RRosternomics

Royals KCR

GM: Herk Robinson

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 1.27× league · TAB -3.2
-3.2TAB — talent above budget12th/28
+3.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/28
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/28
26%dead money %9th/28
0.557win %9th/28
24.1roster fWAR10th/28
-14surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/28
$40Mpayroll $M4th/28

Roster

CFBrian McRae 110GDave Henderson 6GKevin Koslofski 1G
LFVince Coleman 99GDave Henderson 17GKeith Miller 4G
RFFelix Jose 98GDave Henderson 17GKevin Koslofski 1G
SSGreg Gagne 106GDavid Howard 15GTerry Shumpert 1G
2BJosé Lind 84GTerry Shumpert 38GDavid Howard 3G
3BGary Gaetti 85GDavid Howard 25GTerry Shumpert 24G
1BWally Joyner 86GBob Hamelin 24GGary Gaetti 9G
STARTERSKevin Appier 4.0WARDavid Cone 3.8WARMark Gubicza 2.7WARTom Gordon 2.2WARBob Milacki 0.5WAR
CMike Macfarlane 81GBrent Mayne 42G
DHBob Hamelin 67GDave Henderson 14GWally Joyner 11G
BULLPEN Jeff Montgomery 27svBilly Brewer 0hHipolito Pichardo 0hStan Belinda 0hRusty Meacham 0hMike Magnante 0hJose De Jesus 0hJeff Granger 0h
CMike Macfarlane 81 · Brent Mayne 42
1BWally Joyner 86 · Bob Hamelin 24 · Gary Gaetti 9
2BJosé Lind 84 · Terry Shumpert 38 · David Howard 3
3BGary Gaetti 85 · David Howard 25 · Terry Shumpert 24
SSGreg Gagne 106 · David Howard 15 · Terry Shumpert 1
LFVince Coleman 99 · Dave Henderson 17 · Keith Miller 4
CFBrian McRae 110 · Dave Henderson 6 · Kevin Koslofski 1
RFFelix Jose 98 · Dave Henderson 17 · Kevin Koslofski 1
DHBob Hamelin 67 · Dave Henderson 14 · Wally Joyner 11
SPKevin Appier 4.0 · David Cone 3.8 · Mark Gubicza 2.7 · Tom Gordon 2.2 · Bob Milacki 0.5
BP Jeff Montgomery 27 · Billy Brewer 0 · Hipolito Pichardo 0 · Stan Belinda 0 · Rusty Meacham 0 · Mike Magnante 0 · Jose De Jesus 0 · Jeff Granger 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kevin Appier 26 arb 234.0 3.8 +0.8
David Cone 31 FA-elig 233.8 5.0 -0.6
Mark Gubicza 31 FA-elig 222.7 0.6 +2.5
Bob Hamelin 26 pre-arb 1012.4 0.1 +2.7
Tom Gordon 26 FA-elig 242.2 2.6 -0.1
Gary Gaetti 35 FA-elig 902.1 0.1 +2.4
Wally Joyner 32 FA-elig 971.6 4.6 -2.8
Mike Macfarlane 30 FA-elig 921.5 2.6 -0.9
Greg Gagne 32 FA-elig 1071.2 3.0 -1.6
Jeff Montgomery 32 FA-elig 421.0 3.2 -2.0
Felix Jose 29 FA-elig 990.9 1.9 -0.9
Brian McRae 26 arb 1140.7 1.9 -1.0
David Howard 27 arb 460.6 0.2 +0.5
Hipolito Pichardo 24 pre-arb 450.6 0.3 +0.4
Chris Haney 25 arb 60.5 0.2 +0.4
Bob Milacki 29 100.5
Rusty Meacham 26 360.4
Jose De Jesus 29 50.3
Mike Magnante 29 arb 360.2 0.2 +0.1
Billy Brewer 26 pre-arb 500.2 0.2 +0.0
Brent Mayne 26 arb 460.1 0.5 -0.4
Jose Lind 30 FA-elig 850.1 2.4 -2.3
Terry Shumpert 27 arb 64-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Stan Belinda 27 arb 37-0.0 1.6 -1.7
Tom Goodwin 25 arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Kevin Koslofski 27 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Granger 22 2-0.1
Keith Miller 31 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.7 -0.9
Hubie Brooks 37 FA-elig 34-0.6 0.3 -1.1
Dave Henderson 35 FA-elig 56-0.7 0.8 -1.6
Vince Coleman 32 FA-elig 104-1.6 3.3 -5.1

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Bob Milacki0.5
Jose De Jesus0.3
Tom Goodwin-0.1
Dave Henderson-0.7
Vince Coleman-1.6

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Kevin McReynolds0.7
Chris Gwynn0.5
Craig Wilson0.4
Rico Rossy0.2
John Habyan0.1
Rick Reed0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$40.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
David Cone318.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Wally Joyner328.000$4.6M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Vince Coleman329.000$3.3M$163kFREE AGENT
Jeff Montgomery327.000$3.2M$4.2M$2.1M$2.3M$2.8M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Greg Gagne3211.000$3.0M$4.4MFREE AGENT
Tom Gordon266.000$2.6M$3.3MFREE AGENT
Mike Macfarlane307.000$2.6MFREE AGENT$850k$888k$698k
Jose Lind307.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Felix Jose296.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Dave Henderson3513.000$750kFREE AGENT
Keith Miller317.000$700kFREE AGENT
Mark Gubicza3110.000$610k$750k$1.6MFREE AGENT
Hubie Brooks3714.000$350kFREE AGENT
Gary Gaetti3513.000$109k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jose De Jesus296.000FREE AGENT
Bob Milacki296.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Kevin Appier265.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Brian McRae264.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Stan Belinda275.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Brent Mayne264.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
David Howard273.000$220kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Shumpert274.000$205kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Haney253.000$193kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Magnante293.000$180kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Goodwin253.000$144kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rusty Meacham263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (5)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Hipolito Pichardo242.000$295kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Brewer261.000$165kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Koslofski272.000$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Hamelin261.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Granger221.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Royals 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3