RRosternomics
HF

Howard Fox

Sep 4, 1920 (Emporia, VA) – Jun 28, 2011 · died at 90

General manager for the Twins (1985–1985).

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record77–85
Win %0.475
+1.1GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.849th/195 execs
8.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)22nd/195 execs
-1.4Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)1st/195 execs
11%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)1st/195 execs
$3MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track153rd/195 execs
$2MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)154th/195 execs
$1MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade116th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees135th/195 execs
+6.0TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total64th/195 execs
+2.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)62nd/195 execs
Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)191st/195 execs
+2Roster surplus $M42nd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Twins GM 1985–1985 1 +2.8 +2.82 +6.0 +9.1 +1.4 +8.6 +0.0 +0.0 0.475 +2
Career total (1985+ data) 1 +2.8 +6.0 +9.1 +1.4 +8.6 +0.0 +0.0 0.475 +2

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+1.4
Trade+8.6
Free agency+0.0
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 15% draft · 0% FA · 85% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Howard Fox's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 8 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Bert Blyleven P MIN Trade 1985 4 +8.3 +2.1
Lenny Webster C MIN Draft 1985 3 +0.9 +0.3
Paul Abbott P MIN Draft 1985 2 +0.5 +0.2
Dennis Burtt P MIN Trade 1985 1 +0.1 +0.1
Mike Stenhouse OF MIN Trade 1985 1 +0.1 +0.1
Mark Brown P MIN Trade 1985 -0.0
Álvaro Espinoza SS MIN Trade 1985 1 -0.3 -0.3
Tom Klawitter P MIN Trade 1985 -0.4

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset