby Zavala 58 · Carlos Pérez 6
1BJosé Abreu 128 · Andrew Vaughn 23 · Gavin Sheets 13
2BJosh Harrison 90 · Leury García 47 · Romy Gonzalez 25
3BYoán Moncada 101 · Jake Burger 37 · Josh Harrison 23
SSElvis Andrus 143 · Tim Anderson 79 · Danny Mendick 22
LFAJ Pollock 107 · Andrew Vaughn 44 · Eloy Jiménez 30
CFLuis Robert Jr. 91 · Adam Engel 57 · AJ Pollock 37
RFGavin Sheets 85 · Adam Engel 55 · Andrew Vaughn 45
DHEloy Jiménez 50 · José Abreu 29 · Andrew Vaughn 29
SPDylan Cease 4.4 · Johnny Cueto 2.4 · Lance Lynn 1.8 · Lucas Giolito 1.8 · Michael Kopech 1.0
BP★ Liam Hendriks 37 · Kendall Graveman 27 · Jake Diekman 16 · Joe Kelly 15 · José Ruiz 11 · Jimmy Lambert 10 · Reynaldo López 9 · Matt Foster 5

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dylan Cease 26 pre-arb 324.4 0.8 +15.3
José Abreu 35 FA-elig 1573.8 19.7 -5.7
Johnny Cueto 36 FA-elig 252.4 3.2 +5.5
Tim Anderson 29 FA-elig 792.2 9.5 -1.3
Luis Robert Jr. 24 pre-arb 982.1 6.0 +1.9
Reynaldo López 28 FA-elig 612.0 2.6 +4.8
Seby Zavala 28 pre-arb 612.0 0.4 +6.9
Elvis Andrus↔ OAK 33 FA-elig 431.9 4.1 +2.8
Lance Lynn 35 FA-elig 211.8 18.5 -11.8
Lucas Giolito 27 FA-elig 301.8 7.5 -1.0
Eloy Jiménez 25 arb 841.6 7.3 -1.3
Liam Hendriks 33 FA-elig 581.6 13.3 -7.5
Josh Harrison 34 FA-elig 1191.4 4.0 +1.3
Michael Kopech 26 pre-arb 251.0 0.7 +3.0
Yoán Moncada 27 FA-elig 1040.8 13.8 -11.0
Danny Mendick 28 pre-arb 310.8 0.7 +2.1
Kendall Graveman 31 FA-elig 650.7 8.0 -5.5
Davis Martin 25 – 140.6 0.2 +1.9
AJ Pollock 34 FA-elig 1380.6 14.5 -12.4
Joe Kelly 34 FA-elig 430.5 7.0 -5.2
Vince Velasquez 30 FA-elig 270.4 3.0 -1.5
Jake Burger 26 pre-arb 510.4 0.4 +0.9
Jimmy Lambert 27 pre-arb 420.3 0.5 +0.7
Aaron Bummer 28 arb 320.3 2.5 -1.4
Tanner Banks 30 – 350.3 0.5 +0.4
Gavin Sheets 26 pre-arb 1240.2 0.7 +0.1
Reese McGuire↔ BOS 27 – 530.2 0.3 +0.3
Matt Foster 27 pre-arb 480.2 0.5 +0.0
Kyle Crick 29 arb 140.1 1.2 -0.8
Anderson Severino 27 – 60.0 0.1 +0.1
Romy Gonzalez 25 pre-arb 320.0 0.2 -0.1
Adam Haseley 26 pre-arb 14-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Carlos Pérez 25 – 7-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Adam Engel 30 arb 119-0.1 2.0 -2.4
Jake Diekman↔ BOS 35 FA-elig 26-0.1 1.3 -1.8
José Ruiz 27 pre-arb 63-0.1 0.7 -1.2
Mark Payton 30 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Bennett Sousa 27 – 25-0.3 0.3 -1.3
Lenyn Sosa 22 – 11-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Ryan Burr 28 – 8-0.3 0.2 -1.4
Dallas Keuchel↔ ARI 34 FA-elig 8-0.4 10.3 -11.6
Yasmani Grandal 33 FA-elig 99-0.5 18.2 -20.1
Andrew Vaughn 24 pre-arb 134-0.6 0.7 -2.9
Leury García 31 FA-elig 97-1.1 5.5 -9.5

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Johnny Cueto2.4
Elvis Andrus1.9
Josh Harrison1.4
Kendall Graveman0.7
Davis Martin0.6
AJ Pollock0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Carlos Rodón4.9
Nick Madrigal1.3
Codi Heuer0.6
Ryan Tepera0.5
Billy Hamilton0.3
Luis González0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$191.2M
2023 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
José Abreu358.000$19.7MFREE AGENT
Lance Lynn3510.119$18.5MFREE AGENT
Yasmani Grandal339.115$18.2MFREE AGENT
AJ Pollock349.052$14.5MFREE AGENT
Liam Hendriks337.164$13.3MFREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel3410.000$10.3MFREE AGENT
Kendall Graveman316.078$8.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Kelly349.029$7.0MFREE AGENT
Leury García317.025$5.5MFREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus3313.000$4.1MFREE AGENT
Josh Harrison349.168$4.0MFREE AGENT
Johnny Cueto3614.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Vince Velasquez306.086$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jake Diekman359.050$1.3MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Yoán Moncada274.106$13.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Anderson295.115$9.5MFREE AGENT
Lucas Giolito274.080$7.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eloy Jiménez253.000$7.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reynaldo López284.004$2.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Bummer283.150$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Engel304.058$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Crick294.047$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Luis Robert Jr.242.000$6.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Cease262.089$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kopech262.041$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ruiz272.048$720kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Vaughn241.000$715kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Sheets260.076$671kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Mendick282.001$671kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Foster271.129$539kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Banks300.000$504kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Lambert271.007$481kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seby Zavala280.080$442kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Burger260.024$396kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bennett Sousa270.000$281kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reese McGuire272.027$279kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Davis Martin250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Romy Gonzalez250.033$188kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Burr282.040$188kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Haseley261.132$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Severino27–$77k
Carlos Pérez25–$69k
Lenyn Sosa220.000$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Payton300.071$54kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.