RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

GM: Kenny Williams

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.26× league · TAB +2.5
+2.5TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+3.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/30
22%dead money %3rd/30
0.543win %11th/30
39.6roster fWAR10th/30
-22surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/30
$115Mpayroll $M8th/30

Roster

CFAlex Rios 143GAndruw Jones 17GAlejandro De Aza 9G
LFJuan Pierre 149GAndruw Jones 12GBrent Lillibridge 1G
RFCarlos Quentin 104GAndruw Jones 62GMark Teahen 10G
SSAlexei Ramirez 156GOmar Vizquel 9GBrent Lillibridge 4G
2BGordon Beckham 126GBrent Lillibridge 25GOmar Vizquel 19G
3BOmar Vizquel 83GMark Teahen 52GDayan Viciedo 23G
1BPaul Konerko 125GMark Kotsay 38GDayan Viciedo 7G
STARTERSJohn Danks 4.3WARGavin Floyd 4.1WARMark Buehrle 3.7WAREdwin Jackson 1.9WARJake Peavy 1.7WAR
CA.J. Pierzynski 127GRamon Castro 34GDonny Lucy 7G
DHMark Kotsay 47GManny Ramirez 29GCarlos Quentin 23G
BULLPEN Bobby Jenks 27svMatt Thornton 21hJ.J. Putz 14hSergio Santos 14hScott Linebrink 4hChris Sale 2hRamon Pena 1hRandy Williams 1h
CA.J. Pierzynski 127 · Ramon Castro 34 · Donny Lucy 7
1BPaul Konerko 125 · Mark Kotsay 38 · Dayan Viciedo 7
2BGordon Beckham 126 · Brent Lillibridge 25 · Omar Vizquel 19
3BOmar Vizquel 83 · Mark Teahen 52 · Dayan Viciedo 23
SSAlexei Ramirez 156 · Omar Vizquel 9 · Brent Lillibridge 4
LFJuan Pierre 149 · Andruw Jones 12 · Brent Lillibridge 1
CFAlex Rios 143 · Andruw Jones 17 · Alejandro De Aza 9
RFCarlos Quentin 104 · Andruw Jones 62 · Mark Teahen 10
DHMark Kotsay 47 · Manny Ramirez 29 · Carlos Quentin 23
SPJohn Danks 4.3 · Gavin Floyd 4.1 · Mark Buehrle 3.7 · Edwin Jackson 1.9 · Jake Peavy 1.7
BP Bobby Jenks 27 · Matt Thornton 21 · J.J. Putz 14 · Sergio Santos 14 · Scott Linebrink 4 · Chris Sale 2 · Ramon Pena 1 · Randy Williams 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
John Danks 25 arb 324.3 3.5 +6.6
Alexei Ramirez 28 pre-arb 1564.1 1.2 +8.5
Gavin Floyd 27 FA-elig 314.1 2.8 +7.0
Mark Buehrle 31 FA-elig 333.7 14.0 -5.3
Paul Konerko 34 FA-elig 1493.5 12.0 -3.7
Alex Rios 29 FA-elig 1473.3 10.2 -2.5
Juan Pierre 32 FA-elig 1602.6 7.0 -0.9
Matt Thornton 33 FA-elig 612.2 2.2 +2.9
Edwin Jackson↔ ARI 26 FA-elig 111.9 1.5 +3.0
Jake Peavy 29 FA-elig 171.7 15.0 -11.1
J.J. Putz 33 FA-elig 601.5 3.0 +0.4
Andruw Jones 33 FA-elig 1071.4 0.5 +2.8
Bobby Jenks 29 arb 551.4 7.5 -4.3
A.J. Pierzynski 33 FA-elig 1281.4 6.8 -3.6
Freddy Garcia 33 FA-elig 281.3 1.0 +2.1
Ramon Castro 34 FA-elig 371.1 0.8 +1.9
Sergio Santos 26 pre-arb 560.9 0.4 +1.7
Gordon Beckham 23 pre-arb 1310.8 0.4 +1.5
Chris Sale 21 210.6 0.1 +1.2
Donny Lucy 27 arb 70.2 0.4 +0.1
Dayan Viciedo 21 pre-arb 380.2 1.2 -0.7
Erick Threets 28 110.2
Daniel Hudson↔ ARI 23 30.2 0.0 +0.4
Manny Ramirez↔ LAD 38 FA-elig 240.2 5.0 -4.6
Ramon Pena 28 arb 520.2 1.2 -0.8
Alejandro De Aza 26 190.1 0.4 -0.3
Carlos Torres 27 pre-arb 50.0 0.4 -0.3
Gregory Infante 22 50.0
Brent Morel 23 210.0
Lucas Harrell 25 8-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Tyler Flowers 24 8-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Omar Vizquel 43 FA-elig 108-0.0 1.4 -1.4
Jeff Marquez 25 1-0.1
Scott Linebrink 33 FA-elig 52-0.1 5.0 -5.2
Randy Williams 34 FA-elig 27-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Carlos Quentin 27 arb 131-0.3 3.2 -3.8
Brent Lillibridge 26 64-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Jayson Nix↔ CLE 27 pre-arb 24-0.4 0.1 -1.0
Mark Teahen 28 arb 77-0.9 3.8 -6.0
Mark Kotsay 34 FA-elig 107-1.2 1.5 -4.4

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Pierre2.6
Edwin Jackson1.9
J.J. Putz1.5
Andruw Jones1.4
Sergio Santos0.9
Chris Sale0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Scott Podsednik2.0
Jose Contreras1.9
D.J. Carrasco1.2
Clayton Richard1.2
Jim Thome0.9
Chris Getz0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$115.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Jake Peavy298.000$15.0M$16.0M$17.0M$8.2MFREE AGENT
Mark Buehrle3110.000$14.0M$14.0MFREE AGENT
Paul Konerko3413.000$12.0M$12.0M$12.0M$13.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Alex Rios296.000$10.2M$12.5M$12.0M$8.7MFREE AGENT
Juan Pierre3210.000$7.0M$8.5MFREE AGENT
A.J. Pierzynski3312.000$6.8M$2.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Linebrink3310.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Manny Ramirez3817.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
J.J. Putz337.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Gavin Floyd276.000$2.8M$5.0M$7.0M$9.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Thornton336.000$2.2M$3.0M$5.5M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Edwin Jackson267.000$1.5M$5.2MFREE AGENT
Mark Kotsay3413.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel4321.000$1.4M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Freddy Garcia3311.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Ramon Castro3411.000$800k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Andruw Jones3314.000$500kFREE AGENT
Randy Williams346.000$415kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Bobby Jenks295.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Teahen285.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
John Danks253.000$3.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Quentin274.000$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Pena284.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alejandro De Aza263.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donny Lucy273.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Threets283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Dayan Viciedo210.000$1.2MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexei Ramirez282.000$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gordon Beckham231.000$445kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Lillibridge262.000$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Torres271.000$415kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Flowers240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Santos260.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Harrell251.083$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Sale210.000$132kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayson Nix272.000$99kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson230.000$38kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Marquez25
Gregory Infante220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Morel230.151Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3