Blue Jays TOR
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Blue Jays TORGM: Ross Atkins · partial season
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 5.5 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3.0 |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 2.1 |
| Spencer Miles | 2.0 |
| Tyler Rogers | 1.1 |
| José Soriano | 0.6 |
| Player | 2025 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 3.8 |
| Chris Bassitt | 2.4 |
| Joey Loperfido | 0.7 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 0.3 |
| Ty France | 0.2 |
| Alan Roden | 0.2 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Blue Jays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman↔ | 2022–2026 | +20.5 | +358.5 | 103.5 | +255.0 | $5.1M | 2.19× | Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $22.0M AAV |
| Dylan Cease | 2026 | +5.5 | +109.9 | 25.3 | +84.6 | $4.6M | 2.50× | Free Agent · 2026–2032 · $30.0M AAV |
| George Springer | 2021–2026 | +15.6 | +187.2 | 150.1 | +37.1 | $9.6M | 1.51× | Free Agent · 2021–2026 · $25.0M AAV |
| Nathan Lukes | 2026 | +2.2 | +21.2 | 0.8 | +20.4 | $0.4M | 1.22× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 2026 | +3.0 | +26.4 | 8.2 | +18.1 | $2.8M | 1.12× | Free agent · 2026–2029 · $15.0M AAV |
| Spencer Miles | 2026 | +2.0 | +15.6 | 0.8 | +14.8 | $0.4M | 0.98× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Alejandro Kirk | 2026 | +2.8 | +22.1 | 8.7 | +13.4 | $3.2M | 1.00× | Arb extension · 2026–2030 · $11.6M AAV |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 2026 | +2.1 | +12.8 | 0.8 | +12.1 | $0.4M | 0.76× | – |
| Trey Yesavage | 2026 | +1.3 | +10.2 | 0.8 | +9.4 | $0.6M | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| José Soriano↔ | 2026 | +0.6 | +4.6 | 0.9 | +3.7 | $1.6M | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.9M AAV |
| Tyler Rogers | 2026 | +1.1 | +11.6 | 8.7 | +2.9 | $8.0M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2029 · $12.3M AAV |
| Mason Fluharty | 2026 | +0.6 | +3.4 | 0.8 | +2.6 | $1.2M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Patrick Corbin | 2026 | +0.4 | +3.6 | 0.9 | +2.6 | $2.2M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV |
| Jonatan Clase | 2026 | +0.3 | +2.3 | 0.8 | +1.5 | $2.4M | 0.83× | – |
| Andrés Giménez | 2025–2026 | +3.8 | +26.8 | 26.1 | +0.7 | $6.8M | 0.86× | Pre-arb extension · 2023–2030 · $15.2M AAV |
| Paul Sewald↔ | 2026 | +0.1 | +1.1 | 0.4 | +0.7 | $4.1M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV |
| Connor Seabold↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Max Scherzer | 2026 | +0.3 | +2.6 | 3.0 | -0.4 | $9.2M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV |
| Tommy Nance↔ | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 0.5 | -0.4 | $37.9M | 0.67× | – |
| Adam Macko↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.5 | – | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.1M AAV |
| Simeon Woods Richardson↔ | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | -0.5 | – | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Tyler Heineman↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | – | 0.69× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV |
| Eloy Jiménez | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.6 | – | 0.69× | – |
| Braydon Fisher | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 0.8 | -0.7 | $41.2M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Josh Fleming | 2026 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | -0.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Addison Barger | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 0.8 | -1.1 | – | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Yohendrick Piñango | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.6 | -1.1 | – | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Brendon Little | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -1.2 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Davis Schneider | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.3 | -1.3 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Daulton Varsho↔ | 2026 | +1.1 | +6.2 | 7.6 | -1.4 | $6.8M | 0.69× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $10.8M AAV |
| Ernie Clement | 2026 | +0.6 | +2.8 | 4.6 | -1.8 | $7.4M | 0.56× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.6M AAV |
| Lazaro Estrada | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 0.0 | -1.8 | – | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Jameson Taillon↔ | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.3 | 3.0 | -2.7 | $96.5M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2023–2026 · $17.0M AAV |
| Lenyn Sosa↔ | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 0.5 | -2.7 | – | 0.56× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Myles Straw | 2026 | +0.7 | +4.6 | 7.4 | -2.8 | $10.8M | 0.83× | Pre-arb extension · 2022–2024 · $5.0M AAV |
| Spencer Arrighetti↔ | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 0.2 | -2.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Michael Lorenzen↔ | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 1.5 | -2.9 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $8.0M AAV |
| Chase Lee | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.4 | 0.6 | -3.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Austin Voth↔ | 2026 | -0.5 | -2.8 | 0.3 | -3.1 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Jeff Hoffman↔ | 2026 | +1.1 | +6.0 | 9.1 | -3.1 | $8.0M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV |
| Cody Ponce | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 6.0 | -5.3 | $67.1M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $10.0M AAV |
| Eric Lauer↔ | 2026 | -0.6 | -4.9 | 1.1 | -6.0 | – | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.4M AAV |
| Jesús Sánchez↔ | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 6.4 | -7.5 | – | 0.83× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV |
| Yariel Rodríguez | 2024–2026 | +1.0 | +8.1 | 17.6 | -9.5 | $18.3M | 0.78× | Free agent · 2024–2028 · $6.4M AAV |
| Shane Bieber | 2025–2026 | +0.4 | +3.4 | 19.2 | -15.8 | $46.2M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $13.0M AAV |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2026 | +1.0 | +4.4 | 40.2 | -35.8 | $40.5M | 0.56× | – |
| Joe Mantiply | 2026 | +0.2 | +0.9 | 0.9 | +0.0 | $5.3M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV |
| Matt Waldron↔ | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.2 | +0.0 | $5.0M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Daz Cameron | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.2 | – | – | – | 0.83× | – |
| Josh Smith↔ | 2026 | +0.4 | +1.7 | – | – | – | 0.56× | – |
| Louis Varland | 2026 | +3.1 | +63.1 | – | – | – | 2.57× | – |
| Luis Urías | 2026 | +0.3 | +1.5 | – | – | – | 0.56× | – |
| Total | — | +67.7 | +899.0 | 471.5 | +362.3 | — | ||
Every graded 2026 deal involving the Blue Jays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 21 total.
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.8M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$0.8M
SFG · Buster Posey
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$4.8M
ANA · Perry Minasian
−$4.8M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$5.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$5.6M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$0.8M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$0.8M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$2.4M
TEX · Chris Young
−$2.4M
KCR · J.J. Picollo
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
CHC · Jed Hoyer
+$4.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$4.0M
CHW · Chris Getz
+$2.4M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$2.4M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$1.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$1.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$1.6M
ARI · Mike Hazen
−$1.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$5.6M
MIA · Peter Bendix
−$5.6M
CHC · Jed Hoyer
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
LAD · Andrew Friedman
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
OAK · David Forst
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
LAD · Andrew Friedman
+$0.8M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$0.8M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.8M
ANA · Perry Minasian
−$0.8M
TEX · Chris Young
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
DET · Scott Harris
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
HOU · Dana Brown
+$1.6M
TOR · Ross Atkins
−$1.6M
LAD · Andrew Friedman
+$0.0M
TOR · Ross Atkins
+$0.0M
What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax threshold | $244M | $247M | $250M | $253M | $256M | $259M | $262M |
| Guaranteed contracts | $198M | $130M | $120M | $95M | $72M | $27M | |
| Proj. arbitration | $17M | ||||||
| Proj. pre-arbitration | $8M | ||||||
| Player benefits | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | |
| Total CBT payroll | $241M | $148M | $138M | $113M | $90M | $45M | |
| Tax space | +$3M | +$99M | +$112M | +$140M | +$166M | +$214M | |
| Est. tax bill | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-2 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 27 | 7.000 | $40.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Dylan Cease | 30 | 6.089 | $25.3M | $33.3M | $32.3M | $31.3M | $30.3M | $29.3M | $28.3M |
| George Springer | 36 | 11.166 | $24.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Kevin Gausman | 35 | 11.151 | $16.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Shane Bieber | 31 | 7.097 | $16.0MPLAYER | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Andrés Giménez | 27 | 5.106 | $15.6M | $23.6M | $23.6M | $23.6M | $23.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT | |
| Jeff Hoffman | 33 | 7.084 | $9.1M | $12.7M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Alejandro Kirk | 27 | 5.047 | $8.7M | $12.3M | $12.3M | $12.3M | $12.3M | FREE AGENT | |
| Tyler Rogers | 35 | 6.034 | $8.7M | $13.7M | $13.7M | $9.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT | ||
| Kazuma Okamoto | 30 | – | $8.2M | $17.2M | $17.2M | $17.2M | FREE AGENT | ||
| Myles Straw | 31 | 5.125 | $7.4M | $8.0MCLUB | $8.5MCLUB | FREE AGENT | |||
| Yariel Rodríguez | 29 | 2.000 | $7.0M | $8.0M | $6.3MPLAYER | FREE AGENT | |||
| Cody Ponce | 32 | 0.126 | $6.0M | $12.0M | $12.0M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jameson Taillon | 34 | 9.110 | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Max Scherzer | 41 | 17.079 | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Michael Lorenzen | 34 | 10.159 | $1.5M | $9.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Patrick Corbin | 36 | 13.105 | $947k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Paul Sewald | 36 | 7.072 | $411k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Eloy Jiménez | 29 | 7.000 | $91k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Josh Fleming | 30 | 6.000 | $5k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Luis Urías | 29 | 6.098 | — | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daulton Varsho | 29 | 5.128 | $7.6M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jesús Sánchez | 28 | 4.118 | $6.4M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ernie Clement | 30 | 3.168 | $4.6M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Eric Lauer | 31 | 5.091 | $1.1M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Joe Mantiply | 35 | 4.057 | $936k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| José Soriano | 27 | 3.121 | $906k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Tyler Heineman | 35 | 3.066 | $517k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Austin Voth | 34 | 5.115 | $342k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Josh Smith | 28 | 4.000 | — | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Louis Varland | 28 | 4.000 | — | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonatan Clase | 24 | 0.109 | $820k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Addison Barger | 26 | 1.098 | $811k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Nathan Lukes | 31 | 1.145 | $808k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Mason Fluharty | 24 | 0.139 | $797k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Braydon Fisher | 25 | 0.130 | $797k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Trey Yesavage | 22 | 0.014 | $789k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Spencer Miles | 25 | – | $780k | ||||||
| Brandon Valenzuela | 25 | – | $772k | ||||||
| Yohendrick Piñango | 24 | – | $638k | ||||||
| Chase Lee | 27 | 0.095 | $551k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Lenyn Sosa | 26 | 2.044 | $502k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Tommy Nance | 35 | 2.165 | $455k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Adam Macko | 25 | – | $407k | ||||||
| Davis Schneider | 27 | 2.029 | $270k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Spencer Arrighetti | 26 | 2.000 | $211k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Simeon Woods Richardson | 25 | 1.153 | $198k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Connor Seabold | 30 | 1.054 | $190k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Matt Waldron | 29 | 1.107 | $187k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Brendon Little | 29 | 1.135 | $52k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Lazaro Estrada | 27 | 0.004 | $25k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Daz Cameron | 29 | 2.162 | — | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Blue Jays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.