RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

FORCED-SPEND → steady
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.38× league · TAB -4.1
-4.1TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-10.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-6.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/30
32%dead money %14th/30
0.469win %18th/30
34.2roster fWAR16th/30
-54surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$144Mpayroll $M6th/30

Roster

CFGrégor Blanco 76GÁngel Pagán 71GAndres Torres 30G
LFGrégor Blanco 72GAndres Torres 56GRoger Kieschnick 25G
RFHunter Pence 162GJeff Francoeur 55GAndres Torres 2G
SSBrandon Crawford 147GJoaquin Arias 24GEhire Adrianza 6G
2BMarco Scutaro 121GTony Abreu 30GNick Noonan 22G
3BPablo Sandoval 137GJoaquin Arias 55GNick Noonan 15G
1BBrandon Belt 143GBuster Posey 21GBrett Pill 13G
STARTERSMadison Bumgarner 3.5WARTim Lincecum 1.4WARMatt Cain 1.0WARChad Gaudin 0.9WARYusmeiro Petit 0.8WAR
CBuster Posey 121GGuillermo Quiroz 35GHéctor Sánchez 33G
DHBuster Posey 5GMarco Scutaro 3GPablo Sandoval 1G
BULLPEN★ Sergio Romo 38svSantiago Casilla 22hJavier López 15hJean Machi 11hJeremy Affeldt 11hJose Mijares 6hSandy Rosario 6hGeorge Kontos 5h
CBuster Posey 121 · Guillermo Quiroz 35 · Héctor Sánchez 33
1BBrandon Belt 143 · Buster Posey 21 · Brett Pill 13
2BMarco Scutaro 121 · Tony Abreu 30 · Nick Noonan 22
3BPablo Sandoval 137 · Joaquin Arias 55 · Nick Noonan 15
SSBrandon Crawford 147 · Joaquin Arias 24 · Ehire Adrianza 6
LFGrégor Blanco 72 · Andres Torres 56 · Roger Kieschnick 25
CFGrégor Blanco 76 · Ángel Pagán 71 · Andres Torres 30
RFHunter Pence 162 · Jeff Francoeur 55 · Andres Torres 2
DHBuster Posey 5 · Marco Scutaro 3 · Pablo Sandoval 1
SPMadison Bumgarner 3.5 · Tim Lincecum 1.4 · Matt Cain 1.0 · Chad Gaudin 0.9 · Yusmeiro Petit 0.8
BP★ Sergio Romo 38 · Santiago Casilla 22 · Javier López 15 · Jean Machi 11 · Jeremy Affeldt 11 · Jose Mijares 6 · Sandy Rosario 6 · George Kontos 5

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Buster Posey 26 arb 1486.7 8.0 +9.9
Hunter Pence 30 FA-elig 1624.5 13.8 -1.6
Brandon Belt 25 pre-arb 1504.2 0.5 +10.7
Madison Bumgarner 23 arb 313.5 0.8 +8.7
Marco Scutaro 37 FA-elig 1272.5 6.7 +0.0
Grégor Blanco 29 arb 1412.2 1.4 +4.5
Brandon Crawford 26 pre-arb 1492.2 0.5 +5.3
Pablo Sandoval 26 arb 1412.0 5.7 -0.2
Ángel Pagán 31 FA-elig 711.5 8.2 -4.2
Tim Lincecum 29 FA-elig 321.4 22.0 -18.3
Juan Carlos Perez 26 – 341.2 – –
Sergio Romo 30 arb 651.0 3.5 -0.7
Matt Cain 28 FA-elig 301.0 20.0 -17.2
Jean Machi 31 pre-arb 510.9 0.3 +2.1
Chad Gaudin 30 FA-elig 300.9 0.8 +1.7
Yusmeiro Petit 28 pre-arb 80.8 0.1 +2.0
Javier López 35 FA-elig 690.7 4.2 -2.3
Héctor Sánchez 23 pre-arb 630.7 0.5 +1.4
Joaquin Arias 28 FA-elig 1020.7 0.9 +0.9
Tony Abreu 28 FA-elig 530.4 0.5 +0.7
Jose Mijares 28 arb 600.4 1.8 -0.7
Heath Hembree 24 – 90.2 0.1 +0.4
Ehire Adrianza 23 – 90.2 0.1 +0.4
Andres Torres 35 FA-elig 1030.2 2.0 -1.6
Brett Pill 28 pre-arb 480.1 0.5 -0.1
Francisco Peguero 25 pre-arb 18-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Sandy Rosario 27 pre-arb 43-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Johnny Monell 27 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Kensuke Tanaka 32 – 15-0.1 – –
Santiago Casilla 32 FA-elig 57-0.1 4.5 -4.9
Nick Noonan 24 pre-arb 62-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Cole Gillespie↔ CHC 29 – 3-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Eric Surkamp 25 pre-arb 1-0.3 0.5 -1.2
Jake Dunning 24 – 29-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Roger Kieschnick 26 pre-arb 38-0.3 0.2 -1.0
Ramon E Ramirez 31 – 6-0.3 – –
George Kontos 28 pre-arb 52-0.3 0.5 -1.4
Guillermo Quiroz 31 FA-elig 43-0.4 0.6 -1.5
Jeff Francoeur↔ KCR 29 FA-elig 22-0.4 2.0 -3.1
Jeremy Affeldt 34 FA-elig 39-0.5 6.0 -7.4
Mike Kickham 24 – 12-0.5 0.1 -1.6
Guillermo Moscoso 29 pre-arb 13-0.6 0.2 -1.7
Barry Zito 35 FA-elig 30-0.7 20.0 -21.9
Ryan Vogelsong 35 FA-elig 19-0.7 5.0 -7.0

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Carlos Perez1.2
Chad Gaudin0.9
Tony Abreu0.4
Heath Hembree0.2
Ehire Adrianza0.2
Andres Torres0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Melky Cabrera4.5
Nate Schierholtz0.5
Ryan Theriot0.2
Xavier Nady0.1
Eli Whiteside0.1
Dan Otero0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$143.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Matt Cain2811.038$20.0M$20.0M$21.0M$21.0M$21.0MFREE AGENT
Barry Zito3512.072$20.0MFREE AGENT
Ángel Pagán316.144$8.2M$10.2M$10.2M$11.2MFREE AGENT
Marco Scutaro379.138$6.7M$6.7MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Affeldt3411.000$6.0M$6.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Vogelsong356.020$5.0M$5.0M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Javier López3510.167$4.2M$4.0M$4.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francoeur298.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Chad Gaudin307.104$750kFREE AGENT
Ramon E Ramirez317.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Tim Lincecum295.148$22.0MFREE AGENT
Hunter Pence305.156$13.8MFREE AGENT
Pablo Sandoval264.047$5.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Santiago Casilla325.148$4.5MFREE AGENT
Sergio Romo304.097$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Andres Torres355.115$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Mijares284.024$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joaquin Arias283.071$925kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Quiroz313.013$575kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Buster Posey262.161$8.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grégor Blanco292.164$1.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Madison Bumgarner232.127$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Belt251.128$532kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Crawford261.094$530kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Sánchez231.037$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Abreu282.170$498kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Pill280.142$494kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Kontos280.140$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Surkamp251.033$490kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Noonan240.151$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sandy Rosario270.138$324kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jean Machi312.154$319kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Moscoso291.097$185kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Kieschnick260.062$169kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Kickham240.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Peguero250.087$123kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit282.137$120kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Dunning24–$110k
Johnny Monell270.101$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ehire Adrianza230.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Hembree240.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Gillespie290.111$6kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Carlos Perez260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kensuke Tanaka32–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.