Rosternomics

Blue Jays TOR

202668–70 (0.493)
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GM: Ross Atkins · partial season

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$238M
Win %
0.493
TAB
-3.2
WAB
-6.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
35.8
Dead money %
22%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-4.8
Farm System
Total Proj. WAR
54.3
Pitching Proj. WAR
27.8
Hitting Proj. WAR
26.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2026 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BBrandon Valenzuela73
RAlejandro Kirk56
BTyler Heineman32

1B

RVladimir Guerrero Jr.109
RKazuma Okamoto13
RLenyn Sosa12
Charles McAdoo8
Sean Keys6
BBrandon Valenzuela5

2B

RErnie Clement112
RLuis Urías24
RLenyn Sosa14
RDavis Schneider11
Charles McAdoo10
LJosh Smith9

3B

RKazuma Okamoto121
RErnie Clement14
Charles McAdoo5
LJosh Smith4
Sean Keys1

SS

LAndrés Giménez128
RErnie Clement33

LF

RMyles Straw58
RDavis Schneider47
LYohendrick Piñango44
LJesús Sánchez41
LNathan Lukes13
BJonatan Clase8
RDaz Cameron8
RErnie Clement3
RGeorge Springer2
Charles McAdoo1
Brett Bateman1
LJosh Smith1

CF

RMyles Straw36
Brett Bateman17
LNathan Lukes11
BJonatan Clase1
RDaz Cameron1

RF

LNathan Lukes93
LJesús Sánchez42
RMyles Straw37
LYohendrick Piñango20
LAddison Barger8
Brett Bateman5

DH

RGeorge Springer100
RVladimir Guerrero Jr.14
LJesús Sánchez11
RLenyn Sosa9
REloy Jiménez9
Sean Keys5
RMyles Straw2
RDavis Schneider2
RAlejandro Kirk2
BBrandon Valenzuela2
RKazuma Okamoto2
LDaulton Varsho1
BTyler Heineman1
LYohendrick Piñango1

Starters

RDylan Cease5.1 WAR
RKevin Gausman2.6 WAR
RSpencer Miles1.5 WAR
RTrey Yesavage1.3 WAR
LMason Fluharty0.5 WAR
LPatrick Corbin0.4 WAR
RJose Soriano0.4 WAR
RShane Bieber0.1 WAR
RBraydon Fisher0.1 WAR
RJameson Taillon0.1 WAR
RCody Ponce0.1 WAR
LAdam Macko-0.0 WAR
RSpencer Arrighetti-0.1 WAR
RMax Scherzer-0.2 WAR
LEric Lauer-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

RLouie Varland31 sv
RTyler Rogers29 h
LMason Fluharty15 h
LBrendon Little3 h
RJeff Hoffman0 h
RTommy Nance0 h
LAdam Macko0 h
LJoe Mantiply0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2025)

PlayerfWAR
Dylan Cease5.1
Kazuma Okamoto2.5
Brandon Valenzuela1.9
Spencer Miles1.5
Tyler Rogers1.0
Patrick Corbin0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2025)

Player2025 fWAR
Bo Bichette3.8
Chris Bassitt2.4
Joey Loperfido0.7
Seranthony Domínguez0.3
Ty France0.2
Alan Roden0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Blue Jays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Kevin Gausman 2022–2026 +20.9 +366.9 105.9 +261.0 $5.1M 2.19× Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Dylan Cease 2026 +6.0 +120.0 25.3 +94.7 $4.2M 2.50× Free Agent · 2026–2032 · $30.0M AAV
George Springer 2021–2026 +16.1 +192.3 150.1 +42.3 $9.3M 1.51× Free Agent · 2021–2026 · $25.0M AAV
Nathan Lukes 2026 +1.9 +18.5 0.8 +17.7 $0.4M 1.22× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Trey Yesavage 2026 +1.5 +18.4 0.8 +17.6 $0.5M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Kazuma Okamoto 2026 +2.9 +25.7 8.2 +17.4 $2.9M 1.12× Free agent · 2026–2029 · $15.0M AAV
Spencer Miles 2026 +1.8 +14.0 0.8 +13.2 $0.4M 0.98× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Brandon Valenzuela 2026 +2.2 +13.3 0.8 +12.6 $0.4M 0.76×
Alejandro Kirk 2026 +2.6 +21.2 8.7 +12.5 $3.3M 1.00× Arb extension · 2026–2030 · $11.6M AAV
Tyler Rogers 2026 +1.2 +13.1 8.7 +4.4 $7.1M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2029 · $12.3M AAV
José Soriano 2026 +0.5 +4.2 0.5 +3.7 $1.0M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.9M AAV
Patrick Corbin 2026 +0.5 +4.3 0.9 +3.3 $1.8M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Mason Fluharty 2026 +0.6 +3.1 0.8 +2.3 $1.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ernie Clement 2026 +1.5 +6.5 4.6 +1.9 $3.1M 0.56× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.6M AAV
Jonatan Clase 2026 +0.4 +2.7 0.8 +1.9 $2.0M 0.83×
Andrés Giménez 2025–2026 +4.0 +27.8 26.1 +1.7 $6.6M 0.86× Pre-arb extension · 2023–2030 · $15.2M AAV
Joe Mantiply 2026 +0.3 +1.4 0.9 +0.4 $3.7M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Paul Sewald 2026 +0.1 +0.6 0.2 +0.4 $3.4M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Braydon Fisher 2026 +0.1 +0.7 0.8 -0.1 $5.9M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Michael Lorenzen 2026 +0.0 +0.2 0.3 -0.1 $8.1M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $8.0M AAV
Connor Seabold 2026 -0.0 -0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tommy Nance 2026 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.4 $32.1M 0.67×
Adam Macko 2026 -0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.6 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.1M AAV
Simeon Woods Richardson 2026 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.6 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Eloy Jiménez 2026 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 0.69×
Tyler Heineman 2026 -0.0 -0.2 0.6 -0.8 0.69× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Josh Fleming 2026 -0.2 -1.0 0.0 -1.0 0.67×
Spencer Arrighetti 2026 -0.1 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 1.02×
Addison Barger 2026 -0.1 -0.3 0.8 -1.1 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jameson Taillon 2026 +0.1 +1.1 2.1 -1.1 $16.3M 1.02× Free Agent · 2023–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Yohendrick Piñango 2026 -0.1 -0.5 0.6 -1.2 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Daulton Varsho 2026 +1.3 +7.3 8.6 -1.3 $6.5M 0.69× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $10.8M AAV
Lazaro Estrada 2026 -0.4 -2.1 0.0 -2.1 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Davis Schneider 2026 -0.4 -2.7 0.3 -2.9 0.83×
Brendon Little 2026 -0.5 -2.9 0.1 -3.0 0.67×
Lenyn Sosa 2026 -0.6 -2.5 0.5 -3.0 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Myles Straw 2026 +0.7 +4.3 7.4 -3.1 $11.4M 0.83× Pre-arb extension · 2022–2024 · $5.0M AAV
Jeff Hoffman 2026 +1.3 +7.1 10.6 -3.4 $7.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV
Austin Voth 2026 -0.6 -3.2 0.3 -3.6 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Chase Lee 2026 -0.7 -3.6 0.6 -4.2 0.67×
Max Scherzer 2026 -0.2 -1.4 3.0 -4.4 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Cody Ponce 2026 +0.1 +0.9 6.0 -5.1 $57.0M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $10.0M AAV
Jesús Sánchez 2026 +0.1 +0.4 6.8 -6.4 $113.3M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Eric Lauer 2026 -0.7 -5.7 1.2 -6.9 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.4M AAV
Yariel Rodríguez 2024–2026 +0.9 +8.0 17.6 -9.6 $18.9M 0.78× Free agent · 2024–2028 · $6.4M AAV
Shane Bieber 2025–2026 +0.4 +3.5 19.2 -15.6 $44.0M 1.02× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $13.0M AAV
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2026 +0.8 +3.5 40.2 -36.7 $51.6M 0.56×
Matt Waldron 2026 +0.0 +0.2 0.2 +0.0 $4.6M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Daz Cameron 2026 -0.2 -1.4 0.83×
Josh Smith 2026 +0.3 +1.5 0.56×
Louis Varland 2026 +3.2 +66.1 2.57×
Luis Urías 2026 +0.4 +1.8 0.56×
Total+69.7+931.2474.3+388.8

Trades

Every graded 2026 deal involving the Blue Jays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 21 total.

2026 · MIN / TOR Jun 3, 2026
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
TOR · Ross Atkins −$0.8M
Simeon Woods Richardson
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / ANA Aug 3, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$3.2M
José Soriano
ANA · Perry Minasian −$3.2M
Arjun Nimmala#38.7, Angel Rivero, Eddie Micheletti Jr.
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / TOR Apr 4, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Tyler Fitzgerald
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / MIN Aug 3, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$1.6M
Dasan Hill, John Klein, Dameury Pena
MIN · Derek Falvey −$1.6M
Jeff Hoffman
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / HOU Aug 3, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$1.6M
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Daulton Varsho
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / MIA Mar 29, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$5.6M
Dub Gleed
MIA · Peter Bendix −$5.6M
Leo Jimenez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / TEX Aug 3, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$1.6M
Josh Smith, Josh Stephan
TEX · Chris Young −$1.6M
Adam Macko
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / KCR Jun 15, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Denis Samudio
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$0.0M
Connor Seabold
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CHW / TOR Apr 13, 2026
CHW · Chris Getz +$2.4M
Jordan Rich
TOR · Ross Atkins −$2.4M
Lenyn Sosa
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIN / TOR Jul 10, 2026
MIN · Derek Falvey +$2.4M
Tommy Nance
TOR · Ross Atkins −$2.4M
Ryan Sprock
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / ARI Jun 20, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$1.6M
Luis Urías
ARI · Mike Hazen −$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / LAD Sep 1, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
José Rodríguez
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
Sebastian Rodriguez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · OAK / TOR Jun 27, 2026
OAK · David Forst +$0.0M
Hayden Juenger
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Owen Carapellotti
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · LAD / TOR May 17, 2026
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$1.6M
Eric Lauer
TOR · Ross Atkins −$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CHC / TOR Aug 2, 2026
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.0M
Kevin Gausman
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Brett Bateman, Ty Southisene
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / ANA Jun 17, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
ANA · Perry Minasian −$0.8M
Tyler Heineman
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CHC / TOR Aug 2, 2026
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
TOR · Ross Atkins −$2.4M
Jameson Taillon
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TEX / TOR Apr 24, 2026
TEX · Chris Young +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Willie MacIver
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / DET May 27, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Connor Seabold
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Juanmi Vasquez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / TOR Feb 13, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Joey Loperfido
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Jesús Sánchez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TOR / LAD Apr 28, 2026
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
Tyler Fitzgerald
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2026 payroll
$238.4M
luxury tax $223M
2027 guaranteed
$149.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Summary — luxury-tax (CBT) basis

2026202720282029203020312032
Tax threshold$244M$247M$250M$253M$256M$259M$262M
Guaranteed contracts$198M$130M$120M$95M$72M$27M
Proj. arbitration$17M
Proj. pre-arbitration$8M
Player benefits$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M
Total CBT payroll$241M$148M$138M$113M$90M$45M
Tax space+$3M+$99M+$112M+$140M+$166M+$214M
Est. tax bill

Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-2 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.

Guaranteed / signed (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.277.000$40.2MFREE AGENT
Dylan Cease306.089$25.3M$33.3M$32.3M$31.3M$30.3M$29.3M$28.3M
George Springer3611.166$24.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Gausman3511.151$18.9MFREE AGENT
Shane Bieber317.097$16.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Andrés Giménez275.106$15.6M$23.6M$23.6M$23.6M$23.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jeff Hoffman337.084$10.6M$12.7MFREE AGENT
Alejandro Kirk275.047$8.7M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3MFREE AGENT
Tyler Rogers356.034$8.7M$13.7M$13.7M$9.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Kazuma Okamoto30$8.2M$17.2M$17.2M$17.2MFREE AGENT
Myles Straw315.125$7.4M$8.0MCLUB$8.5MCLUBFREE AGENT
Yariel Rodríguez292.000$7.0M$8.0M$6.3MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Cody Ponce320.126$6.0M$12.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Max Scherzer4117.079$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jameson Taillon349.110$2.1MFREE AGENT
Patrick Corbin3613.105$947kFREE AGENT
Michael Lorenzen3410.159$287k$9.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Paul Sewald367.072$176kFREE AGENT
Eloy Jiménez297.000$91kFREE AGENT
Josh Fleming306.000$5kFREE AGENT
Luis Urías296.098FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Daulton Varsho295.128$8.6MFREE AGENT
Jesús Sánchez284.118$6.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ernie Clement303.168$4.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Lauer315.091$1.2MFREE AGENT
Joe Mantiply354.057$936kFREE AGENT
Tyler Heineman353.066$610kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Soriano273.121$537kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Voth345.115$342kFREE AGENT
Josh Smith284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Louis Varland284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Jonatan Clase240.109$820kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Addison Barger261.098$811kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nathan Lukes311.145$808kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Fluharty240.139$797kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braydon Fisher250.130$797kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Yesavage220.014$789kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Miles25$780k
Brandon Valenzuela25$772k
Yohendrick Piñango24$638k
Chase Lee270.095$551kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Nance352.165$529kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Macko25$509k
Lenyn Sosa262.044$502kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Davis Schneider272.029$270kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Waldron291.107$199kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Simeon Woods Richardson251.153$198kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Seabold301.054$190kFREE AGENT
Spencer Arrighetti262.000$76kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendon Little291.135$52kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lazaro Estrada270.004$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daz Cameron292.162ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Blue Jays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.