RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Bill Stoneman

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.51× league · TAB +3.6
+3.6TAB — talent above budget15th/30
+4.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
22%dead money %13th/30
0.568win %6th/30
42.9roster fWAR7th/30
-27surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/30
$100Mpayroll $M3rd/30

2004: made playoffs · 92–70. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFGarret Anderson 94GChone Figgins 54GJeff DaVanon 39G
LFJose Guillen 135GJeff DaVanon 24GCurtis Pride 15G
RFVladimir Guerrero 143GJeff DaVanon 29GCurtis Pride 7G
SSDavid Eckstein 138GAlfredo Amezaga 32GChone Figgins 13G
2BAdam Kennedy 144GChone Figgins 20GAlfredo Amezaga 16G
3BChone Figgins 92GShane Halter 33GRobb Quinlan 32G
1BDarin Erstad 124GCasey Kotchman 34GRobb Quinlan 13G
STARTERSKelvim Escobar 4.2WARJohn Lackey 3.1WARJarrod Washburn 1.8WARBartolo Colon 1.3WARRamón Ortiz 0.8WAR
CBengie Molina 89GJosé Molina 70GJosh Paul 37G
DHTroy Glaus 39GTim Salmon 39GGarret Anderson 18G
BULLPEN Troy Percival 33svFrancisco Rodríguez 27hScot Shields 17hBrendan Donnelly 5hKevin Gregg 3hBen Weber 2hMatt Hensley 0hDerrick Turnbow 0h
CBengie Molina 89 · José Molina 70 · Josh Paul 37
1BDarin Erstad 124 · Casey Kotchman 34 · Robb Quinlan 13
2BAdam Kennedy 144 · Chone Figgins 20 · Alfredo Amezaga 16
3BChone Figgins 92 · Shane Halter 33 · Robb Quinlan 32
SSDavid Eckstein 138 · Alfredo Amezaga 32 · Chone Figgins 13
LFJose Guillen 135 · Jeff DaVanon 24 · Curtis Pride 15
CFGarret Anderson 94 · Chone Figgins 54 · Jeff DaVanon 39
RFVladimir Guerrero 143 · Jeff DaVanon 29 · Curtis Pride 7
DHTroy Glaus 39 · Tim Salmon 39 · Garret Anderson 18
SPKelvim Escobar 4.2 · John Lackey 3.1 · Jarrod Washburn 1.8 · Bartolo Colon 1.3 · Ramón Ortiz 0.8
BP Troy Percival 33 · Francisco Rodríguez 27 · Scot Shields 17 · Brendan Donnelly 5 · Kevin Gregg 3 · Ben Weber 2 · Matt Hensley 0 · Derrick Turnbow 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2004 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Vladimir Guerrero 29 FA-elig 1565.9 11.0 -0.9
Kelvim Escobar 28 FA-elig 334.2 5.8 +1.4
Francisco Rodríguez 22 pre-arb 693.7 0.4 +6.0
Chone Figgins 26 pre-arb 1483.5 0.3 +5.7
Adam Kennedy 28 arb 1443.4 2.5 +3.3
John Lackey 25 pre-arb 333.1 0.4 +5.0
Jose Guillen 28 FA-elig 1482.7 2.2 +2.5
Jeff DaVanon 30 arb 1082.1 0.4 +3.3
Scot Shields 28 arb 602.1 0.4 +3.3
Darin Erstad 30 FA-elig 1252.1 7.8 -4.2
David Eckstein 29 arb 1421.9 2.1 +1.2
Jarrod Washburn 29 FA-elig 251.8 5.5 -2.3
Troy Glaus 27 FA-elig 581.5 9.9 -7.3
Kevin Gregg 26 pre-arb 551.4 0.3 +2.0
Bartolo Colon 31 FA-elig 341.3 11.0 -8.7
Robb Quinlan 27 561.1
José Molina 29 arb 731.1 0.3 +1.5
Garret Anderson 32 FA-elig 1120.8 6.2 -4.8
Ramon Ortiz 31 arb 340.8 3.3 -1.9
Brendan Donnelly 32 pre-arb 400.7 0.4 +0.9
Aaron Sele 34 FA-elig 280.6 8.7 -7.7
Bengie Molina 29 FA-elig 970.4 2.0 -1.3
Dallas McPherson 23 160.3
Matt Hensley 25 160.1
Josh Paul 29 arb 460.1 0.3 -0.2
Troy Percival 34 FA-elig 520.1 7.8 -7.7
Scott Dunn 26 30.0
Dusty Bergman 26 10.0
Andres Galarraga 43 70.0
Derrick Turnbow 26 4-0.0
Adam Riggs 31 16-0.2
Curtis Pride 35 35-0.3
Alfredo Amezaga 26 73-0.3
Tim Salmon 35 FA-elig 60-0.4 9.9 -10.6
Ben Weber 34 arb 18-0.5 0.9 -1.7
Shane Halter 34 FA-elig 46-0.6 0.6 -1.6
Raul Mondesi↔ PIT 33 FA-elig 8-0.8 0.3 -1.6
Casey Kotchman 21 38-0.9

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Vladimir Guerrero5.9
Kelvim Escobar4.2
Jose Guillen2.7
Bartolo Colon1.3
Dallas McPherson0.3
Matt Hensley0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Scott Spiezio1.5
Brad Fullmer1.0
Scott Schoeneweis0.5
Wilson Delgado0.3
Greg Jones0.1
Rich Rodriguez0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$100.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Bartolo Colon317.000$11.0M$10.0M$14.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero298.000$11.0M$12.5M$13.5M$14.5M$15.5M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Salmon3512.000$9.9MFREE AGENT$400k
Troy Glaus276.000$9.9MFREE AGENT
Aaron Sele3411.000$8.7MFREE AGENT
Troy Percival349.000$7.8MFREE AGENT
Darin Erstad308.000$7.8M$8.2M$8.8MFREE AGENT
Garret Anderson3210.000$6.2M$9.6M$10.6M$11.6M$12.6MFREE AGENT
Kelvim Escobar287.000$5.8M$6.2M$6.8M$9.0MFREE AGENT$10.0M
Jarrod Washburn296.000$5.5M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Guillen287.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Bengie Molina296.000$2.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Shane Halter347.000$575kFREE AGENT
Raul Mondesi3311.000$271kFREE AGENT
Andres Galarraga4319.000FREE AGENT
Curtis Pride3511.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Ramon Ortiz315.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Adam Kennedy285.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
David Eckstein293.000$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Weber344.000$900kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff DaVanon305.000$375kFREE AGENT
Scot Shields283.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Molina295.000$335kFREE AGENT
Josh Paul295.000$335kFREE AGENT
Derrick Turnbow264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Francisco Rodríguez222.000$375kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Lackey252.000$375kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan Donnelly322.000$375kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chone Figgins262.000$320kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Gregg261.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Riggs31
Alfredo Amezaga262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robb Quinlan271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Kotchman210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dallas McPherson230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dusty Bergman26
Matt Hensley25
Scott Dunn26

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2004; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3