RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

President of baseball ops: Chris Young

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.63× league · TAB -11.2
-11.2TAB — talent above budget27th/30
-10.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
32%dead money %13th/30
0.481win %21st/30
29.1roster fWAR21st/30
-142surplus $M (value vs cost)30th/30
$263Mpayroll $M4th/30

Roster

CFLeody Taveras 148GTravis Jankowski 15GWyatt Langford 15G
LFWyatt Langford 105GEvan Carter 33GTravis Jankowski 26G
RFAdolis García 131GTravis Jankowski 31GEvan Carter 9G
SSCorey Seager 113GJosh Smith 49GEzequiel Duran 9G
2BMarcus Semien 159GEzequiel Duran 5GJonathan Ornelas 4G
3BJosh Smith 83GJosh Jung 40GEzequiel Duran 28G
1BNathaniel Lowe 138GJared Walsh 16GEzequiel Duran 12G
STARTERSNathan Eovaldi 2.6WARAndrew Heaney 2.2WARJon Gray 1.8WARCody Bradford 1.5WARMax Scherzer 0.6WAR
CJonah Heim 119GCarson Kelly 84GAndrew Knizner 34G
DHTravis Jankowski 25GWyatt Langford 25GAdolis García 23G
BULLPEN Kirby Yates 33svDavid Robertson 34hJosé Leclerc 13hAndrew Chafin 13hJacob Latz 9hGrant Anderson 1hChase Anderson 0hMatt Festa 0h
CJonah Heim 119 · Carson Kelly 84 · Andrew Knizner 34
1BNathaniel Lowe 138 · Jared Walsh 16 · Ezequiel Duran 12
2BMarcus Semien 159 · Ezequiel Duran 5 · Jonathan Ornelas 4
3BJosh Smith 83 · Josh Jung 40 · Ezequiel Duran 28
SSCorey Seager 113 · Josh Smith 49 · Ezequiel Duran 9
LFWyatt Langford 105 · Evan Carter 33 · Travis Jankowski 26
CFLeody Taveras 148 · Travis Jankowski 15 · Wyatt Langford 15
RFAdolis García 131 · Travis Jankowski 31 · Evan Carter 9
DHTravis Jankowski 25 · Wyatt Langford 25 · Adolis García 23
SPNathan Eovaldi 2.6 · Andrew Heaney 2.2 · Jon Gray 1.8 · Cody Bradford 1.5 · Max Scherzer 0.6
BP Kirby Yates 33 · David Robertson 34 · José Leclerc 13 · Andrew Chafin 13 · Jacob Latz 9 · Grant Anderson 1 · Chase Anderson 0 · Matt Festa 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Corey Seager 30 FA-elig 1234.6 35.0 -15.6
Marcus Semien 33 FA-elig 1594.3 26.0 -8.2
Wyatt Langford 22 pre-arb 1343.1 0.7 +12.1
Nathaniel Lowe 28 arb 1402.9 7.5 +4.7
Josh Smith 26 pre-arb 1492.9 0.7 +11.5
Nathan Eovaldi 34 FA-elig 292.6 16.0 -5.1
Andrew Heaney 33 FA-elig 322.2 13.0 -3.9
Kirby Yates 37 FA-elig 611.9 4.5 +3.4
David Robertson 39 FA-elig 681.8 10.0 -2.3
Jon Gray 32 FA-elig 241.8 13.0 -5.5
Cody Bradford 26 pre-arb 141.5 0.7 +5.6
Leody Taveras 25 arb 1511.2 2.5 +2.4
José Leclerc 30 FA-elig 640.8 6.2 -2.9
Max Scherzer 39 FA-elig 90.6 43.3 -40.8
Jacob deGrom 36 FA-elig 30.4 40.0 -38.4
Matt Festa↔ NYM 31 pre-arb 180.4 0.2 +1.4
Josh Sborz 30 arb 170.4 1.0 +0.5
Josh Jung 26 pre-arb 460.3 0.8 +0.7
Derek Hill↔ MIA 28 160.2 0.1 +0.9
Michael Lorenzen↔ KCR 32 FA-elig 190.2 3.3 -2.4
Ezequiel Duran 25 pre-arb 920.2 0.8 +0.0
Carson Kelly↔ DET 29 FA-elig 310.2 1.2 -0.4
Tyler Mahle 29 FA-elig 30.2 5.5 -4.7
Kumar Rocker 24 30.2 0.1 +0.7
Dustin Harris 24 20.2 0.0 +0.6
Matt Duffy 33 FA-elig 40.1 0.0 +0.6
Robbie Grossman↔ CHW 34 460.1 0.5 -0.0
Evan Carter 21 pre-arb 450.1 0.7 -0.3
Shaun Anderson↔ MIA 29 20.1 0.0 +0.2
José Ureña 32 FA-elig 330.0 1.8 -1.6
Marc Church 23 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Sam Huff 26 arb 3-0.0 0.7 -0.7
Cole Winn 24 pre-arb 13-0.0 0.7 -0.7
Walter Pennington↔ KCR 26 15-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Daniel Robert 29 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Jonah Heim 29 arb 131-0.1 3.0 -3.3
Owen White 24 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.7 -1.1
Dane Dunning 29 arb 26-0.1 3.3 -3.7
Sandro Fabian 26 3-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Chase Anderson↔ BOS 36 FA-elig 2-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Jared Walsh 30 arb 17-0.1 1.2 -1.8
Jonathan Ornelas 24 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.7 -1.3
Gerson Garabito 28 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.7 -1.3
Adolis García 31 FA-elig 154-0.1 4.8 -5.3
Brock Burke↔ ANA 27 arb 13-0.2 0.4 -1.0
Jesus Tinoco↔ CHC 29 arb 9-0.2 0.2 -1.0
Travis Jankowski 33 FA-elig 104-0.2 1.7 -2.7
Jack Leiter 24 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.7 -1.8
Davis Wendzel 27 pre-arb 27-0.3 0.7 -1.8
Jacob Latz 28 arb 46-0.3 0.7 -1.9
Andrew Chafin↔ DET 34 FA-elig 21-0.3 1.6 -3.0
Austin Pruitt 34 4-0.4 0.6 -2.0
Jonathan Hernández↔ SEA 27 arb 26-0.4 1.1 -2.8
Yerry Rodríguez↔ TOR 26 pre-arb 12-0.6 0.6 -2.9
Andrew Knizner 29 arb 37-0.6 1.8 -4.4
Justin Foscue 25 pre-arb 15-0.8 0.7 -4.1
Grant Anderson 27 pre-arb 23-0.9 0.7 -4.7

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Wyatt Langford3.1
Kirby Yates1.9
David Robertson1.8
Matt Festa0.4
Derek Hill0.2
Michael Lorenzen0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Mitch Garver2.2
Jordan Montgomery1.6
Will Smith1.1
Aroldis Chapman0.5
Martín Pérez0.3
John King0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$263.4M
2025 guaranteed
$98.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Max Scherzer3915.079$43.3MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Jacob deGrom369.139$40.0M$40.1M$38.0M$37.0MFREE AGENT
Corey Seager308.032$35.0M$32.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M
Marcus Semien339.118$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Nathan Eovaldi3412.013$16.0MFREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney338.150$13.0MFREE AGENT
Jon Gray328.062$13.0MFREE AGENT
David Robertson3914.119$10.0MFREE AGENT
José Leclerc307.041$6.2MFREE AGENT
Tyler Mahle296.018$5.5MFREE AGENT
Kirby Yates379.021$4.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Lorenzen328.159$3.3MFREE AGENT
José Ureña327.045$1.8MFREE AGENT
Travis Jankowski336.153$1.7MFREE AGENT
Andrew Chafin349.020$1.6MFREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman349.060$495kFREE AGENT
Chase Anderson368.141$86kFREE AGENT
Matt Duffy338.059$27kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Nathaniel Lowe283.145$7.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adolis García313.095$4.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Dunning293.083$3.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Heim293.097$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Knizner294.021$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Walsh305.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Carson Kelly295.161$1.2MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jonathan Hernández273.131$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Sborz303.055$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Pruitt345.055$567kFREE AGENT
Brock Burke273.065$396kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Leody Taveras252.124$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Jung261.027$756kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ezequiel Duran251.072$754kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Smith262.000$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Bradford260.086$748kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Anderson270.083$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Carter210.024$745kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Latz280.022$741kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Owen White240.006$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Leiter240.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wyatt Langford220.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Foscue250.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Ornelas240.030$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Davis Wendzel270.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Winn240.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Huff261.150$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerson Garabito280.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yerry Rodríguez260.044$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tinoco291.010$208kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Festa311.119$185kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Walter Pennington26$179k
Sandro Fabian26$91k
Derek Hill281.095$66kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Robert290.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kumar Rocker240.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shaun Anderson292.014$25kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Harris240.000$20kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Church230.000$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3