RRosternomics
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Orioles BAL

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GM: Roland Hemond

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.33× league · TAB +2.8
+2.8TAB — talent above budget12th/28
-5.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/28
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/28
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/28
13%dead money %3rd/28
0.493win %13th/28
36.1roster fWAR8th/28
-10surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/28
$44Mpayroll $M4th/28

Roster

CFCurtis Goodwin 84GBrady Anderson 40GJarvis Brown 13G
LFBrady Anderson 121GKevin Bass 32GBobby Bonilla 32G
RFKevin Bass 53GJeffrey Hammonds 46GBobby Bonilla 38G
SSCal Ripken Jr. 144GManny Alexander 7GJeff Huson 1G
2BManny Alexander 81GBret Barberie 74GJeff Huson 21G
3BBobby Bonilla 70GJeff Manto 69GLeo Gomez 44G
1BRafael Palmeiro 142GJeff Manto 4GLeo Gomez 3G
STARTERSMike Mussina 5.1WARKevin Brown 4.5WARScott Erickson 2.5WARJamie Moyer 1.2WARRick Krivda 1.2WAR
CChris Hoiles 107GGregg Zaun 39GCesar Devarez 6G
DHHarold Baines 113GJeff Manto 9GKevin Bass 8G
BULLPEN★ Doug Jones 22svJesse Orosco 0hArmando Benítez 0hTerry Clark 0hMark Lee 0hMike Oquist 0hGene Harris 0hAlan Mills 0h
CChris Hoiles 107 · Gregg Zaun 39 · Cesar Devarez 6
1BRafael Palmeiro 142 · Jeff Manto 4 · Leo Gomez 3
2BManny Alexander 81 · Bret Barberie 74 · Jeff Huson 21
3BBobby Bonilla 70 · Jeff Manto 69 · Leo Gomez 44
SSCal Ripken Jr. 144 · Manny Alexander 7 · Jeff Huson 1
LFBrady Anderson 121 · Kevin Bass 32 · Bobby Bonilla 32
CFCurtis Goodwin 84 · Brady Anderson 40 · Jarvis Brown 13
RFKevin Bass 53 · Jeffrey Hammonds 46 · Bobby Bonilla 38
DHHarold Baines 113 · Jeff Manto 9 · Kevin Bass 8
SPMike Mussina 5.1 · Kevin Brown 4.5 · Scott Erickson 2.5 · Jamie Moyer 1.2 · Rick Krivda 1.2
BP★ Doug Jones 22 · Jesse Orosco 0 · Armando Benítez 0 · Terry Clark 0 · Mark Lee 0 · Mike Oquist 0 · Gene Harris 0 · Alan Mills 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Rafael Palmeiro 30 FA-elig 1435.6 4.9 +0.5
Mike Mussina 26 arb 325.1 2.9 +2.0
Kevin Brown 30 FA-elig 264.5 4.2 +0.1
Cal Ripken Jr. 34 FA-elig 1444.1 6.7 -2.7
Chris Hoiles 30 FA-elig 1143.7 2.9 +0.7
Brady Anderson 31 FA-elig 1432.9 3.3 -0.5
Scott Erickson↔ MIN 27 arb 172.5 1.0 +1.4
Harold Baines 36 FA-elig 1272.4 1.9 +0.4
Rick Krivda 25 pre-arb 131.2 0.1 +1.0
Jamie Moyer 32 FA-elig 271.2 1.1 +0.0
Bret Barberie 27 arb 901.1 1.0 +0.1
Leo Gomez 29 arb 531.0 0.9 +0.1
Jesse Orosco 38 FA-elig 651.0 0.7 +0.3
Ben McDonald 27 FA-elig 141.0 4.5 -3.6
Bobby Bonilla↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 610.9 2.3 -1.4
Jeff Manto 30 arb 890.6 0.1 +0.5
Gregg Zaun 24 pre-arb 400.6 0.1 +0.4
Doug Jones 38 FA-elig 520.5 1.3 -0.8
Jimmy Haynes 22 – 40.5 – –
Curtis Goodwin 22 pre-arb 870.5 0.1 +0.3
Mark Smith 25 pre-arb 370.4 0.1 +0.3
Terry Clark↔ ATL 34 FA-elig 380.3 0.1 +0.1
Jeff Huson 30 FA-elig 660.3 0.3 -0.0
Arthur Rhodes 25 arb 190.2 0.3 -0.0
Gene Harris↔ PHI 30 FA-elig 30.2 0.1 +0.1
Mike Hartley↔ BOS 33 – 30.2 – –
Joe Borowski 24 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 -0.0
Jack Voigt↔ TEX 29 arb 30.0 0.0 +0.0
Jarvis Brown 28 – 18-0.0 – –
Andy Van Slyke↔ PHI 34 FA-elig 17-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Mark Lee 30 FA-elig 39-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Brad Pennington↔ CIN 26 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Scott Klingenbeck↔ MIN 24 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Jim Dedrick 27 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Cesar Devarez 25 – 6-0.2 – –
Sid Fernandez↔ PHI 32 FA-elig 8-0.3 1.0 -1.2
Damon Buford↔ NYM 25 pre-arb 24-0.3 0.0 -0.3
John DeSilva 27 pre-arb 2-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Armando Benitez 22 pre-arb 44-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Sherman Obando 25 pre-arb 16-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Alan Mills 28 – 21-0.4 – –
Manny Alexander 24 arb 94-0.5 0.1 -0.6
Matt Nokes↔ COL 31 FA-elig 26-0.5 0.5 -1.0
Mike Oquist 27 pre-arb 27-0.5 0.1 -0.6
Jeffrey Hammonds 24 pre-arb 57-0.9 0.2 -1.1
Kevin Bass 36 FA-elig 111-1.5 0.4 -1.9

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Kevin Brown4.5
Scott Erickson2.5
Rick Krivda1.2
Bret Barberie1.1
Jesse Orosco1.0
Bobby Bonilla0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Mark Eichhorn1.6
Tim Hulett Sr.1.2
Mark McLemore1.0
Lee Smith0.8
Mark Williamson0.3
Jeff Tackett0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$44.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Cal Ripken Jr.3414.000$6.7M$6.7M$6.8M$6.4M$6.5M$6.3M$6.3M
Rafael Palmeiro309.000$4.9M$5.4M$5.3M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Ben McDonald276.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Kevin Brown309.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Brady Anderson317.000$3.3M$3.6M$4.0M$5.4M$5.7M$7.1M$7.2M
Chris Hoiles306.000$2.9M$3.4M$3.6M$3.6MFREE AGENT
Bobby Bonilla329.000$2.3M$5.1MFREE AGENT
Harold Baines3615.000$1.9MFREE AGENT$1.3M$1.3M$1.4M$1.5M
Doug Jones3813.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer329.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Sid Fernandez3212.000$982kFREE AGENT
Jesse Orosco3816.000$650k$750k$1.1M$1.1M$800kFREE AGENT
Matt Nokes3110.000$506kFREE AGENT
Kevin Bass3613.000$415kFREE AGENT
Jeff Huson307.000$265k$320kFREE AGENT
Mark Lee307.000$150kFREE AGENT
Andy Van Slyke3412.000$128kFREE AGENT
Terry Clark347.000$125kFREE AGENT
Gene Harris306.000$56kFREE AGENT
Mike Hartley336.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Mike Mussina264.000$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Erickson275.000$989kFREE AGENT
Bret Barberie274.000$959kARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Gomez295.000$925kFREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes254.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Manto305.000$140kFREE AGENT
Manny Alexander243.000$130kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Voigt293.000$13kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarvis Brown284.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Mills285.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Jeffrey Hammonds242.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sherman Obando252.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Oquist272.000$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Armando Benitez221.000$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Smith251.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Borowski240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Goodwin220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John DeSilva272.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Dedrick270.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregg Zaun240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Krivda250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Pennington262.000$77kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damon Buford252.000$49kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Klingenbeck241.000$27kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Devarez25–—
Jimmy Haynes220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Orioles 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.