RRosternomics

Brewers MIL

GM: Sal Bando

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.75× league · TAB -4.0
-4.0TAB — talent above budget14th/28
-2.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)13th/28
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars25th/28
-2.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/28
32%dead money %15th/28
0.461win %19th/28
19.0roster fWAR15th/28
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/28
$24Mpayroll $M22nd/28

Roster

CFAlex Diaz 59GTurner Ward 52GDarryl Hamilton 32G
LFGreg Vaughn 81GTurner Ward 35GTroy O'Leary 13G
RFMatt Mieske 80GTurner Ward 25GAlex Diaz 20G
SSJose Valentin 83GBill Spiers 35GPat Listach 16G
2BJody Reed 106GJose Valentin 18GAlex Diaz 2G
3BKevin Seitzer 43GJeff Cirillo 37GBill Spiers 35G
1BJohn Jaha 73GKevin Seitzer 35GB.J. Surhoff 8G
STARTERSRicky Bones 2.3WARBill Wegman 1.8WARBob Scanlan 1.6WARCal Eldred 1.3WARJaime Navarro 1.0WAR
CDave Nilsson 60GDave Valle 40GMike Matheny 27G
DHDave Nilsson 42GBrian Harper 36GGreg Vaughn 14G
BULLPEN Mike Fetters 17svGraeme Lloyd 0hJesse Orosco 0hDoug Henry 0hJose Mercedes 0hJeff Bronkey 0hMark Kiefer 0h
CDave Nilsson 60 · Dave Valle 40 · Mike Matheny 27
1BJohn Jaha 73 · Kevin Seitzer 35 · B.J. Surhoff 8
2BJody Reed 106 · Jose Valentin 18 · Alex Diaz 2
3BKevin Seitzer 43 · Jeff Cirillo 37 · Bill Spiers 35
SSJose Valentin 83 · Bill Spiers 35 · Pat Listach 16
LFGreg Vaughn 81 · Turner Ward 35 · Troy O'Leary 13
CFAlex Diaz 59 · Turner Ward 52 · Darryl Hamilton 32
RFMatt Mieske 80 · Turner Ward 25 · Alex Diaz 20
DHDave Nilsson 42 · Brian Harper 36 · Greg Vaughn 14
SPRicky Bones 2.3 · Bill Wegman 1.8 · Bob Scanlan 1.6 · Cal Eldred 1.3 · Jaime Navarro 1.0
BP Mike Fetters 17 · Graeme Lloyd 0 · Jesse Orosco 0 · Doug Henry 0 · Jose Mercedes 0 · Jeff Bronkey 0 · Mark Kiefer 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ricky Bones 25 arb 242.3 0.3 +2.3
Jose Valentin 24 pre-arb 972.2 0.1 +2.5
Bill Wegman 31 FA-elig 191.8 2.4 -0.3
Bob Scanlan 27 arb 301.6 0.5 +1.4
Jody Reed 31 FA-elig 1081.5 0.8 +1.0
Greg Vaughn 28 arb 951.5 3.0 -1.3
Turner Ward 29 arb 1021.4 0.2 +1.4
Cal Eldred 26 arb 251.3 0.4 +1.2
Jaime Navarro 27 arb 291.0 2.4 -1.3
Mike Fetters 29 arb 420.9 0.4 +0.6
Kevin Seitzer 32 FA-elig 800.9 0.7 +0.3
Jeff Cirillo 24 pre-arb 390.7 0.1 +0.7
Dave Valle↔ BOS 33 FA-elig 160.6 0.4 +0.3
B.J. Surhoff 29 FA-elig 400.6 2.5 -1.8
Matt Mieske 26 pre-arb 840.6 0.1 +0.6
Graeme Lloyd 27 pre-arb 430.6 0.2 +0.5
Mike Ignasiak 28 230.5
Darryl Hamilton 29 FA-elig 360.5 1.8 -1.2
Dave Nilsson 24 pre-arb 1090.4 0.2 +0.3
Rick Wrona 30 60.4
Bill Spiers 28 arb 730.2 0.5 -0.2
Pat Listach 26 pre-arb 160.1 0.5 -0.4
Alex Diaz 25 pre-arb 790.1 0.1 -0.0
Jesse Orosco 37 FA-elig 400.1 0.8 -0.7
John Jaha 28 pre-arb 840.0 0.2 -0.2
Angel Miranda 24 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Mike Matheny 23 pre-arb 28-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Bronkey 28 pre-arb 16-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Brian Harper 34 FA-elig 64-0.2 1.0 -1.2
Troy O'Leary 24 27-0.2
Tom Brunansky↔ BOS 33 FA-elig 16-0.2 0.3 -0.5
Jose Mercedes 23 pre-arb 19-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Teddy Higuera 36 FA-elig 17-0.5 3.5 -4.1
Mark Kiefer 25 pre-arb 7-0.5 0.1 -0.7
Doug Henry 30 arb 25-0.7 0.2 -1.0

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Bob Scanlan1.6
Jody Reed1.5
Turner Ward1.4
Jeff Cirillo0.7
Dave Valle0.6
Rick Wrona0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Robin Yount1.7
Mike Boddicker0.5
Joe Kmak0.3
Carlos Maldonado0.2
Josias Manzanillo0.0
Jim Austin-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$23.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Teddy Higuera369.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
B.J. Surhoff297.000$2.5M$425kFREE AGENT
Bill Wegman319.000$2.4M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Darryl Hamilton296.000$1.8M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Brian Harper3415.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jesse Orosco3715.000$775kFREE AGENT
Jody Reed317.000$750kFREE AGENT
Kevin Seitzer328.000$675k$939k$986kFREE AGENT
Dave Valle3310.000$417kFREE AGENT
Tom Brunansky3313.000$275kFREE AGENT
Rick Wrona306.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Greg Vaughn285.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jaime Navarro275.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Bob Scanlan273.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Spiers285.000$450kFREE AGENT
Mike Fetters295.000$400kFREE AGENT
Cal Eldred263.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Bones253.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Henry303.000$180kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Turner Ward294.000$160kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Ignasiak283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Pat Listach262.000$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Jaha282.000$226kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Nilsson242.000$182kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Graeme Lloyd271.000$152kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Bronkey281.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Mieske261.000$113kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Valentin242.000$113kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Miranda241.000$112kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Diaz252.000$112kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Matheny230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Kiefer251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Mercedes230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy O'Leary241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3