RRosternomics

Braves ATL

GM: John Schuerholz

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.37× league · TAB +18.2
+18.2TAB — talent above budget1st/28
+18.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)3rd/28
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars3rd/28
-1.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/28
13%dead money %2nd/28
0.642win %1st/28
56.3roster fWAR1st/28
+3surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/28
$44Mpayroll $M3rd/28

1993: made playoffs · 104–58. Ranks are vs the 28 teams that season.

Roster

CFOtis Nixon 115GDeion Sanders 55G
LFRon Gant 155GDeion Sanders 5GTony Tarasco 4G
RFDavid Justice 157GTony Tarasco 8GBrian R. Hunter 2G
SSJeff Blauser 161GRafael Belliard 58GChipper Jones 3G
2BMark Lemke 150GRafael Belliard 24GRamon Caraballo 5G
3BTerry Pendleton 161GBill Pecota 23G
1BFred McGriff 149GSid Bream 90GBrian R. Hunter 29G
STARTERSGreg Maddux 7.4WARSteve Avery 5.1WARJohn Smoltz 4.4WARTom Glavine 3.4WARKent Mercker 0.9WAR
CDamon Berryhill 105GGreg Olson 81GJavy Lopez 7G
BULLPEN Mike Stanton 27svGreg McMichael 0hJay Howell 0hSteve Bedrosian 0hMark Wohlers 0hMarvin Freeman 0hPedro Borbón 0h
CDamon Berryhill 105 · Greg Olson 81 · Javy Lopez 7
1BFred McGriff 149 · Sid Bream 90 · Brian R. Hunter 29
2BMark Lemke 150 · Rafael Belliard 24 · Ramon Caraballo 5
3BTerry Pendleton 161 · Bill Pecota 23
SSJeff Blauser 161 · Rafael Belliard 58 · Chipper Jones 3
LFRon Gant 155 · Deion Sanders 5 · Tony Tarasco 4
CFOtis Nixon 115 · Deion Sanders 55
RFDavid Justice 157 · Tony Tarasco 8 · Brian R. Hunter 2
SPGreg Maddux 7.4 · Steve Avery 5.1 · John Smoltz 4.4 · Tom Glavine 3.4 · Kent Mercker 0.9
BP Mike Stanton 27 · Greg McMichael 0 · Jay Howell 0 · Steve Bedrosian 0 · Mark Wohlers 0 · Marvin Freeman 0 · Pedro Borbón 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1993 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Greg Maddux 27 FA-elig 367.4 5.9 +0.2
Ron Gant 28 FA-elig 1575.7 3.7 +1.0
Jeff Blauser 27 FA-elig 1615.4 2.0 +2.4
Steve Avery 23 arb 355.1 0.6 +3.6
David Justice 27 arb 1575.1 1.9 +2.3
John Smoltz 26 arb 354.4 2.7 +0.9
Tom Glavine 27 FA-elig 363.4 4.9 -2.1
Fred McGriff↔ SDP 29 FA-elig 683.1 1.9 +0.6
Otis Nixon 34 FA-elig 1342.5 2.8 -0.8
Greg McMichael 26 pre-arb 742.4 0.1 +1.9
Mark Lemke 27 arb 1512.3 0.6 +1.3
Terry Pendleton 32 FA-elig 1611.8 2.2 -0.8
Deion Sanders 25 arb 951.5 3.2 -1.9
Sid Bream 32 FA-elig 1170.9 1.6 -0.8
Damon Berryhill 29 FA-elig 1150.9 1.0 -0.2
Kent Mercker 25 arb 430.9 0.7 +0.0
Mark Wohlers 23 pre-arb 460.8 0.1 +0.5
Rafael Belliard 31 FA-elig 910.7 0.8 -0.2
Jay Howell 37 FA-elig 540.7 1.0 -0.4
Steve Bedrosian 35 FA-elig 490.3 0.5 -0.2
Ryan Klesko 22 pre-arb 220.3 0.1 +0.2
Javy Lopez 22 pre-arb 80.3 0.1 +0.1
Mike Stanton 26 arb 630.3 0.8 -0.6
Marvin Freeman 30 FA-elig 210.3 0.7 -0.5
Bill Pecota 33 FA-elig 720.2 0.7 -0.5
Francisco Cabrera 26 arb 700.2 0.2 -0.0
Chipper Jones Jr. 21 pre-arb 80.1 0.1 +0.0
Ramon Caraballo 24 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 -0.0
Pete Smith 27 FA-elig 200.1 1.0 -0.9
Greg Olson 32 arb 83-0.0 0.9 -0.9
Pedro Borbon Jr. 25 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Tony Tarasco 22 pre-arb 24-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Brian R. Hunter 25 pre-arb 37-0.9 0.2 -0.9

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Greg Maddux7.4
Fred McGriff3.1
Greg McMichael2.4
Jay Howell0.7
Steve Bedrosian0.3
Bill Pecota0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Charlie Leibrandt3.5
Mike Bielecki1.8
Lonnie Smith1.5
David Nied0.9
Jerry Willard0.3
Jeff Reardon0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$43.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Greg Maddux277.000$5.9M$5.0M$6.5M$6.7M$6.8M$9.6M$10.6M
Tom Glavine276.000$4.9M$4.8M$4.8M$5.3M$5.0M$7.0M$7.0M
Ron Gant286.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Otis Nixon3410.000$2.8MFREE AGENT$1.5M
Terry Pendleton329.000$2.2M$3.2MFREE AGENT$1.2M
Jeff Blauser276.000$2.0M$3.8M$3.4M$3.5M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Fred McGriff297.000$1.9M$3.8M$4.3M$5.0M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Sid Bream3210.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Pete Smith276.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Damon Berryhill296.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jay Howell3713.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Belliard3111.000$800k$800k$550k$575k$250k$250kFREE AGENT
Marvin Freeman307.000$725kFREE AGENT
Bill Pecota337.000$675k$575kFREE AGENT
Steve Bedrosian3512.000$500k$750k$750kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Deion Sanders254.000$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Smoltz265.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
David Justice274.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Olson324.000$925kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Stanton264.000$850kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kent Mercker254.000$721kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Avery233.000$560kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lemke275.000$550kFREE AGENT
Francisco Cabrera264.000$182kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Brian R. Hunter252.000$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Wohlers232.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chipper Jones Jr.210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Borbon Jr.251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Caraballo240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Klesko221.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javy Lopez221.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg McMichael260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Tarasco220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 1993; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3