RRosternomics

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Tom McNamara

Mariners

2009–2016 · 8 drafts · 354 picks

Early-Round Selection
+26.2
#16 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-26.5
#162 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-13.2
#87 of 172
-1.65/draft
Hitter DVOS
+24.3
#80 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
159
#45 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P3369 +36.3
IF948 +25.1
OF1426 +10.9
C616 -11.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200982Kyle Seager3B 34.11.0 +33.1
2010132James PaxtonP 19.20.8 +18.3
20123Mike ZuninoC 17.411.1 +6.3
2012161Chris TaylorOF 17.20.8 +16.4
201298Edwin DíazP 15.31.0 +14.3
201043Taijuan WalkerP 12.22.4 +9.9
201385Tyler O'NeillOF 11.11.0 +10.0
201162Brad MillerSS 7.21.8 +5.4
2014111Ryan YarbroughP 6.81.0 +5.8
20092Dustin Ackley2B 6.814.2 -7.4
2013297Emilio PagánP 4.30.5 +3.8
2013327Zack LittellP 4.10.3 +3.8
201611Kyle LewisOF 2.57.9 -5.3
2011243Carson SmithP 2.50.5 +2.0
2013507Paul FryP 1.90.2 +1.7

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20095239.1 31.3+7.9
20105029.4 13.6+15.8
20115110.8 26.9-16.1
20124150.4 22.7+27.7
20134021.7 19.9+1.8
2014406.8 25.1-18.3
201540-0.5 13.0-13.4
2016401.4 19.9-18.5
Total354 159 -13.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.