RRosternomics
BK

Bob Kennedy

Aug 18, 1920 (Chicago, IL) – Apr 7, 2005 (Mesa, AZ) · died at 84

General manager for the Cubs (1977–1985).

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record77–84
Win %0.478
-1.4GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.8111th/195 execs
8.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)25th/195 execs
-4.8Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)77th/195 execs
22%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)15th/195 execs
$1MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track174th/195 execs
$0MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)181st/195 execs
$0MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade134th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees145th/195 execs
-7.4TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total100th/195 execs
-8.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)107th/195 execs
Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)192nd/195 execs
-5Roster surplus $M50th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Cubs GM 1977–1985 1 -8.2 -8.24 -7.4 -19.7 +105.1 +49.9 -46.7 +8.4 0.478 -5
Career total (1985+ data) 1 -8.2 -7.4 -19.7 +105.1 +49.9 -46.7 +8.4 0.478 -5

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+105.1
Trade+49.9
Free agency-46.7
Rule 5 / minor draft+8.4
Sourcing mix: 50% draft · 0% FA · 45% trade · 4% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Bob Kennedy's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 57 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Ryne Sandberg 2B CHC Trade 1982 12 +48.2 +4.0
Mark Grace 1B CHC Draft 1985 13 +44.2 +3.4
Greg Maddux P CHC Draft 1984 10 +34.0 +3.4
Rick Sutcliffe P CHC Trade 1984 7 +17.2 +2.5
Jody Davis C CHC Rule 5 1980 4 +8.5 +2.1
Dennis Eckersley P CHC Trade 1984 2 +8.3 +4.2
Scott Sanderson P CHC Trade 1983 5 +6.6 +1.3
Shawon Dunston SS CHC Draft 1982 9 +6.0 +0.7
Les Lancaster P CHC Intl FA 1985 5 +5.5 +1.1
Leon Durham 1B/OF CHC Trade 1980 4 +4.3 +1.1
Dwight Smith OF CHC Draft 1984 3 +4.3 +1.4
Jamie Moyer P CHC Draft 1984 3 +4.2 +1.4
Steve Trout P CHC Trade 1983 3 +3.2 +1.1
Rafael Palmeiro 1B CHC Draft 1985 2 +2.8 +1.4
Damon Berryhill C CHC Draft 1984 2 +2.4 +1.2
Davey Lopes 2B CHC Trade 1984 2 +2.2 +1.1
Keith Moreland OF CHC Trade 1981 2 +2.2 +1.1
Ron Cey 3B CHC Trade 1983 2 +2.1 +1.1
Jeff Pico P CHC Draft 1984 3 +2.1 +0.7
Héctor Villanueva C CHC Intl FA 1985 2 +2.1 +1.0
Darrin Jackson OF CHC Draft 1981 2 +0.8 +0.4
Bob Dernier OF CHC Trade 1984 2 +0.7 +0.4
Gary Matthews OF CHC Trade 1984 2 +0.7 +0.3
Reggie Patterson P CHC Trade 1982 1 +0.7 +0.7
Dave Martinez OF CHC Draft 1983 1 +0.6 +0.6
Chris Speier SS CHC Trade 1985 1 +0.6 +0.6
Brian Dayett OF CHC Trade 1984 2 +0.4 +0.2
Dave Gumpert P CHC Trade 1985 1 +0.4 +0.4
Dick Ruthven P CHC Trade 1983 1 +0.3 +0.3
Gary Woods OF CHC Trade 1981 1 +0.3 +0.3
Steve Lake C CHC Trade 1983 2 +0.2 +0.1
Ray Fontenot P CHC Trade 1984 2 +0.1 +0.0
Drew Hall P CHC Draft 1984 1 +0.1 +0.1
Ced Landrum OF CHC Intl FA 1985 1 +0.1 +0.1
Joe Kraemer P CHC Draft 1985 1 +0.0 +0.0
Ron Meridith P CHC Trade 1984 1 +0.0 +0.0
Dave Owen SS CHC Draft 1979 1 +0.0 +0.0
Dave Pavlas P CHC Intl FA 1984 1 +0.0 +0.0
Johnny Abrego P CHC Rule 5 1983 -0.1
Steve Engel P CHC Draft 1983 -0.1
Laddie Renfroe P CHC Draft 1984 -0.1
Rick Wrona C CHC Draft 1985 1 -0.1 -0.1
Dave Beard P CHC Trade 1985 -0.2
Derek Botelho P CHC Trade 1979 -0.3
Jon Perlman P CHC Draft 1979 -0.3
Mike Brumley SS CHC Trade 1984 -0.4
Richie Hebner 3B CHC Trade 1985 -0.4
Rolando Roomes OF CHC Intl FA 1980 -0.4
Jay Baller P CHC Trade 1985 -0.5
Warren Brusstar P CHC Trade 1983 -0.5
Mike Capel P CHC Draft 1983 -0.5
Billy Hatcher OF CHC Draft 1981 -0.5
Paul Noce 2B/SS CHC Trade 1984 -0.6
Greg Smith 2B/SS CHC Draft 1985 -0.6
Gary Varsho OF CHC Draft 1982 -0.6
Doug Dascenzo OF CHC Draft 1985 2 -0.9 -0.4
George Frazier P CHC Trade 1984 -1.4

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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