RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Bill Giles

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.94× league · TAB -1.3
-1.3TAB — talent above budget14th/26
+5.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/26
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/26
-2.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/26
35%dead money %14th/26
0.534win %8th/26
31.9roster fWAR12th/26
-1surplus $M (value vs cost)14th/26
$10Mpayroll $M15th/26

Roster

CFMilt Thompson 89GRon Roenicke 63GJeff Stone 25G
LFGary Redus 89GJeff Stone 37GVon Hayes 24G
RFGlenn Wilson 153GRon Roenicke 8GGreg Gross 6G
SSSteve Jeltz 141GLuis Aguayo 20GGreg Legg 1G
2BJuan Samuel 143GLuis Aguayo 31GGreg Legg 4G
3BMike Schmidt 124GRick Schu 58GLuis Aguayo 1G
1BVon Hayes 134GMike Schmidt 35GGreg Gross 5G
STARTERSBruce Ruffin 2.2WARKevin Gross 1.9WARShane Rawley 1.7WARDon Carman 1.2WARFreddie Toliver 0.8WAR
CJohn Russell 89GDarren Daulton 48GRonn Reynolds 42G
BULLPEN Steve Bedrosian 29svKent Tekulve 0hDan Schatzeder 0hTom Hume 0hDave Rucker 0hMike Jackson 0hTom Gorman 0hRandy Lerch 0h
CJohn Russell 89 · Darren Daulton 48 · Ronn Reynolds 42
1BVon Hayes 134 · Mike Schmidt 35 · Greg Gross 5
2BJuan Samuel 143 · Luis Aguayo 31 · Greg Legg 4
3BMike Schmidt 124 · Rick Schu 58 · Luis Aguayo 1
SSSteve Jeltz 141 · Luis Aguayo 20 · Greg Legg 1
LFGary Redus 89 · Jeff Stone 37 · Von Hayes 24
CFMilt Thompson 89 · Ron Roenicke 63 · Jeff Stone 25
RFGlenn Wilson 153 · Ron Roenicke 8 · Greg Gross 6
SPBruce Ruffin 2.2 · Kevin Gross 1.9 · Shane Rawley 1.7 · Don Carman 1.2 · Freddie Toliver 0.8
BP Steve Bedrosian 29 · Kent Tekulve 0 · Dan Schatzeder 0 · Tom Hume 0 · Dave Rucker 0 · Mike Jackson 0 · Tom Gorman 0 · Randy Lerch 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1986 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Schmidt 36 FA-elig 1605.8 2.1 -0.4
Von Hayes 27 arb 1584.8 0.7 +0.8
Juan Samuel 25 arb 1452.9 0.5 +0.3
Glenn Wilson 27 arb 1552.5 0.5 +0.2
Bruce Ruffin 22 pre-arb 212.2 0.1 +0.6
Kent Tekulve 39 FA-elig 732.0 0.9 -0.3
Gary Redus 29 arb 902.0 0.3 +0.2
Kevin Gross 25 arb 371.9 0.4 +0.2
Shane Rawley 30 FA-elig 231.7 0.8 -0.3
Ron Roenicke 29 arb 1021.3 0.1 +0.3
Darren Daulton 24 arb 491.2 0.1 +0.3
Don Carman 26 arb 501.2 0.2 +0.2
Freddie Toliver 25 pre-arb 50.8 0.1 +0.2
Jeff Stone 25 arb 820.7 0.1 +0.1
Milt Thompson 27 pre-arb 960.6 0.1 +0.1
Mike Maddux 24 pre-arb 160.5 0.1 +0.1
Tom Hume 33 FA-elig 480.4 0.8 -0.7
Greg Legg 26 110.3
Larry Andersen↔ HOU 33 FA-elig 100.3 0.0 +0.1
Rick Schu 24 pre-arb 920.3 0.1 -0.0
Steve Bedrosian 28 arb 680.3 0.7 -0.6
Greg Gross 33 FA-elig 870.3 0.4 -0.3
Steve Jeltz 27 arb 1450.3 0.1 +0.0
Jeff Bittiger 24 30.1
Marvin Freeman 23 30.1
Tom Gorman 28 80.1
Dave Stewart↔ OAK 29 FA-elig 80.1 0.0 +0.0
Randy Lerch 31 40.0
Rocky Childress 24 20.0
John Russell 25 pre-arb 930.0 0.1 -0.1
Chris James 23 16-0.0
Francisco Melendez 22 9-0.0
Garry Maddox 36 6-0.1
Tom Foley↔ WSN 26 arb 39-0.2 0.1 -0.1
Mike Jackson 21 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.1 -0.1
Steve Carlton↔ CHW 41 FA-elig 16-0.2 0.5 -0.6
Ronn Reynolds 27 arb 43-0.3 0.1 -0.1
Joe Lefebvre 30 14-0.3
Dan Schatzeder↔ WSN 31 FA-elig 25-0.3 0.2 -0.3
Luis Aguayo 27 FA-elig 62-0.3 0.3 -0.4
Charles Hudson 27 arb 36-0.3 0.3 -0.4
Dave Rucker 28 19-0.4

Key additions (new vs 1985)

PlayerfWAR
Bruce Ruffin2.2
Gary Redus2.0
Ron Roenicke1.3
Milt Thompson0.6
Mike Maddux0.5
Tom Hume0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1985)

Player1985 fWAR
John Denny2.8
Ozzie Virgil Jr.2.2
Bo Diaz0.2
Rick Surhoff0.1
Jerry Koosman0.0
Dave Shipanoff-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1986 payroll
$10.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1986, 1986–1992. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Mike Schmidt3614.000$2.1M$2.1M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Kent Tekulve3912.000$890k$925k$850kFREE AGENT
Tom Hume339.000$800k$96kFREE AGENT
Shane Rawley308.000$800k$800k$900kFREE AGENT
Steve Carlton4121.000$500kFREE AGENT
Greg Gross3313.000$375k$420k$320kFREE AGENT
Luis Aguayo276.000$275k$325k$189kFREE AGENT
Dan Schatzeder319.000$179k$228kFREE AGENT
Larry Andersen3311.000$50kFREE AGENT
Dave Stewart298.000$13kFREE AGENT
Garry Maddox3614.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Von Hayes275.000$650kFREE AGENT
Steve Bedrosian285.000$650kFREE AGENT
Juan Samuel253.000$512kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Wilson274.000$488kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Gross253.000$355kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Redus294.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Hudson273.000$278kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Don Carman263.000$165kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Stone253.000$100kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Roenicke295.000$85kFREE AGENT
Darren Daulton243.000$80kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Foley263.000$80kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Jeltz273.000$70kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronn Reynolds274.000$66kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Gorman285.000FREE AGENT
Dave Rucker285.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Rick Schu242.000$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Russell252.000$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milt Thompson272.000$95kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Jackson210.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Maddux240.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Toliver252.000$60kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Ruffin220.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Bittiger240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rocky Childress24
Marvin Freeman230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris James230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Lefebvre30
Greg Legg26
Randy Lerch31
Francisco Melendez222.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 1986; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3